Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 10-12-2012.

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10.12.2012
20:13
Obama said will not compromise on tax breaks for the wealthy
19:32
New Zealand: REINZ Housing Price Index, m/m, November +1.4%
19:20
American focus: dollar weakened against most its major counterparts

  

The dollar weakened against most its major counterparts amid better-than-forecast factory data from China and bets the U.S. central bank will add to monetary stimulus.

 

 

The U.S. currency fell versus the euro and the yen before the Federal Reserve starts a policy meeting tomorrow amid forecasts it will expand bond-buying plans.

The U.S. Federal Open Market Committee meets for the last time this year on Dec. 11-12. It will consider whether to expand purchases of assets after its so-called Operation Twist program of swapping $45 billion a month in short-term Treasuries for long-term debt expires this month.

Japan’s currency touched the highest in almost two weeks versus the euro after Italy’s Prime Minister Mario Monti said he intends to resign. Mexico’s peso advanced after a report showed exports increased 13 percent from a year earlier.

Italy’s Monti will attempt to convince his coalition, which includes his predecessor Silvio Berlusconi’s People of Liberty Party, to vote to pass budget legislation before handing in his “irrevocable resignation,” national President Giorgio Napolitano’s office said Dec. 8.

Canada’s dollar strengthened after the government approved Cnooc Ltd.’s $15.1 billion purchase of energy company Nexen Inc. and signed off on Malaysian Petroliam Nasional Bhd.’s purchase of Progress Energy Resources Corp. on Dec. 7.


 

13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

EUR/USD $1.2800, $1.2885, $1.2900, $1.3000

USD/JPY Y82.20, Y82.70, Y83.00

EUR/JPY Y105.95, Y106.75, Y108.25

GBP/USD $1.6000

USD/SEK Sek6.6260

AUD/USD $1.0435, $1.0450, $1.0465, $1.0525

USD/CAD C$0.9920

13:15
Canada: Housing Starts, November 196 (forecast 202)
13:01
European session: the yen has appreciated significantly

Data

00:30 Australia Home Loans October 1.1% +3.1% +0.1%

02:00 China Trade Balance, bln November 32.0 26.7 19.6

05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence November 39.7 40.3 39.4

06:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current November 39.0 39.7 40.0

06:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook November 41.7 41.9

07:00 Germany Trade Balance October 16.9 15.9 15.2

07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m October -2.7% +0.4% -0.7%

07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y October -2.5% -2.3% -2.4%

09:30 Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence December -18.8 -16.2 -16.8

 

The euro fell back to two-week low against the dollar, as the Italian prime minister, said he intends to retire, which struck the same renewed speculation that a change in government can destroy all the efforts to resolve the debt crisis. Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti will try to convince his coalition, which includes people of his predecessor, Silvio Berlusconi, to vote for the adoption of the budget law, before he retires.

Note that the popularity of Monty has been undermined after his tax increases to push Italy into an even greater recession. We also recall that on December 8 Berlusconi announced that he would participate in the election of the Prime Minister in the next year. At the same time, he expressed his dissatisfaction with the launch of the German-based program that promotes Monti.

The single currency shows a three-day decline against the yen ahead of the meeting of leaders of the European Union, to be held this week, and the purpose of which is to discuss measures to end the crisis, including increased powers to intervene in the national budgets and creating a single supervisor.

The yen strengthened against all 16 major currencies as investors sought safer assets.

The Australian dollar weakened against the yen after China reported a lower-than-expected trade surplus.


EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to a new low of $ 1.2885, but then recovered and is now trading at $ 1.2917

GBP / USD: during the European session the pair fell to the low of $ 1.6013, and then rose to $ 1.6061

USD / JPY: during the European session the pair fell to Y82.10, but then rose to Y82.29


At 13:15 GMT, Canada will present a report on the number of new foundations of bookmarks for November. At 17:15 GMT BOE King make a speech. At 19:30 GMT New Zealand publish house price index from REINZ for November. At 19:30 GMT New Zealand said the change of volume of home sales from REINZ for November.


12:46
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2990/95, $1.2970/80, $1.2950/55, $1.2920

Bids $1.2865, $1.2850, $1.2835/25, $1.2810/00

 

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6120, $1.6100, $1.6075/85, $1.6060/65, $1.6050

Bids $1.6000, $1.5980, $1.5965/55, $1.5940-20


AUD/USD

Offers $1.0550, $1.0525, $1.0520, $1.0500

Bids $1.0465/60, $1.0450, $1.0440, $1.0425/20, $1.0410/00


EUR/JPY

Offers Y107.20, Y106.95/00, Y106.40/45

Bids Y105.80, Y105.50, Y105.00


USD/JPY

Offers Y83.30, Y83.00, Y82.40/50

Ордера на покупку Y82.00, Y81.80, Y81.60


EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8120/25, stg0.8100, stg0.8070/75

Bids stg0.8030, stg0.8020, stg0.8005/00, stg0.7970/60


10:06
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2800, $1.2885, $1.2900, $1.3000

 

USD/JPY Y82.20, Y82.70, Y83.00

EUR/JPY Y105.95, Y106.75, Y108.25

GBP/USD $1.6000

USD/SEK Sek6.6260

AUD/USD $1.0435, $1.0450, $1.0465, $1.0525

USD/CAD C$0.9920


 

09:32
Eurozone: Sentix Investor Confidence, December -16.8 (forecast -16.2)
08:21
Forex: Friday’s review

 

 

 

On Friday the single currency fell against most major currencies after it was reported that most members of the European Central Bank showed support for the decision to reduce rates if the economy will not show signs of recovery. Well as the pressure on the exchange rate had a message about lowering the economic outlook in Germany. A little later, the euro continued to fall, as a report showed that U.S. employers added more jobs than expected last month. Additionally pleasant surprise was that the U.S. unemployment rate has decreased to almost four-year low. But, despite all these positive data for the dollar, the currency could not hold its positions, and began a sharp decline. Note that this situation was caused by the fact that as the index of consumer sentiment registered a sharp decline, reaching a minimum value at the same time in a year. Analysts say that this was a result of the concern among Americans about "fiscal cliff" has increased markedly.

The Canadian dollar rose while still achieving the highest value for the month, as Statistics Canada reported a significant increase in the number of jobs with the fall in unemployment.


 

07:47
France: Industrial Production, y/y, October -2.4% (forecast -2.3%)
07:46
France: Industrial Production, m/m, October -0.7% (forecast +0.4%)
07:19
Asian session: The euro traded 0.2 percent from its lowest level in two weeks

 

 

00:30 Australia Home Loans October 1.1% +3.1% +0.1%

02:00 China Trade Balance, bln November 32.0 26.7 19.6

05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence November 39.7 40.3 39.4

06:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current November 39.0 39.7 40.0

06:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook November 41.7 41.9

 

The euro traded 0.2 percent from its lowest level in two weeks after Italy’s prime minister said he intends to resign, rekindling concern that a change in government will upend efforts to rein in debt. Italy’s Mario Monti will try to corral his coalition, which includes his predecessor Silvio Berlusconi’s People of Liberty Party, for a vote to pass budget legislation before handing in his “irrevocable resignation,” national President Giorgio Napolitano’s office said in an e-mailed statement on Dec. 8. Monti, 69, will quit immediately if his allies won’t comply, the premier’s spokeswoman, Elisabetta Olivi, said in a telephone interview.

The euro slid versus most of its 16 major counterparts ahead of a Dec. 13-14 summit of European Union leaders to debate a road map to overhaul the currency bloc.

Demand for the dollar was limited amid speculation the Federal Reserve may announce this week additional bond purchases. In the U.S., the Federal Open Market Committee meets for the final time this year on Dec. 11-12. It will consider whether to expand purchases of assets after its Operation Twist program of swapping $45 billion a month in short-term Treasuries for long-term debt expires this month. Expectations for more central bank stimulus come as data released Dec. 7 by the Labor Department showed the unemployment rate in the world’s biggest economy dropped to 7.7 percent, the lowest level since December 2008.

Australia’s currency slid after data from China’s customs administration showed that exports rose 2.9 percent in November from a year earlier while imports were unchanged. Both trailed the median analyst estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.


EUR/USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $1.2885-15.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.6015.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair was trading around the level of Y82.50.




Wednesday's European calendar gets underway at 0800GMT, with the release of Spanish October industrial output data offering a further look at the depth of the recession in Spain. However, the main releases start from 0813GMT, as eurozone service sector final November PMI numbers cross the screens. Spanish data is at 0813GMT, Italy at 0843GMT, France at 0848GMT, Germany at 0853GMT and the aggregate eurozone PMI is due at 0858GMT. The UK also sees the release of service sector PMI data, with the November Markit/CIPS Services release due at 0930GMT. More EMU data is expected at 1000GMT, with the release of the October retail trade numbers.


07:00
Germany: Trade Balance, October 15.2 (forecast 15.9)
06:02
Schedule for today, Monday, Dec 10’2012:

00:30 Australia Home Loans October 1.1% +3.1% +0.1%

02:00 China Trade Balance, bln November 32.0 26.7 19.6

05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence November 39.7 40.3 39.4

06:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current November 39.0 39.7

06:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook November 41.7

07:00 Germany Trade Balance October 17.0 15.9

07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m October -2.7% +0.4%

07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y October -2.5% -2.3%

08:00 China New Loans November 505 550

09:30 Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence December -18.8 -16.2

13:15 Canada Housing Starts November 204 202

17:15 United Kingdom BOE Gov King Speaks -

19:30 New Zealand REINZ Housing Price Index, m/m November +1.5%

06:02
Japan: Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook, November 41.9
06:00
Japan: Eco Watchers Survey: Current , November 40.0 (forecast 39.7)

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