CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 31-01-2013

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31.01.2013
20:00
Dow 13,925.76 +15.34 +0.11% Nasdaq 3,151.60 +9.29 +0.30% S&P 500 1,501.74 -0.22 -0.01%
19:00
American focus: the euro rose

The euro rose against the dollar, ending with the sixth month of growth, registering with the longest winning streak in nearly a decade, as risk appetite improved on speculation that the worst days of the crisis of sovereign debt in the euro area is over.

The single currency has reached its highest level since November 2011 after the release of data that showed that retail sales and unemployment fell. Note that the German unemployment unexpectedly fell in January, down to the level of 6.8% to 6.9%. Meanwhile, the number of people out of work fell a seasonally adjusted 16,000 to 2.92 million, while the projected growth would reach 8000. Meanwhile, retail sales in Germany, which are usually quite volatile index in December were worse than expected. In real terms, they fell from the previous month and compared with the same period last year. Retail sales adjusted for seasonal variations, the number of working days and inflation in December fell by 1.7% compared with November.

The dollar index (DXY) fell, registering with the second monthly fall, as a report showed that the number of applications for unemployment benefits rose more than expected. Well as the pressure on the index continues to yesterday's announcement by the Federal Reserve, according to which it was announced that it would continue to buy Treasury and mortgage bonds to stimulate the U.S. economy and reduce unemployment.

We also note that market participants expect the yield data on the number of jobs outside agriculture in the USA, which are considered an indicator of the health of the world's largest economy. Stronger-than-expected data on the number of jobs in the private sector in the U.S., released on Wednesday, raised expectations that the employment report on Friday will also be quite positive.


18:00
European stocks close

European stocks fell for a second day, paring their biggest monthly advance since July, as companies from AstraZeneca Plc to Banco Santander SA (SAN) slid after reporting earnings.

AstraZeneca lost 3.2 percent after the drugmaker forecast that profit and sales will slide this year. Santander and Royal Dutch Shell Group Plc both declined more than 2.5 percent as fourth-quarter earnings missed analysts’ estimates.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) retreated 0.5 percent to 287.22 at the close, as more than two stocks fell for every one that rose.

National benchmark indexes retreated in 15 of the 18 western-European markets today.

FTSE 100 6,276.88 -46.23 -0.73% CAC 40 3,732.6 -32.92 -0.87% DAX 7,776.05 -35.26 -0.45%

AstraZeneca (AZN) slid 3.2 percent to 3,053 pence, its biggest selloff in nine months, after forecasting falling profit because of increased competition from generic medicines.

Santander declined 3.5 percent to 6.18 euros as Spain’s largest lender set aside money for further loan losses in its home market. The bank reported fourth-quarter profit of 401 million euros ($545 million), missing the 801.6 million-euro average estimate of analysts.

Shell fell 2.8 percent to 2,241 pence after Europe’s biggest oil company reported fourth-quarter profit, excluding one-off items and inventory changes, of $5.6 billion. That missed the $6.2 billion average analyst estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Net income advanced 3 percent to $6.7 billion.

TeliaSonera AB (TLSN) slid 1.7 percent to 45.89 kronor as Sweden’s largest phone company said that fourth-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and one-off items declined 3.2 percent to 8.97 billion kronor ($1.4 billion).

Lonmin Plc posted the biggest gain on the Stoxx 600, surging 14 percent to 360 pence. The mining company reported a 17 percent increase in platinum sales in the first quarter, saying it has successfully restarted and increased production.

Ericsson AB rallied 7.6 percent to 74 kronor. The world’s largest maker of wireless networks reported a 5 percent increase in revenue for the fourth quarter to 66.9 billion kronor, exceeding the average analyst estimate of 65.8 billion kronor. The company also reported a net loss of 6.46 billion kronor after writing off its wireless-chip alliance with STMicroelectronics (STM) NV.


17:00
European stocks close in minus: FTSE 100 6,276.88 -46.23 -0.73% CAC 40 3,732.6 -32.92 -0.87% DAX 7,776.05 -35.26 -0.45%
16:40
Prices of oil futures have fallen

The cost of oil fell for the first time in four days, after data showed that the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the U.S. increased more than forecast. Prices retreated from four-month high after the Department of Labor announced that the value of this index increased to 368 000, while experts estimate the number of appeals was to rise to 355,000.

Note also that the oil at the end of this month shows the highest monthly gain since August on speculation that strong economic growth will boost demand.

At the same time, the pressure of oil is the fact that tomorrow Department of Labor will release its data on employment in non-agricultural sectors of the economy, which may increase in January.

Also tomorrow, will be published and the data on the unemployment rate, which according to the expectations remain unchanged at 7.8%.

Recall also that, according to a report from the Energy Information Administration, the total demand for oil in the four weeks that ended Jan. 25, fell 0.3% to 18.3 million barrels a day, while still achieving the lowest level in a week, ended March 30, 2012.

March futures price of U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to 97.38 dollars a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Duration of the February futures expire today.

March futures price for North Sea petroleum mix of mark Brent rose 16 cents to $ 115.07 a barrel on the London Stock Exchange ICE Futures Europe.

16:20
The price of gold has declined substantially

Gold prices fell sharply today, losing about 1%, which was due to profit-taking after yesterday the cost of precious metals exceeded the level of $ 1680 per ounce in the light of recent data on the U.S. economy.

Experts point out that although the U.S. GDP data, which showed that the economy contracted, and led to a sharp gold prices in the near future to continue the upward movement is expected.

Note also that the evidence that the Fed will continue its program to purchase bonds, leading to the fact that many investors used the precious metal as a hedge against inflation.

Meanwhile, the fall in gold prices has also been associated with the expectations of publishing data on employment in the non-agricultural sector of the U.S., which will be presented tomorrow. Recall also that a report from ADP, which was published this week, showed an increase in the number of jobs in the private sector in the U.S..

February futures price of gold on COMEX today dropped to 1662.10 dollars per ounce.

16:20
Gold: an overview of the market situation

Gold prices fell sharply , losing the all previously earned a position that has been associated with strong economic growth in the U.S., concerns about the completion of the Federal Reserve's monetary stimulus and lower demand from China. However, adding that by the end of the month gold could still show growth . Since the end of December the precious metal rose by 3.8 percent.

We add that the report presented today by the U.S. showed that Americans have purchased goods and services in December consistently high pace , which was the latest evidence that consumer spending to support the economy . While Christmas sales season ended , personal expenses in December rose to a seasonally adjusted 0.4 % compared with a month earlier , said the Ministry of Commerce on Friday . Economists had forecast an increase of 0.2%. Spending growth in November was revised up to 0.6%. These gains were the strongest consecutive monthly increase since 2012 . For the entire 2013 broadest measure spending on everything from haircuts to refrigerators, rose by 3.1% compared with the previous year . It was the weakest annual growth since 2009 and lower than the growth of 4.1 % over 2012 . But the pace of spending rebounded strongly in the last six months of last year . However , the report pointed to the risks to consumers' ability to promote economic recovery this year.

" There is a serious cash flow from the stock market to gold , and we think that it may continue for the next few weeks ," said Naeem Aslam , chief market analyst AvaTrade.

In addition, experts say that in the near future the market situation is not favorable for gold due to lack of demand in China in the coming weeks during the Christmas holidays . In the absence of new concerns for emerging markets prices can return to recent lows and may fall below $ 1,230 an ounce.

I also add that while China celebrates the New Year by the lunar calendar , gold prices could approach $ 1,200. Margins in China on the eve of holidays fell to $ 4 per ounce to the spot price in London with more than $ 20 in early January. Analysts do not expect this year the same high demand for gold in China , as last year , when the country imported a record 1,158 tons.

March futures price for gold on COMEX today dropped to $ 1241.90 per ounce.

15:18
Chicago business barometer climbs to nine-month high in January


Business activity in the Chicago area saw a notable improvement in the month of January, according to a report released by the Institute for Supply Management - Chicago on Thursday, with the Chicago business barometer reaching a nine-month high.

The ISM Chicago said its Chicago business barometer climbed to 55.6 in January from a revised 50.0 in December, with a reading above 50 indicating growth. Economists had expected the index to dip to 50.5 from the 51.6 originally reported for the previous month.

14:45
U.S.: Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index , January 55.6 (forecast 51.1)
14:36
US Stocks open: Dow 13,889.61 -20.81 -0.15%, Nasdaq 3,140.71 -1.60 -0.05%, S&P 1,498.74 -3.22 -0.21%
14:30
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.08%, Nasdaq futures -0.33%

U.S. stock futures were little changed as a rise in jobless claims offset a jump in personal income amid earnings reports.
Shares of Facebook (FB) dropped more then 6 percent after saying profit dropped on higher spending.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei  11,138.66 +24.71 +0.22%
Hang Seng 23,729.53 -92.53 -0.39%
Shanghai Composite 2,385.42 +2.95 +0.12%
FTSE  6,290.84 -32.27 -0.51%
CAC  3,739.09 -26.43 -0.70%
DAX 7,777.56 -33.75 -0.43%
Crude oil $97.59 -0.36%
Gold $1671.50 -0.50%

13:53
U.S. weekly jobless claims rebound more than expected


First-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits rebounded by more than anticipated in the week ended January 26th, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Thursday, with jobless claims bouncing off a five-year low.

The report showed that initial jobless claims rose to 368,000, an increase of 38,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 330,000. Economists had been expecting jobless claims to climb to 355,000.

13:47
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut


EUR/USD $1.3400, $1.3450, $1.3500, $1.3550, $1.3600

USD/JPY Y90.00, Y90.50, Y91.00, Y91.50

EUR/CHF Chf1.2500

AUD/USD $1.0400, $1.0410, $1.0425, $1.0470, $1.0500, $1.0515

AUD/JPY Y95.00


13:34
Canada: Industrial product prices, m/m, December 0.0% (forecast +0.1%)
13:33
U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m, December +0.2% (forecast +0.1%)
13:33
Canada: GDP (m/m) , November +0.3% (forecast +0.2%)
13:33
Canada: Raw Material Price Index, December -2% (forecast +0.9%)
13:32
U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y, December +1.4% (forecast +1.5%)
13:31
U.S.: Personal Income, m/m, December +2.6% (forecast +0.7%)
13:31
U.S.: Personal spending , December +0.2% (forecast +0.4%)
13:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, 368 (forecast 355)
13:30
U.S.: Employment Cost Index, IV quarter +0.5% (forecast +0.6%)
13:29
European session: the euro declined

07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted December +1.2% +0.1% -1.7%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y December -0.6% -1.3% -4.7%
07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index January -0.1% +0.3% +0.5%
07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y January -1.0% -0.5% 0.0%
07:45 France Consumer spending December +0.2% +0.3% 0.0%
07:45 France Consumer spending, y/y December -0.2% +0.1% -0.1%
08:55 Germany Unemployment Change January +3 -9 -16
08:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. January 6.9% 6.9% 6.8%
13:00 Germany CPI, m/m (preliminary) January +0.9% -0.5% -0.5%
13:00 Germany CPI, y/y (preliminary) January +2.1% +2.0% +1.7%

The euro fell on Wednesday made a 13-month high against the dollar after a report showed that German retail sales fell last month, more than economists forecast, leading to damping demand for the single currency.

Retail sales in Germany, which are usually quite volatile index in December were worse than expected. In real terms, they fell from the previous month and compared with the same period last year. Retail sales adjusted for seasonal variations, the number of working days and inflation in December fell by 1.7% compared with November.

Other regional statistics published mixed. Greek retail sales rebounded from -18.1% to -16.8% in November (y / y), PPI Italy eased from 2.0% to 1.8% (vs. 1.9%), and the current account balance Spain increased from € 0.865 billion to € 1.780 billion previously unemployment rate in Greece has fallen from 6.9% to 6.8% in January. Unemployment in Germany fell by 16 thousand to 8 thousand on projections. The December figure was revised up from three thousand to -2 thousand German Preliminary CPI rose by 1.7% year on year and decreased by 0.5% m / m vs. -0.4% and 2.0% respectively.

The euro fell for the first time in three days against the yen as the data increased speculation that the recent appreciation of the currency would undermine efforts to restore the economy of the region.

Market participants expect the output data on the number of jobs outside agriculture in the USA, which are considered an indicator of the health of the world's largest economy. Stronger-than-expected data on the number of jobs in the private sector in the U.S., released on Wednesday, raised expectations that the employment report on Friday will also be quite positive.


EUR / USD: during the European session the pair fell to a new low of $ 1.3539


GBP / USD: during the European session the pair rose to a new high of $ 1.5842, and then upgrade low of $ 1.5744

USD / JPY: during the European session the pair rose to a maximum of Y91.08


At 13:30 GMT, Canada will provide an index of commodity prices in December. At 13:30 GMT the U.S. will publish the number of initial claims for unemployment insurance, the number of repeated applications for unemployment benefits. At 23:50 GMT a speech Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Graeme Wheeler.

13:14
Orders


EUR/USD

Offers $1.3610/15, $1.3600

Bids $1.3500, $1.3485/80


GBP/USD

Offers $1.5900, $1.5885/90, $1.5870, $1.5850

Bids $1.5775, $1.5755/50, $1.5720, $1.5710/00


AUD/USD

Offers $1.0525/30, $1.0500, $1.0480, $1.0465/70, $1.0440/50

Bids $1.0380, $1.0350, $1.0330/25, $1.0300, $1.0260/50


EUR/JPY

Offers Y125.00, Y124.50, Y124.00, Y123.70/80, Y123.55/60

Bids Y122.85/80, Y122.60/50, Y122.40, Y122.00, Y121.80


USD/JPY

Offers Y92.00, Y91.70, Y91.15/20

Bids Y90.60/50, Y90.40/30, Y90.10/00,  Y89.85/80


EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8630, stg0.8620, stg0.8600

Bids stg0.8545/40, stg0.8525/20, stg0.8500, stg0.8480, stg0.8465/60


13:00
Germany: CPI, m/m, January -0.5% (forecast -0.5%)
13:00
Germany: CPI, y/y , January +1.7% (forecast +2.0%)
11:32
European stocks fell for a second day

European stocks fell for a second day, paring their biggest monthly advance since July, as companies from AstraZeneca Plc to Banco Santander SA slid after reporting earnings.

In general, regional statistics published mixed. Greek retail sales rebounded from -18.1% to -16.8% in November (y / y), PPI Italy eased from 2.0% to 1.8% (vs. 1.9%), and the current account balance Spain increased from € 0.865 billion to € 1.780 billion previously unemployment rate in Greece has fallen from 6.9% to 6.8% in January. Unemployment in Germany fell by 16 thousand to 8 thousand on projections. The December figure was revised up from +3 to -2 thousand

Retail sales in Germany, which are usually quite volatile index in December were worse than expected. In real terms, they fell from the previous month and compared with the same period last year. Retail sales adjusted for seasonal variations, the number of working days and inflation in December fell by 1.7% compared with November.

AstraZeneca sank 4.9 percent to 2,999 pence, its biggest selloff in nine months, after forecasting falling profit because of increased competition from generic medicines. Sales will decline by a “mid- to high-single digit percentage” at constant exchange rates in 2013, compared with the average analyst projection of a 3 percent slide. The company also said earnings fell for a fourth straight quarter.

Santander declined 2.6 percent to 6.23 euros as Spain’s largest lender set aside money for further loan losses in its home market. The bank reported fourth-quarter profit of 401 million euros ($544 million), missing the 801.6 million-euro average estimate of 11 analysts surveyed.

Shell fell 1.2 percent to 2,278.5 pence after Europe’s biggest oil company reported fourth-quarter profit, excluding one-off items and inventory changes, of $5.6 billion. That missed the $6.2 billion average analyst estimate in a survey. Net income advanced 3 percent to $6.7 billion.

FTSE 100 6,290.84 -32.27 -0.51%

CAC 40 3,737.25 -28.27 -0.75%

DAX 7,774.04 -37.27 -0.48%


10:59
German December retail sales fall more than forecast


Germany's retail sales decreased more than expected in December reflecting weak domestic demand.

Sales declined 1.7 percent in December from a month ago, when it was up 0.6 percent, Destatis reported Thursday. Sales were forecast to fall just 0.1 percent.

The annual decline in retail turnover came in at 4.7 percent, much larger than the 0.6 percent drop seen in November. The decrease far exceeded the 1.5 percent decline forecast by economists.

Turnover in retail trade in the whole year of 2012 grew 1.9 percent in nominal terms, while it fell 0.3 percent in real terms.


10:41
German unemployment declines in January


Germany's unemployment declined unexpectedly by a seasonally adjusted 16,000 in January, the Federal Labor Agency said Thursday. Economists were expecting an increase of 8,000 for January.

The number of unemployed totaled 2.92 million. Driven by a sharp fall in unemployment, the jobless rate came in at 6.8 percent, down from 6.9 percent in December.

The rate was forecast to remain unchanged at the December level.

10:21
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3400, $1.3450, $1.3500, $1.3550, $1.3600

USD/JPY Y90.00, Y90.50, Y91.00, Y91.50

EUR/CHF Chf1.2500

AUD/USD $1.0400, $1.0410, $1.0425, $1.0470, $1.0500, $1.0515

AUD/JPY Y95.00


10:01
Asia Pacific stocks close:

Asian stocks swung between gains and losses on the busiest day of Japan’s earnings season after the country’s industrial production missed estimates and U.S. growth unexpectedly stalled. Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd. jumped after raising its operating profit forecast.

Nikkei 225 11,138.66 +24.71 +0.22%

Hang Seng 23,729.53 -92.53 -0.39%

S&P/ASX 200 4,878.78 -17.91 -0.37%

Shanghai Composite 2,385.42 +2.95 +0.12%

Whitehaven Coal Ltd., subject of an unsuccessful takeover proposal from Nathan Tinkler last year, fell 5.5 percent after saying first-half earnings will drop on lower prices.

Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co., a builder of power plants and residential buildings, slid 5.4 percent after its parent’s profit fell.

Kawasaki Heavy rose 7.2 percent.

Datang International Power Generation Co. jumped 6.9 percent after saying its 2012 profit probably more than doubled.


09:42
FTSE 100 6,292.82 -30.29 -0.48%, CAC 40 3,743.93 -21.59 -0.57%, DAX 7,779.87 -31.44 -0.40%
08:55
Germany: Unemployment Rate s.a. , January 6.8% (forecast 6.9%)
08:55
Germany: Unemployment Change, January -16 (forecast -9)
08:52
Forex: Wednesday’s review

The dollar fell to its lowest level since November 2011 against the euro, as the European economic confidence increased. At the same time, the market has increased speculation as to whether the Federal Reserve reiterated its commitment to monetary stimulus measures.

Growth for the euro is supported by data that showed that the index of consumer sentiment in the euro zone rose this month to the level of 89.2, compared with the revised figure for December at 87.8, while the experts are expected to rise to 88.2. The single currency has continued to grow, even in spite of the fact that the report showed that Spain's economic downturn deepened in the fourth quarter. It is learned that the gross domestic product fell by 0.7 per cent compared with 0.3% in the previous quarter.

The dollar lost some ground against the yen, which was caused by the published data, which showed that the U.S. economy unexpectedly shrank in the fourth quarter by 0.1%, compared with analysts' expectations of 1.1% growth.

The New Zealand dollar fell against all 16 most-traded currencies on speculation that its current accompanying statement, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bank will signal a possible decrease in the value of currency.

08:27
Stocks: Wednesday’s review

Asian stocks rose, with the benchmark index headed for its highest close since August 2011, as Japanese shares surged on earnings and amid speculation the Federal Reserve will renew its commitment to asset purchases.

Nikkei 225 11,113.95 +247.23 +2.28%

Hang Seng 23,822.06 +166.89 +0.71%

S&P/ASX 200 4,896.69 +7.72 +0.16%

Shanghai Composite 2,382.47 +23.50 +1.00%

Yahoo Japan Corp., owner of the nation’s largest Web portal, surged 17 percent and Koito Manufacturing Co., an automobile lighting equipment maker, jumped 10 percent after raising its full-year profit forecasts.

Yuanta Financial Holding Co. rose 3.9 percent in Taipei after Taiwan said it will allow mainland institutions to invest twice as much in its securities market.

ENN Energy Holdings Ltd., a natural gas distributor, slumped 2.7 percent in Hong Kong on plans to issue convertible bonds.


European stocks dropped the most this year as Saipem (SPM) SpA plunged and a report showed that the U.S. economy unexpectedly contracted in the fourth quarter.

Saipem plummeted 34 percent after cutting its earnings forecasts for 2012 and 2013. Swedbank AB (SWEDA) jumped the most in 32 months after the lender raised its dividend payout ratio to 75 percent of profit after net income more than quadrupled in the fourth quarter. Nordea Bank AB (NDA) rose 3.2 percent after reporting quarterly profit that beat analysts’

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index lost 0.6 percent to 288.63 in London, falling from its highest level since Feb. 18, 2011.

The U.S economy shrank 0.1 percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter, figures from the Commerce Department showed today. The median estimate of economists had called for the world’s largest economy to expand 1.1 percent. Gross domestic product increased 3.1 percent in the three months through September.

National benchmark indexes retreated in 14 of the 18 western-European markets.

FTSE 100 6,323.11 -16.08 -0.25% CAC 40 3,765.52 -20.30 -0.54% DAX 7,811.31 -37.26 -0.47%

Saipem plunged 34 percent to 20.01 euros, its biggest slide since at least Dec. 1988. The oil and gas contractor lowered its forecast for earnings before interest and taxes in 2012 by 6 percent to about 1.5 billion euros. Ebit will fall to about 750 million euros in 2013, the company said. Italy’s FTSE MIB sank 3.4 percent, its biggest drop since Aug. 2.

Roche Holding AG retreated 1.4 percent to 198.60 Swiss francs. The world’s biggest maker of cancer drugs posted earnings per share excluding some items of 13.62 francs for last year, falling short of the 13.67-franc average analyst estimate.

Imperial Tobacco Group Plc sank 4.3 percent to 2,361 pence after saying profit will decline in the first half of this year. Europe’s second-biggest tobacco company also reported a smaller gain in fiscal first-quarter revenue than analysts had estimated. British American Tobacco Plc, Europe’s largest, dropped 0.8 percent to 3,275.50 pence.

Nordea rose 3.2 percent to 68.45 kronor after Scandinavia’s largest lender said profit increased 7 percent in the fourth quarter. Net income climbed to 840 million euros from 785 million euros a year earlier, the lender said. That beat the average analyst estimate for profit of 765 million euros.

Luxottica Group SpA added 2.3 percent to 34.36 euros, its highest price since its initial public offering on Italy’s stock market in December 2000. The owner of the Oakley and Ray-Ban sunglasses brands said sales rose 14 percent in 2012 to 7.09 billion euros.


Major U.S. stock indexes fell markedly, ending trading in the red, which was associated with the presented results of the session Fed.

The pressure on the index has released before today's trading macroeconomic data, which recorded an unexpected decline of U.S. GDP in the 4th quarter. According to preliminary estimates, the GDP of the United States on the basis of the last 3 months of 2012 dropped by 0.1%. The average forecast of analysts meant an increase of 1.3% after rising 3.1% in the previous reporting period.

Note also that after the results of the current meeting of the Federal Open Market major stock indexes began to decline, falling at the same time in negative territory. It is learned that the Fed will continue to buy monthly mortgage securities in the amount of 40 billion dollars and treasury bonds worth 45 billion dollars. The Fed also said it would continue to buy the securities until a significant improvement in the labor market. In addition, the Fed will keep rates very low until there is inflation below 2.5%. At the same time, the Fed noted that the economy will grow at a moderate pace in the implementation of mitigation policies, and the unemployment rate will decline gradually with mild policy.

Most of the components of the index DOW showing a decrease (23 of 30). At the moment, the leader shares in Boeing Co. (BA, +1.06%). The Boeing Company today released a quarterly report, according to which the resulting profits and revenues in the 4th quarter was above expectations. Maximum loss carry stocks Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM, -1.24%).

All sectors of the S & P is in the red zone. The maximum loss is the basic materials sector (-0%) and industrial products sector (-0.8%). Least of all the consumer goods sector decreased (-0.1%) and utilities sector (-0.1%).

At the close:

Dow -44.08 13,910.34 -0.32%

Nasdaq -11.35 3,142.31 -0.36%

S & P -5.91 1,501.93 -0.39%


07:45
France: Consumer spending , December 0.0% (forecast +0.3%)
07:43
European bourses are initially seen trading lower Thursday: the FTSE down 20, the DAX down 26 and the CAC down 11.
07:24
Asian session: The dollar headed

00:01 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence January -29 -27 -26

00:30 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m December +4.7% +6.2%

00:30 Australia Import Price Index, q/q IV quarter -2.4% +0.5% +0.3%

00:30 Australia Export Price Index, q/q IV quarter -6.4% -1.5% -2.4%

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m December 0.0% +0.2% +0.4%

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y December +3.5% +3.4% +3.6%

01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY December -1.1% +1.1% -1.4%

05:00 Japan Annualized Housing Starts, bln December 0.911 0.895 0.880


The dollar headed for a sixth monthly decline against the euro before data forecast to show U.S. jobless claims rose. U.S. applications for unemployment insurance payments rose by 21,000 to 351,000 in the week ended Jan. 26, the Labor Department is forecast to report today, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey.

The greenback traded near its weakest level in more than a year versus Europe’s shared currency and fell against the yen after the Fed said it will continue buying Treasuries and mortgage bonds. The Fed yesterday repeated that its purchases, divided between $40 billion a month of mortgage-backed securities and $45 billion a month of Treasury securities, will continue “if the outlook for the labor market does not improve substantially.”

The central bank also left unchanged its statement that it planned to hold its target interest rate near zero as long as unemployment remains above 6.5 percent and projected inflation stays below 2.5 percent.

The yen rose against all 16 of its major peers as a decline in Asian stocks boosted demand for safer assets.

The New Zealand dollar rose against Australia’s currency for a third day after Reserve Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler said policy makers expect economic growth to strengthen this year.


EUR/USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $1.3560-80.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to yesterday's high.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y90.70.


There is a full calendar on both side of the Atlantic Thursday, starting with the release of German December retail sales and ILO employment change at 0700GMT. Other German data due Thursday, although there is no fixed release, will see German January flash HICP cross the wires. At 0745GMT, the French December PPI and consumer spending numbers will be released At 0800GMT, further eurozone inflation data will be released, when Spain's January flash HICP are scheduled to hit screens. At 0810GMT, EU Internal Markets Commissioner Michel Barnier will speak at a financial services conference, in Brussels. ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio will speak at 0830GMT. German official January unemployment numbers are set for release at 0855GMT, while the German Retailers Association (HDE) releases its new sales forecasts at 0900GMT, in Berlin. At 1000GMT, the latest monthly Japanese FX intervention operations data will be posted on the MOF website. At 1200GMT, ECB Governing Council member Erkki Liikanen is scheduled to speak at the Brussels conference.

07:04
United Kingdom: Nationwide house price index , January +0.5% (forecast +0.3%)
07:04
United Kingdom: Nationwide house price index, y/y, January 0.0% (forecast -0.5%)
07:03
Germany: Retail sales, real adjusted , December -1.7% (forecast +0.1%)
07:03
Germany: Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y, December -4.7% (forecast -1.3%)
06:25
Commodities. Daily history for Jan 30’2013:

Change % Change Last

Oil 98.09 +0.15 +0.15%

Gold 1,675.50 -4.40 -0.26%


06:24
Stocks. Daily history for Jan 30'2013:

Change % Change Last

Nikkei 225 11,113.95 +247.23 +2.28%

Hang Seng 23,822.06 +166.89 +0.71%

S&P/ASX 200 4,896.69 +7.72 +0.16%

Shanghai Composite 2,382.47 +23.50 +1.00%

FTSE 100 6,323.11 -16.08 -0.25%

CAC 40 3,765.52 -20.30 -0.54%

DAX 7,811.31 -37.26 -0.47%

Dow -44.08 13,910.34 -0.32%

Nasdaq -11.35 3,142.31 -0.36%

S&P -5.91 1,501.93 -0.39%


06:24
Currencies. Daily history for Jan 30'2013:

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3531 +0,30%

GBP/USD $1,5798 +0,23%

USD/CHF Chf0,9107 -1,14%

USD/JPY Y91,10 +0,44%

EUR/JPY Y123,56 +0,95%

GBP/JPY Y143,89 +0,63%

AUD/USD $1,0416 -0,55%

NZD/USD $0,8358 -0,41%

USD/CAD C$1,0012 +0,05%


06:12
Schedule for today, Thursday, Jan 31’2013:

00:01 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence January -29 -27

00:30 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m December +4.7%

00:30 Australia Import Price Index, q/q IV quarter -2.4% +0.5%

00:30 Australia Export Price Index, q/q IV quarter -6.4% -1.5%

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m December 0.0% +0.2%

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y December +3.5% +3.4%

01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY December -1.1% +1.1%

05:00 Japan Annualized Housing Starts, bln December 0.907 0.895

07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted December +1.2% +0.1%

07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y December -0.9% -1.3%

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index January -0.1% +0.3%

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y January -1.0% -0.5%

07:45 France Consumer spending December +0.2% +0.3%

07:45 France Consumer spending, y/y December -0.2% +0.1%

08:55 Germany Unemployment Change January +3 -9

08:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. January 6.9% 6.9%

13:00 Germany CPI, m/m (preliminary) January +0.9% -0.5%

13:00 Germany CPI, y/y (preliminary) January +2.1% +2.0%

13:30 Canada GDP (m/m) November +0.1% +0.2%

13:30 Canada Raw Material Price Index December -1.9% +0.9%

13:30 Canada Industrial product prices, m/m December -0.3% +0.1%

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 330 355

13:30 U.S. Employment Cost Index IV quarter +0.4% +0.6%

13:30 U.S. Personal Income, m/m December +0.6% +0.7%

13:30 U.S. Personal spending December +0.4% +0.4%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m December 0.0% +0.1%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y December +1.5% +1.5%

14:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index January 51.6 51.1

22:30 Australia AIG Manufacturing Index January 44.3

23:30 Japan Household spending Y/Y December +0.2% -0.1%

23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate December 4.1% 4.1%

23:50 New Zealand RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler Speaks -

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