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Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 14-07-2014
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies in quiet trade. No major economic reports will be released in the U.S. on Monday. Markets participants are awaiting the congressional testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Tuesday and Wednesday. They expect to hear new information on when the Fed could start to increase its interest rate.
The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of testimony by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi later in the day. The euro strengthened after Portugal's central bank eased market fears over the financial health of Banco Espirito Santo.
Eurozone's industrial production declined 3.3% in May, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.7% increase in April. April's figure was revised down from a 0.8 gain.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production climbed 0.5% in May, missing expectations for a 1.1% rise, after a 1.4% gain in April.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in the UK.
The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar, recovering a part of Friday's losses. The Canadian currency dropped on Friday due to the weaker-than-expected Canadian labour market data. Canadian unemployment rate climbed to a seasonally adjusted 7.1% in June from 7.0% in May. The Canadian economy unexpectedly lost 9,400 jobs last month.
The New Zealand dollar traded slightly lower against the U.S dollar. The REINZ housing price index declined 0.3% in June, after a 1.2% decrease in May.
The Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in Australia.
The Japanese yen declined against the U.S. dollar due to decreasing demand for safe-haven yen after Portugal's central bank eased market fears over the financial health of Banco Espirito Santo.
Japan's industrial production rose 1.0% in May, after a 0.8% increase in April. Analysts had expected a 0.5% increase.
On a yearly basis, Japan's industrial production climbed 0.7% in May, after a 0.5% rise in April.
EUR/USD $1.3500, $1.3550, $1.3600, $1.3650
USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.60, Y102.00
GBP/USD $1.6925
USD/CHF Chf0.8850, Chf0.8890
AUD/USD $0.9400
NZD/USD $0.8650
USD/CAD C$1.0615, C$1.0700
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) May +0.8% +0.8% +1.0%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) May +0.5% +0.5% +0.7%
06:00 France Bank holiday
09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) May +0.7% +0.3% -1.1%
09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) May +1.4% +1.1% +0.5%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies in quiet trade. No major economic reports will be released in the U.S. on Monday. Markets participants are awaiting the congressional testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Tuesday and Wednesday. They expect to hear new information on when the Fed could start to increase its interest rate.
The euro rose against the U.S. dollar ahead of testimony by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi later in the day. The euro strengthened after Portugal's central bank eased market fears over the financial health of Banco Espirito Santo.
Eurozone's industrial production declined 3.3% in May, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.7% increase in April. April's figure was revised down from a 0.8 gain.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production climbed 0.5% in May, missing expectations for a 1.1% rise, after a 1.4% gain in April.
The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in the UK.
EUR/USD: the currency increased to $1.3639
GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY: the currency pair was up to Y101.52
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
17:30 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
23:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y June +0.5%
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3700-20, $1.3680/85
Bids $1.3589-88, $1.3576, $1.3570/60, $1.3550/40
GBP/USD
Offers $1.7200, $1.7180
Bids $1.7040/30
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9480, $0.9450
Bids $0.9350, $0.9320, $0.9300
EUR/JPY
Offers Y139.50, Y139.00, Y138.50
Bids Y138.00, Y137.50, Y137.20, Y137.00, Y136.80/70
USD/JPY
Offers Y102.00, Y101.80, Y101.60
Bids Y101.20, Y101.00, Y100.80, Y100.50
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8000, stg0.7980
Bids stg0.7905-890
EUR/USD $1.3500, $1.3550, $1.3600, $1.3650
USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.60, Y102.00
GBP/USD $1.6925
USD/CHF Chf0.8850, Chf0.8890
AUD/USD $0.9400
NZD/USD $0.8650
USD/CAD C$1.0615, C$1.0700
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) May +0.8% +0.8% +1.0%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) May +0.5% +0.5% +0.7%
06:00 France Bank holiday
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of congressional testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Tuesday and Wednesday. Markets participants are awaiting new information on when the Fed could start to increase its interest rate.
The New Zealand dollar traded mixed near 3-year highs against the U.S dollar. The REINZ housing price index declined 0.3% in June, after a 1.2% decrease in May.
The Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in Australia.
The Japanese yen traded slightly lower against the U.S. dollar due to decreasing demand for safe-haven yen after Portugal's central bank eased market fears over the financial health of Banco Espirito Santo.
Japan's industrial production rose 1.0% in May, after a 0.8% increase in April. Analysts had expected a 0.5% increase.
On a yearly basis, Japan's industrial production climbed 0.7% in May, after a 0.5% rise in April.
EUR/USD: the currency pair
GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY: the currency pair
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) May +0.8% +0.3%
09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) May +1.4% +1.1%
17:30 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
23:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y June +0.5%
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3674 (2712)
$1.3655 (635)
$1.3632 (77)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3604
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3581 (370)
$1.3563 (1927)
$1.3538 (3261)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 8 is 23686 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3800 (3718);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 8 is 32266 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (7635);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.36 versus 1.36 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 11
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.7401 (1025)
$1.7303 (1460)
$1.7205 (1384)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.7115
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6995 (2094)
$1.6897 (1895)
$1.6799 (989)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 8 is 15876 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7250 (2204);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 8 is 20206 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7000 (2094);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.27 versus 1.28 from the previous trading day according to data from Jule, 11
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3606 0,00%
GBP/USD $1,7109 -0,13%
USD/CHF Chf0,8920 -0,04%
USD/JPY Y101,27 -0,04%
EUR/JPY Y 137,77 -0,06%
GBP/JPY Y173,19 -0,21%
AUD/USD $0,9390 0,00%
NZD/USD $0,8812 -0,03%
USD/CAD C$1,0732 +0,75%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
01:50 New Zealand REINZ Housing Price Index, m/m June -1.2%
07:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) May +0.8% +0.8%
07:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) May +0.5% +0.5%
09:00 France Bank holiday
12:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) May +0.8% +0.3%
12:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) May +1.4% +1.1%
20:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
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