Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 07-03-2012.

The euro rallied from a two-week low against the dollar as investors with 58 percent of the Greek bonds eligible have indicated they’ll participate in the so- called private-sector involvement of the nation’s bailout. The nation has said it will use collective action clauses to force holders of Greek-law bonds to accept the swap if it receives sufficient consent from investors.

The dollar rose against the yen after a report that the Federal Reserve is considering sterilized bond purchases. Brazil’s real tumbled against all of its most-traded counterparts as the government prepared measures to control capital inflows and stem the currency’s appreciation. The yen extended losses against the dollar to 0.2 percent to trade at 81.04 after the Wall Street Journal reported the U.S. central bank was considering a monetary program that would also subdue concern about future inflation. The program could see the Fed borrow an equivalent amount of money that it used to purchase the bonds, the report said.

European stocks rose, rebounding from yesterday’s biggest drop since November, after a report showed hiring in U.S. companies accelerated and as investors with more than half of Greek bonds agreed to a debt swap.

Investors holding a total of at least 120 billion euros ($157 billion), or 58 percent of the Greek bonds eligible for the nation’s debt swap, have so far indicated they will participate in the biggest-ever sovereign restructuring. The offer, which ends at 10 p.m. Athens time tomorrow, aims to reduce the the 206 billion euros of privately held Greek debt by 53.5 percent.

German factory orders unexpectedly declined in January. Orders, adjusted for seasonal swings and inflation, fell 2.7 percent from December, when they gained 1.6 percent, the Economy Ministry in Berlin said.

National benchmark indexes rose in 14 of the 18 western European markets. France’s CAC 40 added 0.9 percent. Germany’s DAX climbed 0.6 percent and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 gained 0.4 percent.

Deutsche Boerse AG, blocked from buying NYSE Euronext by European regulators last month, advanced 2.3 percent to 47.01 euros, the most since Feb. 20. UBS AG recommended buying the stock saying concerns over the impact of financial transaction tax are overdone.

Thales SA added 2.7 percent to 27.09 euros after reporting full-year net income of 566 million euros, more than analysts’ estimates of 455 million euros.

Adidas, the world’s second-largest sporting-goods maker, declined 3 percent to 56 euros after saying it saw 2012 net income-target between 736 million euros to 770 million euros, missing analysts’ estimates.

U.S. stocks advanced, following the biggest decline in 2012 for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, after a private report showed American companies increased hiring and more investors signed on to a Greek debt swap.

Stocks rose as companies added 216,000 workers to their payrolls in February, according to data today from ADP Employer Services. The median projection of economists called for an advance of 215,000. A report later this week may show that payrolls increased by 210,000 last month after rising 243,000 in January.

Optimism about Greece’s debt swap helped lift stocks. Investors with 58 percent of the Greek bonds eligible for the nation’s debt swap have so far indicated they’ll participate. The goal of the exchange is to reduce the 206 billion euros of privately held Greek debt by 53.5 percent and turn the tide against the debt crisis that has roiled Europe for more than two years.

Equities extended gains as the Wall Street Journal reported that Fed officials are considering a bond-buying program designed to subdue worries about future inflation if they decide to take new steps to boost the economy in the months ahead. The Journal said the Fed would print new money to buy long-term mortgage or Treasury bonds but effectively tie up that money by borrowing it back for short periods at low rates.

Dow 12,835.44     +76.29 +0.60%, Nasdaq      2,939.75       +29.43 +1.01%, S&P 500   1,352.84       +9.48         +0.71%

The KBW Bank Index added 1.7 percent. Bank of America (ВАС) rose 2.3 percent to $7.89. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) advanced 1.6 percent to $39.96.

Caterpillar (САТ) advanced 2.1 percent to $108.20. United Technologies Corp. climbed 1.5 percent to $82.63.

General Electric Co. (GE) increased 2.1 percent to $18.81. The world’s biggest maker of jet engines, power generation equipment, health-care imaging equipment and locomotives reiterated its forecast of earnings growth of at least 10 percent from industrial and capital units this year.

Ciena Corp. surged 7.5 percent to $14.45. The maker of fiber-optic networking equipment estimates operating results to be stronger in the second half of 2012 than in the first half. JDS Uniphase Corp., the largest maker of fiber-optic testing equipment, added 3.2 percent to $12.89.

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. rose 5 percent to $15.35. The teen retailer reported fourth-quarter earnings of 35 cents a share, excluding some items, matching the average analyst estimate in a Bloomberg survey, and said it expects margin improvement this year.

Oil rose from a two-week low as more investors signed on to a Greek debt swap, reducing concern that the country will default and bolstering optimism that the European economy will rebound.

Futures climbed as much as 1.2 percent after investors with holdings amounting to 58 percent of the Greek bonds eligible for the nation’s debt swap agreed to participate. An Energy Department report showed that U.S. crude supplies increased last week while stockpiles of gasoline, diesel and heating oil fell. Crude oil supplies climbed 832,000 barrels to 345.7 million barrels last week, the highest level since September, the Energy Department report showed.

Futures also advanced after companies in the U.S. added 216,000 workers to their payrolls in February, according to data today from Roseland, New Jersey-based ADP Employer Services.

Crude oil for April delivery rose to $106.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent oil for April settlement increased $1.58, or 1.3 percent, to $123.56 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.

Gold prices stabilized after a three-day decline. From statistics published today may be noted the data on the U.S. labor market, which turned out better than expected.

According to analyst firm ADP, the number of jobs in private companies in the USA in February of this year increased by 216,000 compared with January. Statistics was slightly better than expected, analysts believed that the figure rose to 215,000.

The dollar to a basket of six currencies of countries - major U.S. trading partners fell by 0.03% to 79.91 points.

March futures of gold on COMEX today kept in the range of 1673.1 - 1680.0 per ounce.

EUR/USD $1.3050, $1.3100, $1.3125, $1.3170, $1.3200

USD/JPY Y80.75, Y81.00, Y81.10, Y81.25, Y81.75

AUD/USD $1.0680, $1.0700

EUR/CHF Chf1.2050

GBP/USD $1.5800

NZD/USD $0.8200

USD/CHF Chf0.9180

Data:

06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate February 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%

08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves February 227.2 224.9

11:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) January +1.6% +0.6% -2.7%

11:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) January -0.1% -1.7% -2.1%

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3265, $1.3250, $1.3230, $1.3200/10, $1.3170/75

Bids $1.3100, $1.3085/80, $1.3060/50, $1.3035/25

AUD/USD

Offers $1.0720/25, $1.0685/90, $1.0655/60, $1.0630/35, $1.0595/00

Bids $1.0535/30, $1.0510/00, $1.0480/75, $1.0450, $1.0440/35, $1.0430/25

Resistance 3: Y81.60 (session high)

Resistance 2: Y81.15 (Mar 5 low, high of american session on Mar 6)

Resistance 1: Y80.95 (session high)

Current price: Y80.75

Support 1:Y80.60 (session low, Mar 6 low)

Support 2:Y80.20 (Feb 29 low)

Support 3:Y80.00/90 (Feb 23-24 and 28 lows)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9340 (Jan 25 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9300 (high of February)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9200/10 (Mar 6 and Feb 17 highs)

Current price: Chf0.9179

Support 1: Chf0.9160/50 (session low, area of Mar 2-3 highs)

Support 2: Chf0.9100 (Mar 5 low)

Support 3: Chf0.9070 (Mar 1 high)

Комментарии: на Н4 сформировалась дивергенция между ценой и индикатором MACD, что указывает на рост вероятности коррекции.

Resistance 3 : $1.5880 (Mar 5-6 highs)

Resistance 2 : $1.5780 (Mar 5 low, resistance line from Mar 2)

Resistance 1 : $1.5760 (Mar 5 low)

Current price: $1.5731

Support 1 : $1.5700/90 (Mar 6 low, 38,2 % FIBO $1.5230-$ 1.5990)

Support 2 : $1.5650 (Feb 14, 16 and 22-23 lows)

Support 3 : $1.5610 (50.0 % FIBO $1.5230-$ 1.5990)

Resistance 3 : $1.3280 (Mar 1 low)

Resistance 2 : $1.3240 (Mar 5 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.3160 (Mar 5 low, session high)

Current price: $1.3134

Support 1 : $1.3100 (Mar 6 low)

Support 2 : $1.2970 (Feb 16 low)

Support 3 : $1.2930 (Jan 25 low)

Комментарии: на Н4 сформировалась дивергенция между ценой и индикатором MACD, что указывает на рост вероятности коррекции.

EUR/USD $1.3050, $1.3100, $1.3125, $1.3170, $1.3200

USD/JPY Y80.75, Y81.00, Y81.10, Y81.25, Y81.75

AUD/USD $1.0680, $1.0700

EUR/CHF Chf1.2050

GBP/USD $1.5800

NZD/USD $0.8200

USD/CHF Chf0.9180

Asian stocks fell for a third day, with the regional benchmark index (CRY) headed for the lowest close in a month, amid concern about a Greece debt-swap deal and after reports showed European gross domestic product contracted and Australia’s economy grew less than forecast.

Nikkei 225 9,576.06 -61.57 -0.64%

Hang Seng 20,628.91 -177.34 -0.85%

S&P/ASX 200 4,143.66 -61.07 -1.45%

Shanghai Composite 2,394.79 -15.65 -0.65%

Sony Corp., Japan’s No. 1 exporter of consumer electronics, slid 2.4 percent. Newcrest Mining Ltd. lost 3.8 percent in Sydney as metal prices dropped.

China Life Insurance Co. slumped 5.4 percent in Hong Kong after saying profit may have fallen by half last year.

Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., the most actively traded stock by volume in the regional benchmark index today, plunged after saying a lock-up period barring the sale of its shares had ended, giving Goldman Sachs Group Inc. the right to sell its stake.

Yesterday the euro declined to a two-week low versus the dollar after a report showed the region’s economy contracted last quarter, adding to signs the European debt crisis is hampering global growth. Europe’s gross domestic product shrank 0.3 percent from the third quarter, the region’s statistics office said, confirming an initial estimate published on Feb. 15. Exports fell 0.4 percent and household spending declined 0.4 percent. The ECB will keep its benchmark interest rate t a record low 1 percent on March 8. The euro dropped as Greece struggles to complete a bond exchange with private investors by March 8 in order to receive a 130 billion-euro ($171 billion) bailout.

The yen rose against all its major counterparts and gained for a fifth day against the 17-nation currency as 20 percent of Greece’s private creditors have agreed to debt restructuring. The yen rose against the dollar for a second day as it rebounded from oversold levels for the first time in 13 days. Its 14-day relative strength index advanced above the 30 level, which indicates an asset may have declined too far, too quickly, for the first session since Feb. 16.

Australia’s dollar fell to a five-week low after the central bank left its benchmark rate at 4.25 percent and reiterated it has scope to ease monetary policy if needed. The Reserve Bank of Australia said in a statement that while current settings are “appropriate for the moment,” there is scope for easier policy if demand weakens “materially.”

EUR/USD: yesterday the pair has fallen to a figure, come nearer to $1.3100.

GBP/USD: yesterday the pair has fallen on one and a half figure, touched $1.5700.

USD/JPY: yesterday the pair has fallen, closed day below Y81.00.

On Wednesday US data starts at 1200GMT with the MBA weekly mortgage applications data. This is followed at 1315GMT by the ADP National Employment Report, which has missed the size of the payroll change by a fairly substantial amount in the last few months. At 1330GMT, US Q4 non-farm productivity is expected to be revised up to a 0.9% rate of growth. The weekly EIA weekly crude oil and gasoline stocks data follows at 1530GMT. Late US data sees the 2000GMT release of Treasury Allotments By Class and consumer credit

usage, which is forecast to rise $10.8 billion in January after significant increases in the previous two months that were due in large part to spikes in nonrevolving credit use. Retail sales rose 0.4% in January, while sales were up 0.7% excluding motor vehicle sales.

Resistance 3: Y82.20 (high of May)

Resistance 2: Y81.85 (Mar 5 high)

Resistance 1: Y81.15 (Mar 5 low)

The current price: Y80.63

Support 1: Y80.55 (session low)

Support 2: Y80.00/90 (Feb 23-24 and 28 lows)

Support 3: Y79.35 (Feb 20 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9300 (Feb 16 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9250 (Feb 15 high)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9195 (Mar 6 high)

The current price: Chf0.9173

Support 1: Chf0.9165 (session low)

Support 2: Chf0.9105 (Mar 5 low)

Support 3: Chf0.9070 (Mar 1 high)

Resistance 3 : $1.5840 (50.0% FIBO $1.5695-$1.5990)

Resistance 2 : $1.5785 (Mar 5 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.5740 (session high)

The current price: $1.5730

Support 1 : $1.5695 (Mar 6 low)

Support 2 : $1.5650 (Feb 22-23 low)

Support 3 : $1.5600 (psychological level)

Resistance 3 : $1.3280 (Mar 1 low)

Resistance 2 : $1.3240 (Mar 5 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.3150 (session high)

The current price: $1.3140

Support 1 : $1.3100 (Mar 6 low)

Support 2 : $1.3040 (Feb 15 low)

Support 3 : $1.2945 (Feb 16 low)

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3113 -0,79%

GBP/USD $1,5714 -0,95%

USD/CHF Chf0,9187 +0,71%

USD/JPY Y80,89 -0,83%

EUR/JPY Y106,06 -1,62%

GBP/JPY Y127,10 -1,77%

AUD/USD $1,0551 -1,12%

NZD/USD $0,8123 -1,01%

USD/CAD C$1,0018 +0,74%

00:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) IV quarter +1.0% +0.7%

00:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) IV quarter +2.5% +2.3%

05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index January 94.0 95.1

05:00 Japan Coincident Index January 93.6 95.0

06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate February 3.1% 3.1%

08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves February 227.2

11:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) January +1.7% +0.6%

11:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) January 0.0% -1.7%

13:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report February 170 200

13:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) January +11.1% -2.3%

13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Productivity, q/q IV quarter +0.7% +0.8%

15:00 U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change 02/03/2012 +4.2

20:00 U.S. Consumer Credit January 19.3 10.0

20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 0 2.50% 2.50%

20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Press Conference 0

20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement 0

23:50 Japan GDP, q/q IV quarter -0.6% -0.2%

23:50 Japan GDP, y/y IV quarter -2.3% -0.6%

23:50 Japan Current Account Total, bln January 303.5 320.0