Novosti i prognoe: tržište kapitala od 14-07-2020

U.S. stock-index futures fell on Tuesday,  as investors assessed the first batch of quarterly reports from big banks and rising coronavirus cases.

Global Stocks:

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)

Visa (V) initiated with a Buy at Goldman; target $223

Citigroup (C) reported Q2 FY 2020 earnings of $0.50 per share (versus $1.95 per share in Q2 FY 2019), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.27 per share.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $19.766 bln (+5.4% y/y), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $19.061 bln.

C rose to $53.10 (+1.72%) in pre-market trading.

Wells Fargo (WFC) reported Q2 FY 2020 loss of $0.66 per share (versus earnings of $1.30 per share in Q2 FY 2019), much worse than analysts’ consensus estimate of -$0.10 per share.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $17.800 bln (-17.5% y/y), missing analysts’ consensus estimate of $18.299 bln.

The company also announced its Board of Directors intends to reduce Q3FY2020 common stock dividend to $0.10/share from $0.51/share prior.

WFC fell to $24.61 (-3.15%) in pre-market trading.

Delta Air Lines (DAL) reported Q2 FY 2020 loss of $4.43 per share (versus earnings of $2.35 per share in Q2 FY 2019), worse than analysts’ consensus estimate of -$4.24 per share.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $1.468 bln (-88.3% y/y), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $1.402 bln.

DAL fell to $26.50 (-1.45%) in pre-market trading.

FXStreet notes that the S&P 500 has been treading water in recent weeks at a level just 5% below its all-time high. Meanwhile, certain economic risks are clearly growing, yet the ones that concern Lisa Shallet from Morgan Stanley the most aren’t the same ones many investors seem to be worrying about.

“COVID-19 Resurgence: As long as the growth in COVID-19 infections doesn’t result in hospital-system breakdowns, we forecast economic gains continuing and Americans powering through.”

“Trade Tensions: While tensions with China are likely to dominate the election rhetoric of both parties, the fragility of the global recovery during this pandemic suggests that world leaders will maintain a much more pragmatic stance that keeps trade policy unchanged.”

“US Post-Election Policy Shifts: Politics may loom large, but  material policy shifts seem unlikely in the near-term. While many polls now suggest that a Democratic sweep in November is plausible, we don’t see immediate tax hikes and costly expansions of the healthcare system as a likely outcome.”

“Disappointing Earnings: The risk that many companies may miss earnings expectations has grown, especially as more of them pull their guidance due to economic uncertainty. Meantime, investors are crowding into a handful of popular tech names with sky-high valuations.” 

“Rising Inflation: The combination of money-supply growth and a weaker dollar, among other factors, point to rising inflation expectations that could raise long-term interest rates and lower equity valuations.”

“Legislative Inaction on More Stimulus: Congress will be going into August recess soon. Failure to extend unemployment benefits would likely expose the growing level of permanent job losses that are appearing below the surface of the economy.”

“My advice to investors: Put emphasis on diversification, adding gold, corporate credit and international stocks to portfolios that are overweight the S&P 500 index. Meantime, look for July fiscal stimulus renewal and tech-sector earnings guidance, which could alleviate some of the concerns I’m most focused on.”

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported Q2 FY 2020 earnings of $1.38 per share (versus $2.82 per share in Q2 FY 2019), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $1.23 per share.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $32.980 bln (+14.7% y/y), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $30.227 bln.

The company also announced the suspension of repurchases at least through the end of Q3.

JPM rose to $99.86 (+2.26%) in pre-market trading.