Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 17-05-2012.

The yen extended its gain against the dollar after data showed U.S. jobless claims for unemployment benefits were unchanged last week and another report showed Philadelphia- area manufacturing decreased in May.

The euro fell to a four-month low as Spain’s borrowing costs rose at an auction, stoking concern that the region’s financial contagion is spreading from Greece.

Europe’s shared currency declined against most of its major counterparts as the European Central Bank said it will temporarily stop lending to some Greek banks.

Spain sold bonds due in January 2015 at an average yield of 4.375%, compared with 2.89% when they were last auctioned in April. Investors bought bonds maturing in July 2015 at 4.876%, compared with 4.037% on May 3 and bonds due April 2016 at 5.106%.

Moody’s Investors Service is set to downgrade the credit ratings of Spanish banks.

The pound was down after the published yesterday quarterly inflation report the Bank of England, in which the British central bank has lowered projections for economic growth in the country and raised its forecast for inflation. Against this background of increased market participants' expectations regarding the continuation of the Bank of England policy of quantitative easing.

EUR/USD $1.2650, $1.2790, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900

USD/JPY Y79.75, Y79.50, Y80.65, Y80.75, Y78.50

GBP/USD $1.5930, $1.5950, $1.6100

EUR/GBP stg0.8020, stg0.8050, stg0.8060, stg0.8085

USD/CHF Chf0.9350

AUD/USD $0.9900, $0.9850

Revenue grew 8.6% to $112.3B and beat by $1.8B. Expects Q2 EPS of $1.13-$1.18 vs. consensus $1.16. Shares were +1.99% to $61.18 premarket.

“370k jobless claims are closer to levels in March when the labor market generated roughly 150k net new jobs. Thus May employment report is likely to confirm the slower trend in hiring that emerged in March."

The euro fell  as Spain’s borrowing costs rose at an auction, stoking concern that the region’s financial contagion is spreading from Greece.

Spain sold bonds due in January 2015 at an average yield of 4.375%, compared with 2.89% when they were last auctioned in April. Investors bought bonds maturing in July 2015 at 4.876%, compared with 4.037% on May 3 and bonds due April 2016 at 5.106%.

Borrowing costs in Europe’s most-indebted nations are rising amid speculation that Greece will leave the 17-nation euro area as political parties opposed to the terms of two international bailouts polled strongly in inconclusive May 6 elections. A fresh vote has been set for June 17.

EUR/USD: the pair decreased below $1,2700.

GBP/USD: the pair fell in $1,5830 area.

USD/JPY: the pair was limited Y80,15-Y80,40.

At 1400GMT by US leading indicators and the Philadelphia Fed survey.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2810/20, $1.2800, $1.2780, $1.2750/60, $1.2720, $1.2695/705

Bids $1.2655/50, $1.2625 

AUD/USD

Offers $1.0040/50, $1.0020/30, $1.0015, $1.0000, $0.9980/85, $0.9960/65

Bids $0.9900, $0.9880, $0.9870, $0.9850

Resistance 3: Y81.80 (50.0 % FIBO Y84,20-Y79,40, Apr 20 high)
Resistance 2: Y81.20 (38,2 % FIBO Y84,20-Y79,40)
Resistance 1: Y80.55/60 (area of May 2-3 highs and on May 16 high)
Current price: Y80.17
Support 1: Y80.10 (resistance line from Mar 21 broken earlier)
Support 2: Y79.90 (МА (200) for Н1)
Support 3: Y79.70 (area of May 11-14 lows)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9600 (area of high of January)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9500 (psychological level)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9470 (session high, May 16 high)
Current price: Chf0.9461
Support 1: Chf0.9410/00 (area of session low, May 16 low, and support lines from May 1)
Support 2: Chf0.9330 (May 15 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9300 (May 9 and 11 highs, May 14 low)

Комментарии: пара остается в области линии сопротивления от ноября 2010 года. На D1 индикатор RSI поднялся выше отметки 70 пунктов, что является сигналом перекупленности и указывает на высокие шансы начала коррекции.

Resistance 3 : $1.6110/20 (May 14-15 highs)

Resistance 2 : $1.5990 (intraday high on May 16)

Resistance 1 : $1.5930 (session high)

Current price: $1.5853

Support 1 : $1.5820 (Apr 16 low, МА (200) and МА (100) for Н1)

Support 2 : $1.5800 (low of April)

Support 3 : $1.5770 (Mar 21 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.2900 (May 14 high, МА (200) for Н1)
Resistance 2 : $1.2870 (May 15 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.2750 (area of session high, May 16 high and resistance line from May 11)
Current price: $1.2695
Support 1 : $1.2680 (May 16 low)
Support 2 : $1.2620 (low of January)
Support 3 : $1.2600/90 (low of August’2008)

Комментарии: на D1 индикатор RSI поднялся выше отметки 70 пунктов, что является сигналом перепроданности и указывает на высокие шансы начала коррекции.

EUR/USD $1.2650, $1.2790, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900

USD/JPY Y79.75, Y79.50, Y80.65, Y80.75, Y78.50

GBP/USD $1.5930, $1.5950, $1.6100

EUR/GBP stg0.8020, stg0.8050, stg0.8060, stg0.8085

USD/CHF Chf0.9350

AUD/USD $0.9900, $0.9850

00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday -

00:00 Germany Bank holiday -

00:00 France Bank holiday -

01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation May +3.3% +3.1%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (finally) March -1.6% +1.1% +1.3%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (finally) March +1.5% +13.9% +14.2%

The dollar retreated from a four- month high against the euro after minutes from the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting showed some policy makers said further easing may be needed should the economy lose momentum. Several Fed policy makers said a loss of momentum in growth or increased risks to their economic outlook could warrant additional action to keep the recovery on track, according to minutes of the FOMC’s April 24-25 meeting released yesterday in Washington. Central bankers last month affirmed their plan to hold interest rates near zero at least through late 2014 as they sought to push down an unemployment rate that has stayed above 8 percent for more than three years.

The yen weakened against the majority of its 16 major peers amid speculation the Bank of Japan may add stimulus next week. Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said today it’s important for the central bank to support growth. Demand for the yen was hampered amid speculation BOJ policy makers may ease monetary policy when they meet on May 23 after the central bank failed to buy as much government debt as it planned yesterday, the first time that’s happened since the the program was set up in October 2010 to provide liquidity to the market.

Demand for the euro was limited as Greece’s leaders prepare for a second election, with the nation’s future in the currency bloc and an international bailout at stake.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars strengthened, snapping four-day declines.

EUR/USD: the pair rose to yesterday's high.

GBP/USD: the pair traded in a range $1.5905-$1.5930.

USD/JPY: the pair fell to yesterday's low.

Looking ahead, it is Ascension day Thursday, keeping the European calendar quiet. US data starts at 1230GMT, when initial jobless claims are expected to fall slightly 365,000 in the May 12 employment survey week. At 1400GMT by US leading indicators, the Philadelphia Fed survey and E-commerce totals data.

Yesterday the euro fell to a four-month low against the dollar after the European Central Bank said it will temporarily stop lending to some Greek banks and as the nation’s leaders prepare for a second election.

The euro dropped for a fourth day versus the greenback as the ECB said it will push the responsibility for lending onto Greece’s central bank until the banks have sufficiently boosted their capital.

The pound fell the most in a month against the dollar as the Bank of England said U.K. growth will stay “subdued” in the near term.

The dollar pared gains against the yen after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting showed some policy makers said further easing may be needed if the economic recovery falters.

EUR/USD: yesterday the pair traded about May 15 low $1.2720.

GBP/USD: yesterday the pair fell below $1.5900.

USD/JPY: yesterday the pair rose, updated a week’s high.

Looking ahead, it is Ascension day Thursday, keeping the European calendar quiet. US data starts at 1230GMT, when initial jobless claims are expected to fall slightly 365,000 in the May 12 employment survey week. At 1400GMT by US leading indicators, the Philadelphia Fed survey and E-commerce totals data.

Resistance 3: Y81.45 (Apr 27 high)

Resistance 2: Y81.00 (psychological level)

Resistance 1: Y80.50/55 (area of May 2-3 high)

The current price: Y80.25

Support 1: Y80.15 (May 16 low)

Support 2: Y79.95 (high of the Asian session on May 15)

Support 3: Y79.65 (May 14 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9525 (Jan 16 low)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9495 (Jan 18 high)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9470 (May 16 high)

The current price: Chf0.9424

Support 1: Chf0.9410 (May 16 low)

Support 2: Chf0.9375 (high of the Asian session on May 15)

Support 3: Chf0.9330 (May 15 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.6050 (May 14 low)

Resistance 2 : $1.5985 (May 16 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.5855 (high of the American session on May 16)

The current price: $1.5913

Support 1 : $1.5885 (May 16 low)

Support 2 : $1.5860 (Apr 17 low)

Support 3 : $1.5805/10 (area of Apr 5-10 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.2870 (May 15 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.2815 (low of the Asian session on May 15)

Resistance 1 : $1.2760 (May 16 high)

The current price: $1.2742

Support 1 : $1.2680 (May 16 low)

Support 2 : $1.2650/60 (area of Jan 11 and 17 low)

Support 3 : $1.2625 (low of Jan)

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2715 -0,14%

GBP/USD $1,5910 -0,55%

USD/CHF Chf0,9443 +0,12%

USD/JPY Y80,33 +0,12%

EUR/JPY Y102,15 -0,02%

GBP/JPY Y127,81 -0,41%

AUD/USD $0,9911 -0,26%

NZD/USD $0,7642 -0,64%

USD/CAD C$1,0121 +0,55%

00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday -

00:00 Germany Bank holiday -

00:00 France Bank holiday -

01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation May +3.3%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (finally) March -1.6% +1.1%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (finally) March +1.5% +13.9%

12:30 Canada Foreign investment in Canadian securities March 12.5 9.34

12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m March +1.6% +0.4%

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 367 370

14:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey May 8.5 10.6

14:00 U.S. Leading Indicators April +0.3% +0.1%

16:35 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks