Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 26-12-2013

Data

05:00 Japan Bookmark new homes, y / y +7.1% +9.5 November% +14.1%

05:00 Japan confidence index in the small business December 51.1 51.1

The euro exchange rate rose slightly against the dollar, which is likely due to the expectations publishing data on employment in the United States. Recall that at 13:30 GMT The Ministry of Labour will publish data on the number of new applications for unemployment benefits in the U.S. last week. According to the median forecast of economists , the number of applications has grown up to a week for 3 thousand - to the level of 382 thousand

We also add that given the fact that trading volume today is quite low and there were no data for the euro area , the U.S. reaction to the data can be extremely unpredictable , especially if the data will be noticeably better or worse than the forecasts of experts.

The yen fell to a five-year low against the dollar amid speculation that the Bank of Japan will continue to unprecedented incentives, while the Federal Reserve reduces quantitative easing , as the U.S. economy recovers . According to the published minutes of the last meeting today, Bank of Japan , held 20-21 November , one of the leaders of the Central Bank said that the GDP data for the period from July to September , may indicate that the trend of economic growth turned around and began descending .

" One member said that the slowdown in real GDP growth may not be a temporary phenomenon , but rather indicate a trend reversal down " - said in a summary of the discussions held at the meeting.

Recall that the Bank of Japan at its meeting upheld the current monetary policy , as well as an overall assessment of the economy , saying that the recovery was " moderate ."

Nevertheless , the central bank revised its outlook on the state of overseas economies , understated weakness emerging economies. According to the minutes , all nine members of the Bank of Japan unanimously voted to keep the bank's policy unchanged , as expected by economists. Next meeting on monetary policy the Bank of Japan is scheduled for 21-22 January 2014.

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3695

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6400

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y104.82

At 13:30 GMT the United States declares including initial claims for unemployment insurance . at 23:30 GMT Japan will announce the change in our level of household expenditure , and publish data on consumer price index for November and the consumer price index for Tokyo in December . Also at this time go out preliminary data on industrial production and change in retail sales for November.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3800, $1.3770/80, $1.3750, $1.3730

Bids $1.3650, $1.3620, $1.3600, $1.3590

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6480, $1.6450, $1.6410, $1.6390/400,

Bids $1.6325/20, $1.6300, $1.6295/90, $1.6280/75

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9050, $0.9020, $0.9000, $0.8980/90, $0.8955/60

Bids $0.8855/50, $0.8825/20, $0.8800, $0.8780

EUR/JPY

Offers Y144.00, Y143.80,

Bids Y142.50, Y142.05/00, Y141.80/60, Y141.50, Y141.25/20

USD/JPY

Offers Y105.00, Y104.80,

Bids Y104.00, Y103.80/75, Y103.65/60, Y103.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8480, stg0.8467, stg0.8435/40, stg0.8415/20, stg0.8400, stg0.8380/85

Bids stg0.8330/20, stg0.8300/290, stg0.8260/50, stg0.8250

00:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday

00:00 Canada Bank holiday

00:00 Germany Bank holiday

00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday

05:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y November +7.1% +9.5% +14.1%

05:00 Japan Small Business Confidence December 51.1 51.1

The yen weakened to a five-year low versus the dollar amid speculation the Bank of Japan will continue unprecedented stimulus while the Federal Reserve pares quantitative easing as the U.S. economy recovers.

Japan’s currency dropped for a fourth day before the U.S. announces jobless claims today and after Bank of Japan minutes showed one board member said a slowdown in growth could represent a downward shift in trend. Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits probably fell to 345,000 in the week ended Dec. 21, according to economists ahead of today’s data. Monthly employment figures are due on Jan. 10, with the jobless rate forecast to remain at a five-year low of 7 percent.

BOJ board members agreed to examine risks and adjust policy as needed, according to minutes of their Nov. 20-21 meeting released today. One member said anticipation of more easing could lead to economic instability.

The yen also slid to a five-year low versus the euro as the Nikkei 225 Stock Average (NKY) extended gains after yesterday closing above 16,000 for the first time in six years.

Australia’s dollar declined against all its major peers.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.3690

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.6395

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y104.75

00:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday

00:00 Canada Bank holiday

00:00 Germany Bank holiday

00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday

05:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y November +7.1% +9.5%

05:00 Japan Small Business Confidence December 51.1

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims December 379 382

21:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories December -2.5

23:30 Japan Household spending Y/Y November +0.9% +1.9%

23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate November 4.0% 3.9%

23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y December +0.9%

23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y December +0.6% +0.7%

23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y November +1.1%

23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y November +0.9% +1.1%

23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Preliminary) November +1.0% +0.6%

23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Preliminary) November +5.4%

23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y November +2.3% +2.9%