Forex-novosti i prognoze od 29-10-2015

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence October -18.9

00:05 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence October 3 4

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m September 0.6%

00:30 Australia Producer price index, q / q Quarter III 0.3%

00:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter III 1.1%

03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0%

03:00 Japan Bank of Japan Monetary Base Target 275

03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement

04:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y September 8.8%

04:00 Japan Construction Orders, y/y September -15.6%

06:30 Japan BOJ Press Conference

07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted September -0.4% 0.4%

07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y September 2.5% 4.2%

08:00 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator October 100.4 100

10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Preliminary) October -0.1% 0%

10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Preliminary) October 0.9%

10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate September 11% 11%

12:30 Canada GDP (m/m) August 0.3% 0.1%

12:30 U.S. Personal Income, m/m September 0.3% 0.2%

12:30 U.S. Personal spending September 0.4% 0.2%

12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m September 0.0%

12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y September 0.3%

13:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index October 48.7 49

14:00 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally) October 87.2 92.5

14:00 U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks

A rally in U.S. stocks stalled Thursday, after equities reached a two-month high, as investors weighed corporate earnings and prospects for higher interest rates this year.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was little changed at 2,089.40 at 4 p.m. in New York, near the highest level since Aug. 18, after briefly erasing losses in the final half hour. The gauge is up 8.8 percent in October, poised for its best month in four years, boosted by gains in commodity producers and technology shares.

Fed officials yesterday forecast moderate growth, and dropped a reference to global risks in a policy statement following a two-day meeting. They also referred to their "next meeting" on Dec. 15-16 as they discussed the timing for raising interest rates. Traders are now pricing in a 52 percent chance of liftoff in December, compared with as low as 30 percent last week. Prior to the Fed meeting, March was the first month showing at least even odds for a rate increase.

Data continues to be the Fed's guide toward an eventual rate boost, and a report today showed the economy expanded at a slower pace in the third quarter as companies took advantage of gains in consumer and business spending to reduce bloated stockpiles. A separate measure showed contract signings to purchase previously owned homes unexpectedly fell in September by the most since the end of 2013, indicating the residential real estate market is cooling from its recent brisk pace.

October Rally

The S&P 500 has rebounded as much as 12 percent from an August low, rising Wednesday to its highest since Aug. 18 amid gains in banks and oil companies. The October rally has been spurred by advances in energy and raw-material shares, the same groups that helped drag the index to its worst quarter since 2011. Both are headed for their strongest monthly increase since 2011 amid easing concern that weakness in China will spread.

Corporate earnings season remains an influence on investor sentiment, with a little less than half of the companies in the S&P 500 yet to report. Of those that have reported, 76 percent beat profit projections, while 55 percent missed sales estimates. Chevron Corp., Exxon Mobil Corp. and Colgate-Palmolive Co. are among 21 companies scheduled to release results on Friday.

The dollar fell against the world's currencies after disappointing reports in the US to dispel the optimism about the strength of the US economy.

US economic growth slowed considerably in the third quarter, which was associated with a reduction in inventories among firms, as well as a slower increase in consumer spending, business, and government. This was discussed in the report of the Ministry of Commerce.

According to the data, gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced in the economy increased by 1.5% in the third quarter after rising 3.9% in the second quarter. Experts expect that the economy will expand by 1.6%. In annual terms, the economy grew by 2%, recording the slowest growth since the 1st quarter of 2014.

Many economists believe that a strong dollar and a slowdown in China will have a significant pressure on the growth of US GDP. However, the sector of international trade had only a very small impact on economic growth and the volume of business spending on equipment. Instead, the change in private inventories were the biggest deterrent to strong growth - this has led to a decrease in GDP by 1.44 percentage points. Decrease in inventories could indicate that companies are not sure about future demand and avoid excessive production. But this change can also say that the fall in oil prices and other commodity prices caused a decline in the value of stocks in US dollar terms. Add real final sales, a measure of economic output, which excludes changes in inventories, increased by 3% in the 3rd quarter against 3.9% in the second quarter.

In addition, the US Labor Department reported that the number of Americans who first applied for unemployment benefits, increased slightly last week but remained near historically low levels. According to the report, in the week ended Oct. 24, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits increased by 1,000 (seasonally adjusted) and reached 260 000. Economists had expected 263,000 new claims. The figure for the previous week has not been revised. It is worth emphasizing the number of calls remained below the psychological threshold of 300,000 already the 34th week in a row, which is the longest series in more than 40 years.

Also today, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that the number of pending home sales fell sharply at the end of September, against forecasts for a moderate increase.

According to data seasonally adjusted index of pending home sales - the gauge of expected sales - fell in September by 2.3 percent to 106.8 points (the second lowest value in that year). Economists had expected the index to rise by 1.0 percent after falling 1.4 percent in August. Recall index reflects the change in sales for which the contract has been signed but the transaction has not yet closed. Typically, at its closing it takes between four to six weeks. In calculating the index does not take into account sales of new homes.

In annual terms, the index rose by 3.0 percent, recording the 13th consecutive monthly increase, fueled by low mortgage rates and a stable situation in the labor market.

Previously, support for the euro was that the federal labor agency said that German unemployment fell in October, exceeding the expectations of experts, and leveling the September increase. According to the data, the seasonally adjusted number of unemployed decreased by 5,000, reaching 2.788 million at the same time. People. Economists had expected the index to fall in 4000. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate remained at 6.4 percent, which is the lowest value since the time of German reunification. The latter value is in line with expectations of economists. The report also stated that the number of people out of work fell by about 2,000 people in West Germany and declined by about 3,000 people in the eastern part.

Meanwhile, the results of a monthly survey conducted by the European Commission, have shown that the confidence of businesses and households across the euro zone has improved again in October, registering with the fourth monthly increase in a row, due to the expectations of the launch of additional measures to stimulate the European Central Bank. The data showed that economic sentiment index rose to 105.9 in October against 105.6 in September. Economists had expected the index to fall to 105.2 points. Confidence index for industry rose to -2.0 from -2.2 in the previous month. At the same time, the consumer confidence indicator was -7.7 in October from -7.1 in September. Last modified in line with expectations. Meanwhile, the index of business sentiment improved to 0.44 from 0.34 last month. It was expected that the rate will fall to 0.32.

The pound rose against the dollar after an early decline, when in the course of trade affected data on lending in Britain, as well as the expectations of the US statistics. Recall, the Bank of England said today that the number of approved applications for mortgage loans in Britain fell in September, registering the first decline in four months, but the volume of mortgage and consumer loans grew at the fastest pace since 2009. According to the report, the number of approved applications for mortgage loans amounted to 68,874 thousand. In September against 70,664 thousand. In August (revised from 71.03 thousand). Analysts had expected the index to rise to 72.45 thousand. Net mortgage lending rose in September to 3.595 bln. Pounds showing the biggest gain since April 2008. In annual terms, the figure rose by 2.2 percent, registering the maximum growth since January 2009. Meanwhile, consumer credit increased by 8.2 percent, which is the highest increase since February 2006. In August, lending increased by 7.8 per cent. Meanwhile, earlier today, data from mortgage lender Nationwide showed that house prices rose 0.6 percent in October, which was slightly more than expected (0.5 per cent).

Major U.S. stock-indexes eased on Thursday after the Federal Reserve rekindled expectations of an interest rate hike in December and data suggested the economy was ready. The Fed, which kept rates unchanged at its policy meeting that ended Wednesday, downplayed concerns about global growth and indicated confidence in the U.S. job market's recovery. Data on Thursday underscored the strength in the labor market, showing that new applications for unemployment benefits remained near levels last seen in 1973.

Most of Dow stocks in negative area (22 of 30). Top looser - Pfizer Inc. (PFE, -1.92%). Top gainer - UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH, +0.74%).

Most of S&P index sectors in negative area. Top looser - Conglomerates (+1,4%). Top gainer - Utilities (-1.1%).

At the moment:

Dow 17672.00 -30.00 -0.17%

S&P 500 2082.50 -2.00 -0.10%

Nasdaq 100 4663.50 -10.25 -0.22%

Oil 46.05 +0.11 +0.24%

Gold 1147.30 -28.80 -2.45%

U.S. 10yr 2.16 +0.07

Stock indices closed lower on the disappointing corporate earnings.

Meanwhile, the economic data from the Europe was mixed. The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 105.9 in October from 105.6 in September. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 104.1.

The increase was driven by stronger confidence in the retail and construction sectors.

The industrial confidence index increased to -2.0 in October from -2.3 in September, beating expectations for a decline to -2.7. September's figure was revised down from -2.2.

The final consumer confidence index was down to -7.7 in October from -7.1 in September, in line with expectations.

The business climate index climbed to 0.44 in October from 0.36 in September. September's figure was revised up from 0.34. Analysts had expected the index to decline to 0.32.

The Federal Labour Agency released its unemployment figures for Germany on Thursday. The number of unemployed people in Germany fell by 5,000 in October, exceeding expectations for a 4,000 decline, after a 1,000 increase in September. September's figure was revised down from a 3,000 rise.

The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.4% in October, in line with expectations.

The number of unemployed people was 1.87 million in September, according to Destatis.

Destatis said that Germany's adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.5% in September.

Destatis released its consumer price data for Germany on Thursday. German preliminary consumer price index was flat in October, beating expectations for a 0.1% decline, after a 0.2% fall in September.

On a yearly basis, German preliminary consumer price index increased to 0.3% in October from 0.0% in September, exceeding expectations for a rise to 0.2%.

The annual increase was mainly driven by a rise in services prices, which were up 1.2% year-on-year in October.

The Bank of England (BoE) released its number of mortgages approvals for the U.K. on Thursday. The number of mortgages approvals in the U.K. was down to 68,874 in September from 70,664 in August, missing expectations for an increase to 72,450. August's figure was revised down from 71,030.

Net lending to individuals in the U.K. increased by £4.85 billion in September, after a £4.7 billion gain in August. August's figure was revised up from a £4.3 billion increase.

The Nationwide Building Society released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. UK house prices were up 0.6% in October, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% rise, after a 0.5% increase in September.

On a yearly basis, house prices rose to 3.9% in October from 3.8% in September. Analysts had expected house prices to rise by 3.8%.

Indexes on the close:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 6,395.8 -42.00 -0.65 %

DAX 10,800.84 -31.12 -0.29 %

CAC 40 4,885.82 -4.76 -0.10 %

Polish equity market closed lower on Thursday. The broad marker measure, the WIG Index, plunged by 1.83%. All sectors in the WIG Index were down. Materials (-4.02%) fared the worst, followed by chemicals (-3.04%) and media sector (-2.72%).

The large-cap stocks' measure, the WIG30 Index, lost 2.19%. BOGDANKA (WSE: LWB) was the sharpest decliner among the indicator's constituents with its shares' quotations being beaten down 7.93% after the company reported a 29% y/y fall in Q3 net profit on lower coal sales. It was followed by GRUPA AZOTY (WSE: ATT), KGHM (WSE; KGH) and ENEA (WSE: ENA), dropping 5.17%, 3.71% and 3.55% respectively. On the other side of the ledger, EUROCASH (WSE: EUR) and PKP CARGO (WSE: PKP) were recorded as the biggest gainers, advancing 0.68% and 0.59% respectively.

The Conference Board released its leading economic index for the Eurozone on Wednesday. The leading economic index was flat in September, after a 0.2% rise in August.

The coincident economic index, which measures current economic activity, was up 0.1% in September, after a flat reading in August.

"The Euro Area Leading Economic Index was unchanged in September, and its six-month change has slowed in recent months, suggesting economic activity is unlikely to accelerate in the coming months," director of business cycles and growth research at The Conference Board, Ataman Ozyildirim, said.

The U.S. House of Representatives approved a budget deal on Wednesday. 266 to 167 voted for the deal. 79 Republicans joined Democrats to approve the deal.

The deal means that debt limit was raised through March 2017.

Federal spending on defence and domestic programmes will rise over $80 billion for the next two years.

Oil prices declined after yesterday's significant rise. WTI crude yesterday rose more than 6%, while Brent crude increased more than 4%. U.S. crude oil inventories data supported yesterday's increase. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its crude oil inventories data on Wednesday. U.S. crude inventories increased by 3.38 million barrels to 480.0 million in the week to October 23. It was the fifth consecutive increase.

Analysts had expected U.S. crude oil inventories to rise by 3.5 million barrels.

Gasoline inventories decreased by 1.1 million barrels, according to the EIA.

Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, fell by 785,000 barrels.

The U.S. GDP data weighed on oil prices. The U.S. Commerce Department released gross domestic product data on Thursday. The U.S. preliminary gross domestic product increased by 1.9% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 1.6% gain, after a 3.9% rise in the second quarter.

The slower rise was mainly driven by a drop in private inventory investment.

Consumer spending grew 3.2% in the third quarter, after a 3.6% increase in the second quarter.

WTI crude oil for December delivery declined to $45.16 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Brent crude oil for December fell to $49.01 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.

Gold price fall as an interest rate hike by the Fed this year is still possible. The Fed released its interest rate decision on Wednesday. The Fed kept its interest rate unchanged at 0.00%-0.25%. This decision was widely expected by analysts.

The Fed pointed out that an interest rate hike in December is still on the table.

"In determining whether it will be appropriate to raise the target range at its next meeting, the Committee will assess progress--both realized and expected--toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation," the Fed said in its statement.

The U.S. Commerce Department released gross domestic product data on Thursday. The U.S. preliminary gross domestic product increased by 1.9% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 1.6% gain, after a 3.9% rise in the second quarter.

The slower rise was mainly driven by a drop in private inventory investment.

Consumer spending grew 3.2% in the third quarter, after a 3.6% increase in the second quarter.

December futures for gold on the COMEX today declined to 1150.10 dollars per ounce.

China's Communist Party approved a five-year reform plan on Thursday. The plan will run from 2016 to 2020. No details were revealed.

Most analysts expect that the economic growth target will be downgraded to 6.5% from 7.0%. A 6.5% growth is needed to achieve the party's target of doubling GDP and per-capita income of both urban and rural residents by 2020.

China's economy expanded 6.9% in the third quarter, beating expectations for a 6.8% gain, after a 7.0% in the second quarter. It was the weakest growth since 2009.

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) released its retail sales balance data on Thursday. The CBI retail sales balance plunged to +19% in October from +49% in September.

Sales expectations for next month were down to +24% in October from +51% in September.

"Low inflation and improving wages mean the prospects for sales growth are decent, but challenges remain, like the weakening global economy and competitive pressures in the retail sector, so we can't take this positive outlook for granted," CBI Director of Economics, Rain Newton-Smith, said.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) released its pending home sales figures for the U.S. on Thursday. Pending home sales in the U.S. slid 2.3% in September, missing expectations for a 1.0% gain, after a 1.4% drop in August.

The decline was partly lead by a drop in the Northeast.

"There continues to be a dearth of available listings in the lower end of the market for first-time buyers, and realtors in many areas are reporting stronger competition than what's normal this time of year because of stubbornly-low inventory conditions. Additionally, the rockiness in the financial markets at the end of the summer and signs of a slowing U.S. economy may be causing some prospective buyers to take a wait-and-see approach," the NAR's chief economist Lawrence Yun said.

Destatis released its consumer price data for Germany on Thursday. German preliminary consumer price index was flat in October, beating expectations for a 0.1% decline, after a 0.2% fall in September.

On a yearly basis, German preliminary consumer price index increased to 0.3% in October from 0.0% in September, exceeding expectations for a rise to 0.2%.

The annual increase was mainly driven by a rise in services prices, which were up 1.2% year-on-year in October.

Goods prices dropped 0.8% year-on-year in October, driven by a decline in energy prices. Energy prices slid 8.6% year-on-year in October.

The U.S. Commerce Department released gross domestic product data on Thursday. The U.S. preliminary gross domestic product increased by 1.9% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 1.6% gain, after a 3.9% rise in the second quarter.

The slower rise was mainly driven by a drop in private inventory investment.

Consumer spending grew 3.2% in the third quarter, after a 3.6% increase in the second quarter.

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 1.2% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 3.2% gain, after a 2.2% increase in the second quarter.

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding food and energy increased 1.3% in the third quarter, missing forecasts of a 1.4% rise, after a 1.9% gain in the second quarter.

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is the Fed's preferred measure for inflation.

USD/JPY 120.00 (USD 3.5bln) 121.00 (1.5bln)

EUR/USD 1.1000 (EUR 2.7bln) 1.1150 (801m)

USD/CAD 1.3075 (USD 250m)

AUD/USD 0.7120-25 (AUD 330m) 0.7150 (314m)

EUR/GBP 0.7220 (EUR 902m) 0.7350 (784m)

Statistics Canada released its industrial product and raw materials price indexes on Thursday. The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) fell 0.3% in September, missing forecasts for a 0.1% drop, after a 0.3% decline in August.

The decrease was mainly driven by lower prices for energy and petroleum products, which slid 3.6% in September.

15 of the 21 commodity groups increased, 4 declined and 2 were unchanged.

The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) climbed 3.0% in September, after a 6.8% fall in August. August's figure was revised down from a 6.6% decline.

The rise was driven by higher prices for crude energy products. Crude energy products rose by 8.2% in September.

3 of the 6 commodity groups rose and 3 decreased.

The U.S. Labor Department released its jobless claims figures on Thursday. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending October 24 in the U.S. rose by 1,000 to 260,000 from 259,000 in the previous week.

Analysts had expected the initial jobless claims to increase to 263,000.

Jobless claims remained below 300,000 the 34th straight week. This threshold is associated with the strengthening of the labour market.

Continuing jobless claims decreased by 37,000 to 2,144,000 in the week ended October 17. It was the lowest level since November 2000.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:30 Australia Import Price Index, q/q Quarter III 1.4% 1.6% 1.4%

00:30 Australia Export Price Index, q/q Quarter III -4.4% 0.5% 0.0%

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y October 3.8% 3.8% 3.9%

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index October 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%

08:55 Germany Unemployment Change October 1 Revised From 3 -4 -5

08:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. October 6.4% 6.4% 6.4%

09:30 United Kingdom Consumer credit, mln September 1263 Revised From 860 1100 1261

09:30 United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals September 70.66 Revised From 71.03 72.45 68.87

09:30 United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals, bln September 4.7 Revised From 4.3 4.85

10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index October 105.6 105.2 105.9

10:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) October -7.1 -7.7 -7.7

10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator October 0.36 Revised From 0.34 0.32 0.44

10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence October -2.3 Revised From -2.2 -2.7 -2

11:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance October 49 19

12:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, m/m September -0.3% -0.1% -0.3%

12:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, y/y September -0.4% -0.4%

12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims October 2181 Revised From 2170 2160 2144

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims October 259 263 260

12:30 U.S. PCE price index, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 2.2% 3.2% 1.2%

12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 1.9% 1.4% 1.3%

12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 3.9% 1.6% 1.5%

13:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Preliminary) October -0.2% -0.1% 0.0%

13:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Preliminary) October 0% 0.2% 0.3%

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies after the release of the mixed U.S. economic data. The U.S. preliminary gross domestic product increased 1.5% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 1.6% gain, after a 3.9% rise in the second quarter.

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 1.2% in third quarter.

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding food and energy increased 1.3%.

The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending October 24 in the U.S. rose by 1,000 to 260,000 from 259,000 in the previous week. Analysts had expected the initial jobless claims to increase to 263,000.

The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar despite the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 105.9 in October from 105.6 in September. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 104.1.

The increase was driven by stronger confidence in the retail and construction sectors.

The industrial confidence index increased to -2.0 in October from -2.3 in September, beating expectations for a decline to -2.7. September's figure was revised down from -2.2.

The final consumer confidence index was down to -7.7 in October from -7.1 in September, in line with expectations.

The business climate index climbed to 0.44 in October from 0.36 in September. September's figure was revised up from 0.34. Analysts had expected the index to decline to 0.32.

The Federal Labour Agency released its unemployment figures for Germany on Thursday. The number of unemployed people in Germany fell by 5,000 in October, exceeding expectations for a 4,000 decline, after a 1,000 increase in September. September's figure was revised down from a 3,000 rise.

The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.4% in October, in line with expectations.

The number of unemployed people was 1.87 million in September, according to Destatis.

Destatis said that Germany's adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.5% in September.

The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed economic data from the U.K. The Bank of England (BoE) released its number of mortgages approvals for the U.K. on Thursday. The number of mortgages approvals in the U.K. was down to 68,874 in September from 70,664 in August, missing expectations for an increase to 72,450. August's figure was revised down from 71,030.

Net lending to individuals in the U.K. increased by £4.85 billion in September, after a £4.7 billion gain in August. August's figure was revised up from a £4.3 billion increase.

The Nationwide Building Society released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. UK house prices were up 0.6% in October, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% rise, after a 0.5% increase in September.

On a yearly basis, house prices rose to 3.9% in October from 3.8% in September. Analysts had expected house prices to rise by 3.8%.

The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed economic data from the Canada. The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) fell 0.3% in September, missing forecasts for a 0.1% drop, after a 0.3% decline in August.

The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) climbed 3.0% in September, after a 6.8% fall in August.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y121.11

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) September -1.4% 1%

14:10 U.S. FOMC Member Dennis Lockhart Speaks

23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y October -0.1%

23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y October -0.2% -0.1%

23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y September 0.2%

23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y September -0.1% -0.2%

U.S. stock-index futures held declines after data showed the economy expanded at a slower pace.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei 18,935.71 +32.69 +0.17%

Hang Seng 22,819.94 -136.63 -0.60%

Shanghai Composite 3,388.07 +12.87 +0.38%

FTSE 6,372.78 -65.02 -1.01%

CAC 4,854.26 -36.32 -0.74%

DAX 10,786.14 -45.82 -0.42%

Crude oil $45.35 (-1.28%)

Gold $1153.00 (-1.96%)

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)

Upgrades:

Downgrades:

Other:

Walt Disney (DIS) reiterated with a Buy at Topeka Capital Markets; target lowered to $136 from $138

EUR/USD

Offers 1.0950 1.0980 1.1000 1.1020-25 1.1050 1.1075-80 1.1100

Bids 1.0920 1.0900 1.0885 1.0850 1.0830 1.0800 1.0785 1.0765 1.0750

GBP/USD

Offers 1.5280 1.5300 1.5320-25 1.5355-60 1.5380-85 15400 1.5420-25 1.5445-50

Bids 1.5250 1.5220 1.5200 1.5175-80 1.5150 1.5130 1.5100 1.5085 1.5065 1.5050

EUR/GBP

Offers 0.7180-85 0.7200 0.7220-25 0.7250 0.7275-80 0.7300 0.7325-30 0.7350

Bids 0.7145-50 0.7130 0.7100 0.7085 0.7050 0.7030 0.7000

EUR/JPY

Offers 132.70 133.00 133.20 133.50-60 133.75-80 134.00 134.20-25 134.50

Bids 131.50 131.30 131.00

USD/JPY

Offers 120.80-85 121.00 121.20 121.35 121.50 121.80 122.00

Bids 120.50 120.20-25 120.00 119.80-85 119.50 119.25-30 119.00

AUD/USD

Offers 0.7120 0.7140 0.7180 0.720 0.7220 0.7250 0.7265 0.7280-85 0.7300

Bids 0.7100-0.7095 0.7080 0.7065 0.7050 0.7030 0.7000 0.6985 0.6960 0.6930 0.6900

Altria reported Q3 earnings of $0.75 per share (versus $0.69 in Q3 FY 2014), slightly missing analysts' consensus of $0.76.

The company's revenues amounted to $4.978 bln (+4.7% y/y), beating consensus estimate of $4.903 bln.

The company reaffirmed its FY 2015 guidance with earnings expected to be within the range of $2.76 to $2.81 per share. The analysts' consensus forecast for the company's EPS FY 2015 stands at $2.81.

MO rose to $62.10 (+1.07%) in pre-market trading.

Stock indices traded lower on the disappointing corporate earnings.

Meanwhile, the economic data from the Europe was mixed. The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 105.9 in October from 105.6 in September. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 104.1.

The increase was driven by stronger confidence in the retail and construction sectors.

The industrial confidence index increased to -2.0 in October from -2.3 in September, beating expectations for a decline to -2.7. September's figure was revised down from -2.2.

The final consumer confidence index was down to -7.7 in October from -7.1 in September, in line with expectations.

The business climate index climbed to 0.44 in October from 0.36 in September. September's figure was revised up from 0.34. Analysts had expected the index to decline to 0.32.

The Federal Labour Agency released its unemployment figures for Germany on Thursday. The number of unemployed people in Germany fell by 5,000 in October, exceeding expectations for a 4,000 decline, after a 1,000 increase in September. September's figure was revised down from a 3,000 rise.

The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.4% in October, in line with expectations.

The number of unemployed people was 1.87 million in September, according to Destatis.

Destatis said that Germany's adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.5% in September.

The Bank of England (BoE) released its number of mortgages approvals for the U.K. on Thursday. The number of mortgages approvals in the U.K. was down to 68,874 in September from 70,664 in August, missing expectations for an increase to 72,450. August's figure was revised down from 71,030.

Net lending to individuals in the U.K. increased by £4.85 billion in September, after a £4.7 billion gain in August. August's figure was revised up from a £4.3 billion increase.

The Nationwide Building Society released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. UK house prices were up 0.6% in October, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% rise, after a 0.5% increase in September.

On a yearly basis, house prices rose to 3.9% in October from 3.8% in September. Analysts had expected house prices to rise by 3.8%.

Current figures:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 6,386.51 -51.29 -0.80 %

DAX 10,828.93 -3.03 -0.03 %

CAC 40 4,871.5 -19.08 -0.39 %

The Spanish statistical office INE released its retail sales data on Thursday. Retail sales in Spain rose at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.6% in September, after a 0.1% gain in August.

Food sales were down 0.5% in September, while non-food sales climbed by 0.7%.

On a yearly basis, retail sales climbed at a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.3% in September, after a 3.0% rise in August. August's figure was revised down from a 3.1% gain.

Sales of non-food products jumped 5.8% in September from a year ago, while food sales declined 0.2%.

The Spanish statistical office INE released its preliminary consumer price inflation data on Thursday. Consumer price inflation in Spain was up 0.7% in October, after a 0.3% drop in September.

On a yearly basis, consumer prices fell by 0.7% in October, after a 0.9% decrease in September.

The annual decline was mainly driven by the decline in the prices of fuels and lubricants (diesel and petrol).

The Nationwide Building Society released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. UK house prices were up 0.6% in October, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% rise, after a 0.5% increase in September.

On a yearly basis, house prices rose to 3.9% in October from 3.8% in September. Analysts had expected house prices to rise by 3.8%.

"Over the past five months annual price growth has remained in a fairly narrow range between 3% and 4%, broadly consistent with earnings growth over the longer term. While this bodes well for a sustainable increase in housing market activity, much will depend on whether building activity can keep pace with increasing demand," Nationwide's chief economist, Robert Gardner, said.

The Federal Labour Agency released its unemployment figures for Germany on Thursday. The number of unemployed people in Germany fell by 5,000 in October, exceeding expectations for a 4,000 decline, after a 1,000 increase in September. September's figure was revised down from a 3,000 rise.

The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.4% in October, in line with expectations.

The number of unemployed people was 1.87 million in September, according to Destatis.

Destatis said that Germany's adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.5% in September.

The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 105.9 in October from 105.6 in September. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 104.1.

The increase was driven by stronger confidence in the retail and construction sectors.

The industrial confidence index increased to -2.0 in October from -2.3 in September, beating expectations for a decline to -2.7. September's figure was revised down from -2.2.

The final consumer confidence index was down to -7.7 in October from -7.1 in September, in line with expectations.

The business climate index climbed to 0.44 in October from 0.36 in September. September's figure was revised up from 0.34. Analysts had expected the index to decline to 0.32.

The Bank of England (BoE) released its number of mortgages approvals for the U.K. on Thursday. The number of mortgages approvals in the U.K. was down to 68,874 in September from 70,664 in August, missing expectations for an increase to 72,450. August's figure was revised down from 71,030.

The BoE introduced tighter rules on mortgage lending last year. Lenders have to make more checks on whether borrowers can afford their loans.

Consumer credit in the U.K. rose by £1.261 billion in September, beating expectations for a £1.100 billion increase, after a £1.163 billion gain in August. August's figure was revised up from £0.860 billion.

Net lending to individuals in the U.K. increased by £4.85 billion in September, after a £4.7 billion gain in August. August's figure was revised up from a £4.3 billion increase.

Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry released its preliminary industrial production data on late Thursday evening. Preliminary industrial production in Japan climbed 1.0% in September, beating expectations for a 0.5% decrease, after a 1.2% drop in August.

The increase was mainly driven by rises in chemical, electronic parts and electrical machinery industry.

On a yearly basis, Japan's industrial production was down 0.9% in September, after a 0.4% decline in August.

Thomson Reuters released its GFMS Gold Survey on Wednesday. It expect gold price to be below $1,100/oz in the fourth quarter 2015, lower than the previous estimate of $1,175/oz. Thomson Reuters said in its survey that the uncertainty over the Fed's interest rate hike weighs on gold.

An annual average gold price is expected to be $1,159/oz in 2015, lower than the previous estimate of $1,180/oz.

Gold output in the third quarter 2015 was estimated at 851 tonnes.

Physical gold demand in the third quarter 2015 climbed by 7% year-on-year.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) released its interest rate decision on Wednesday. The RBNZ kept its interest rate unchanged at 2.75% as widely expected by analysts.

The central bank noted that further monetary policy easing is possible, but it will depend on the incoming economic data.

"To ensure that future average CPI inflation settles near the middle of the target range, some further reduction in the Official Cash Rate (OCR) seems likely," the RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler said.

He noted that the inflation was below the 1%-3% target range, driven by earlier strength in the New Zealand dollar and lower global oil prices. Wheeler expects the inflation to return within the target range by early 2016.

The RBNZ governor also said that strong house price inflation in Auckland is a risk to financial stability.

Wheeler noted that the recent rise in diary prices was contributed to improved household and business sentiment.

The Fed released its interest rate decision on Wednesday. The Fed kept its interest rate unchanged at 0.00%-0.25%. This decision was widely expected by analysts.

FOMC members voted 9-1 to keep interest rates unchanged. Only Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker voted to raise interest rate by 0.25%.

The Fed pointed out that an interest rate hike in December is still on the table.

"In determining whether it will be appropriate to raise the target range at its next meeting, the Committee will assess progress--both realized and expected--toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation," the Fed said in its statement.

It seems that the Fed's assessment of current economic conditions changed as it removed the sentence "recent global economic and financial developments may restrain economic activity somewhat".

The Fed expects the U.S. economy to recover moderately, and the employment and inflation to move toward its targets.

European Central Bank (ECB) chief economist Peter Praet said in Riga on Wednesday that the central bank's quantitative easing was needed as the growth in the Eurozone was below the level it was before the financial crisis, and there were risks to longer-term inflation expectations.

He also said that the central bank should use all instruments available to boost the inflation in the Eurozone.

The value of the ECB's asset-buying programme will be discussed at the monetary policy meeting in December.

USD/JPY 120.00 (USD 3.5bln) 121.00 (1.5bln)

EUR/USD 1.1000 (EUR 2.7bln) 1.1150 (801m)

USD/CAD 1.3075 (USD 250m)

AUD/USD 0.7120-25 (AUD 330m) 0.7150 (314m)

EUR/GBP 0.7220 (EUR 902m) 0.7350 (784m)

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1164 (2239)

$1.1081 (2195)

$1.1016 (658)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0936

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0900 (5032)

$1.0863 (4164)

$1.0819 (5218)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 6 is 45917 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3311);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 6 is 53744 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0900 (5218);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.17 versus 1.22 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 28

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.5501 (2349)

$1.5402 (1492)

$1.5305 (915)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.5262

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.5195 (2878)

$1.5098 (1912)

$1.4999 (1739)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 6 is 21053 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5350 (2541);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 6 is 21620 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5200 (2878);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.03 versus 1.02 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 28

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

00:30 Australia Import Price Index, q/q Quarter III 1.4% 1.6% 1.4%

00:30 Australia Export Price Index, q/q Quarter III -4.4% 0.5% 0.0%

The U.S. dollar rose against the euro after the Federal Reserve left its key interest rate unchanged, but gave a hint that a rate hike in December would still be possible. Fed's statement did not mention a concern seen in September that market turbulence and worldwide events might hold back economic activity in the U.S. This does not guarantee a rate hike in the current year, but it signals that obstacles mentioned in September decreased.

The yen advanced against the U.S. dollar amid Japanese industrial production data. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry reported that the country's industrial production rose by 1.0% in September compared to a 1.3% decline reported previously and a 0.5% fall expected by economists. On a y/y basis the index came in at -0.9%. The unexpected rise in September gives hope for a stronger growth of the country's economy despite China's economic slowdown.

Tomorrow the Bank of Japan will hold a meeting and revise inflation and economic growth forecasts. Inflation forecasts are likely to be revised down.

The New Zealand dollar declined after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand left it benchmark rate at 2.75%, but signaled that it might be lowered later on. A rate cut would depend on economic data. The RBNZ's inflation target is 1%-3%, while the CPI is currently at 0.4%.

EUR/USD: the pair fluctuated within $1.0900-35 in Asian trade

USD/JPY: the pair fell to Y120.60

GBP/USD: the pair fell to $1.5250

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y October 3.8% 3.8%

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index October 0.5% 0.5%

08:55 Germany Unemployment Change October 3 -4

08:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. October 6.4% 6.4%

09:30 United Kingdom Consumer credit, mln September 860 1100

09:30 United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals September 71.03 72.45

09:30 United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals, bln September 4.3

10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index October 105.6 105.2

10:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) October -7.1 -7.7

10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator October 0.34 0.32

10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence October -2.2 -2.7

11:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance October 49

12:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, m/m September -0.3% -0.1%

12:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, y/y September -0.4%

12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims October 2170 2160

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims October 259 263

12:30 U.S. PCE price index, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 2.2% 3.2%

12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 1.9% 1.4%

12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 3.9% 1.6%

13:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Preliminary) October -0.2% -0.1%

13:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Preliminary) October 0% 0.2%

14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) September -1.4% 1%

14:10 U.S. FOMC Member Dennis Lockhart Speaks

21:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m September -4.9% 0.2%

23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate September 3.4% 3.4%

23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y October -0.1%

23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y October -0.2% -0.1%

23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y September 0.2%

23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y September -0.1% -0.2%

West Texas Intermediate futures for December delivery declined to $45.67 (-0.59%), while Brent crude retreated to $48.83 (-0.45%) amid profit taking after Wednesday's gains, which were generated by a smaller-than-expected buildup in U.S. crude inventories.

Federal Reserve's hints to a rate hike in December keep oil under pressure because higher rates would boost the dollar thus making dollar-denominated crude more expensive for importers using other currencies.

The Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday that U.S. crude stockpile rose by 3.4 million barrels in the week to October 23, while the American Petroleum Institute had expected a 4.1 million-barrel growth. At the same time refinery utilization rate advanced to 87.6% from 86.4%.

On Thursday gold slightly rebounded from its loss in the previous session, but still remained around its two-week low at $1,161.40 (-1.25%). Short-covering and physical demand helped the precious metal climb.

The Federal Reserve put pressure on bullion when it said in its monetary policy statement (this time the benchmark interest rate remained unchanged) that raising rates at the next meeting depends on the progress made on employment and inflation. Market participants will be closely watching U.S. economic data.

Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest gold-backed exchange-traded fund in the world, fell 0.17% to 694.34 tonnes on Wednesday.

U.S. stock indices climbed on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve left its monetary policy unchanged, but gave a hint that a rate increase in December is possible.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 198.09, or 1.1%, to 17,779.52. The S&P 500 gained 24.46 points, or 1.2%, to 2,090.35 (its financial sector rose 2.4%). The Nasdaq Composite Index added 65.55, or 1.3%, to 5,095.69.

Fed's statement did not mention its concern seen in September that market turbulence and worldwide events might hold back economic activity in the U.S. This does not guarantee a rate hike in the current year, but it signals that obstacles mentioned in September decreased.

Apple reported that it almost doubled its earnings in China thus dismissing concerns over its business in the world's second-biggest economy.

This morning in Asia Hong Kong Hang Seng fell 0.38%, or 87.43, to 22,869.14. China Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.12%, or 4.18, to 3.379.38. The Nikkei lost 0.15%, or 27.83, to 18,875.19.

Asian indices are trading mixed despite strong gains in U.S. equities.

Chinese stocks declined after better-than-expected industrial production data lowered chances for easing at Bank of Japan Friday meeting.