Novosti i prognoe: tržište kapitala od 29-02-2012

Resistance 3:1410 (high of June’2008)

Resistance 2:1400 (psychological level)

Resistance 1:1377 (session high)

Сurrent price: 1373,25

Support 1:1370 (session low)

Support 2:1364 (Feb 28 low)

Support 3:1352/1 (Feb 23 and 27 lows)

U.S. stock-index futures gained after the government said the American economy expanded more than previously estimated in the fourth quarter as companies rebuilt inventories.

Futures climbed earlier after the European Central Bank said today it will lend 800 financial institutions 529.5 billion euros ($712 billion) for 1,092 days.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will deliver a semi-annual testimony on monetary policy and the outlook for the economy to the House Financial Services Committee in Washington today.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei  9,723.24 +0.72 +0.01%

Hang Seng 21,680.08 +111.35 +0.52%

Shanghai Composite 2,428.49 -23.37 -0.95%

FTSE  5,927.71 -0.20 0.00%

CAC  3,472.38 +18.39 +0.53%

DAX 6,924.26 +36.63 +0.53%

Crude oil: $106.59 (+0,04%).

Gold: $1783.70 (-0,27%).

Asian stocks rose, with the benchmark index set to enter a bull market, after U.S. consumer confidence beat expectations, and as factory output in Japan and South Korea gained, boosting optimism global demand will grow.

Nikkei 225 9,723.24 +0.72 +0.01%

Hang Seng 21,680.08 +111.35 +0.52%

S&P/ASX 200 4,298.55 +35.81 +0.84%

Shanghai Composite 2,428.49 -23.37 -0.95%

Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings Ltd., which makes shoes for Nike Inc., gained 1.4 percent in Hong Kong.

Hynix Semiconductor Inc., a South Korean chipmaker, gained 1.2 percent, rising for a second day in Seoul after Japan’s Elpida Memory Inc. filed for bankruptcy. Elpida tumbled 97 percent.

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd., Australia’s largest electrical goods retailer, lost 4.2 percent in Sydney after its first-half earnings fell.

00:00 New Zealand NBNZ Business Confidence January 16.9 28.0

00:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m January -4.9% -7.3%

00:01 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence February -29 -27 -29

00:15 U.S. FOMC Member Pianalto Speaks 0

00:30 Australia Retail sales (MoM) January -0.1% +0.3% +0.3%

00:30 Australia Retail Sales Y/Y January +3.0% +2.7%

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m January +0.3% +0.3% +0.2%

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y January +3.5% +3.6% +3.5%

05:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y January -7.3% -3.3% -1.1%

The euro rose toward its strongest in almost three months on speculation the European Central Bank’s allotment of three-year loans to banks today will spur demand for the region’s assets.

The dollar also weakened against most counterparts before Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke testifies to the House Financial Services Committee after saying Jan. 25 that policy makers are keeping open the option to increase bond purchases to support growth.

Australia’s currency climbed against 13 of its 16 major peers after a report showed retail sales advanced by the most in four months as a surge in spending at cafes and restaurants outweighed a decline in household goods purchases.

Sales increased 0.3 percent in January from a month earlier, when they fell 0.1 percent, the Bureau of Statistics said today. The so-called Aussie rose to as much as $1.0823, the strongest level since Feb. 9, before trading 0.4 percent higher at $1.0813.

New Zealand’s dollar strengthened after a survey by ANZ National Bank Ltd. showed business confidence rose to a five- month high in February, while a second gauge of sales and profits also advanced. The so-called kiwi gained 0.5 percent to 84.22 U.S. cents and added 0.4 percent to 67.68 yen.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair rose, touched a monthly high.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair advanced, showed new month’s high.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair has grown, however lost the positions later.

Germany's DIW economic research institute releases their monthly economic barometer today, but scheduled European data starts at 0700GMT with the ILO measure of German unemployment and also German import prices, which are expected to gain 0.7% m/m, 3.0% y/y. At 0745GMT, France consumer spending is due and is expected to come in at 0.2% m/m, -2.0% y/y.The main German unemployment data is due at 0855GMT and is expected to show a -5k change, leaving the rate at 6.7%. At 0945GMT, Bank of England MPC members King, Bean, Tucker and Posen are at a Treasury Committee Inflation Report hearing a Bean, Tucker and Posen publish Treasury Select Committee annual reports. US data starts at 1200GMT with the weekly MBA weekly mortgage applications, while at 1330GMT GDP data and the Chain Price Index are due. At 1430GMT, Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher speaks to the Bolsa Mexicana on the "U.S. Economic Overview". At 1445GMT, The Chicago PMI is forecast to rise to a reading of 61.0 in February from the 60.2 reading in January.

Resistance 3: Y81.70 (Feb 27 high)

Resistance 2: Y81.15 (high of the European session on Feb 27)

Resistance 1: Y80.80 (Feb 28 high)

The current price: Y80.36

Support 1: Y79.85/00 (area of Feb 23-28 low)

Support 2: Y79.50 (38.2% FIBO Y81.65-Y76.00)

Support 3: Y78.85 (50.0% FIBO Y81.65-Y76.00)

Resistance 3 : $1.6050 (Nov 2 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.5990 (Nov 10 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.5940 (middle line from Feb 23)

The current price: $1.5929

Support 1 : $1.5900 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.5860 (low of the Asian session on Feb 27)

Support 3 : $1.5800/10 (area of Feb 27-28 low)

Change % Change Last

Nikkei 225 9,722.52 88,59 +0,92%

Hang Seng 21,572.7 354,84 +1,67%

S&P/ASX 200 4,262.74 -4,63 -0,11%

Shanghai Composite +4,80 2,451.86 +0.20%

FTSE 100 5,925.95 +10.40 +0.18%

CAC 40 3,456.67 +15.22 +0.44%

DAX 6,888.14 +38.54 +0.56%

Dow 13,005.12 +23.61 +0.18%

Nasdaq 2,986.76 +20.60 +0.69%

S&P 500 1,372.18 +4.59 +0.34%