Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 01-04-2014

EUR/USD $1,3792+0,14%

GBP/USD $1,6629 -0,20%

USD/CHF Chf0,8834 -0,07%

USD/JPY Y103,68 +0,44%

EUR/JPY Y143,01 +0,59%

GBP/JPY Y172,40 +0,26%

AUD/USD $0,9237 -0,29%

NZD/USD $0,8621 -0,58%

08:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m February +6.8% -1.7%     

08:30 Australia Building Permits, y/y February +34.6%         

14:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index March +0.6% +0.8%     

14:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y March +9.4% +9.6%     

16:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction March 62.6 63.1     

17:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Finally) Quarter IV +0.3% +0.3%     

17:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Finally) Quarter IV +0.5% +0.5%     

17:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM February -0.3% 0.0%     

17:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) February -1.4% -1.6%     

17:00 Eurozone ECOFIN Meetings             

17:00 Eurozone ECB’s Vitor Constancio Speaks                 

20:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report March 139 192     

22:00 U.S. Factory Orders February -0.7% +1.3%     

22:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories March +6.6         

06:30 Australia AIG Services Index March 55.2

The U.S. dollar rose to its highest level against the yen since late January . Investors value analyzed data published in the U.S. on the back of higher consumption tax in Japan and deteriorating prospects for business sentiment in Japan .

Consumption tax in Japan was raised to 8 % from 5 % on Tuesday . Bank of Japan Tankan report pointed to expectations of a sharp deterioration in sentiment this year.

Moderately euro rose against the dollar after data showed that manufacturing activity in the U.S. in March grew slightly more rapidly than the previous month. According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), the manufacturing index rose to 53.7 from 53.2 . Economists had expected the index was 54.2 .

Published data also reported an increase in construction spending in February by 0.1%. Meanwhile, the calculated final Markit Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) remained unchanged at 55.5 .

Early growth of the euro has been associated with the release of data on European PMI. Note that the PMI indices surpassed forecasts in Spain, Italy and France, confirmed the forecast of the eurozone as a whole, and not short of expectations in Germany. As it became known , the growth in the manufacturing sector slowed in the euro zone last month , and confirmed the experts' forecasts , and initial estimates . According to the final index of business activity in the manufacturing sector amounted to 53.0 points in March , which corresponds to the preliminary estimate, but below the February index at 53.2 points .

We also add that the expansion in the manufacturing sector slowed in Germany last month , which was due to weaker growth in new orders and export orders in Europe's largest economy . According to the report, the purchasing managers' index for the German manufacturing sector , which accounts for about a fifth of the economy, fell to 53.7 in March from 54.8 in February , compared with a preliminary estimate at 53.8 points . Final reading , however , was significantly above the 50- point mark that separates growth from contraction for nine consecutive months.

Were positive and data on unemployment in Germany and the euro area. Report from the Ministry of Labor in Germany showed that the unemployment rate in March fell more than expected , underscoring the continuing improvement in Europe's largest economy . Seasonally adjusted , the number of unemployed fell by 12,000 in March , beating the forecasts of experts at -9000 people. The unemployment rate was 6.7% , unchanged compared with February , the figure for which was revised down from 6.8% . Add that this is the fourth consecutive month to reduce unemployment .

Meanwhile , unemployment in the euro area declined slightly in February , but with the downward revision from the previous month to reach 11.9 percent from 12.0 percent, unchanged. This result was pleasantly surprised many experts , as their unemployment rate was forecast to reach 12.0 percent . In February, the euro zone was recorded 18,970 million unemployed , which was at 35 thousand less than in the previous month .

Pound fell against the dollar amid weak data on activity in the manufacturing sector. Note that the increase in activity in the British manufacturing sector slowed sharply in March , while showing the slowest pace in eight months , which was associated with a drop in purchase prices . According to the index of manufacturing activity fell in March to 55.3 points , its lowest value since last July , and was below economists' forecasts at 56.7 points . We also add that the February figure was revised down to 56.2 points from 56.9 points . It was the fourth consecutive month in which the index fell, although it remained significantly above 50 , which indicates growth. In Markit said that the slowdown in the sector was mainly concentrated among companies that make the machines and equipment . Meanwhile, we add that although there were signs of growth of business investment in recent years , the sub- index for new export orders fell to the lowest level since May 2013 , and some companies reported fewer orders from the Asia- Pacific region.

USD/JPY Y102.10, Y102.30, Y102.50, Y103.25/30, Y103.75

EUR/USD $1.3580, $1.3650, $1.3700, $1.3750, $1.3763, $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3830, $1.3895

USD/CAD Cad1.0800, Cad1.0900, Cad1.1030, Cad1.1200

EUR/JPY Y139.90, Y143.00

GBP/USD $1.6500, $1.6630

EUR/NOK Nok8.4000

AUD/JPY Y94.00

01:00 China Manufacturing PMI March 50.2 50.1 50.3

01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY February -0.2% -0.1% 0.0%

01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Finally) March 48.5 48.5 48.0

03:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%

03:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement

05:30 Australia Commodity Prices, Y/Y March -12.1% -12.8%

07:30 Switzerland Manufacturing PMI March 57.6 56.7 54.4

07:48 France Manufacturing PMI (Finally) March 51.9 51.9 52.1

07:53 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Finally) March 53.8 53.8 53.7

07:55 Germany Unemployment Change March -14 -9 -12

07:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. March 6.7% Revised From 6.8% 6.8% 6.7%

07:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Finally) March 53.0 53.0 53.0

08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing March 56.9 56.7 55.3

09:00 Eurozone ECOFIN Meetings

09:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings

09:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

09:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate February 11.9% 12.0% 11.9%

The euro rose against the dollar, which was associated with the release of data on PMI. Note that the PMI indices surpassed forecasts in Spain, Italy and France, confirmed the forecast of the eurozone as a whole, and not short of expectations in Germany. As it became known , the growth in the manufacturing sector slowed in the euro zone last month , and confirmed the experts' forecasts , and initial estimates . According to the final index of business activity in the manufacturing sector amounted to 53.0 points in March , which corresponds to the preliminary estimate, but below the February index at 53.2 points .

We also add that the expansion in the manufacturing sector slowed in Germany last month , which was due to weaker growth in new orders and export orders in Europe's largest economy . According to the report, the purchasing managers' index for the German manufacturing sector , which accounts for about a fifth of the economy, fell to 53.7 in March from 54.8 in February , compared with a preliminary estimate at 53.8 points . Final reading , however , was significantly above the 50- point mark that separates growth from contraction for nine consecutive months.

Were positive and data on unemployment in Germany and the euro area. Report from the Ministry of Labor in Germany showed that the unemployment rate in March fell more than expected , underscoring the continuing improvement in Europe's largest economy . Seasonally adjusted , the number of unemployed fell by 12,000 in March , beating the forecasts of experts at -9000 people. The unemployment rate was 6.7% , unchanged compared with February , the figure for which was revised down from 6.8% . Add that this is the fourth consecutive month to reduce unemployment .

Meanwhile , unemployment in the euro area declined slightly in February , but with the downward revision from the previous month to reach 11.9 percent from 12.0 percent, unchanged. This result was pleasantly surprised many experts , as their unemployment rate was forecast to reach 12.0 percent . In February, the euro zone was recorded 18,970 million unemployed , which was at 35 thousand less than in the previous month .

Pound fell against the dollar amid weak data on activity in the manufacturing sector. Note that the increase in activity in the British manufacturing sector slowed sharply in March , while showing the slowest pace in eight months , which was associated with a drop in purchase prices . According to the index of manufacturing activity fell in March to 55.3 points , its lowest value since last July , and was below economists' forecasts at 56.7 points . We also add that the February figure was revised down to 56.2 points from 56.9 points . It was the fourth consecutive month in which the index fell, although it remained significantly above 50 , which indicates growth. In Markit said that the slowdown in the sector was mainly concentrated among companies that make the machines and equipment . Meanwhile, we add that although there were signs of growth of business investment in recent years , the sub- index for new export orders fell to the lowest level since May 2013 , and some companies reported fewer orders from the Asia- Pacific region.

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3801

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.6635

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y103.42

At 12:30 GMT in Canada will be represented by the price index for raw materials in February and the PMI index for the manufacturing of RBC in March . At 14:00 GMT the U.S. ISM manufacturing index will be released in March . At 20:30 GMT the U.S. will report on changes in the volume of crude oil , according to the API. At 23:50 GMT , Japan will announce to the change in the monetary base in March .

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3880, $1.3845/50, $1.3820, $1.3810

Bids $1.3705/00, $1.3694, $1.3650, $1.3640, $1.3630/20

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6785, $1.6715/20, $1.6700

Bids $1.6600/10, $1.6580, $1.6550, $1.6520, $1.6500

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9400, $0.9350, $0.9300/10

Bids $0.9215/20, $0.9200, $0.9170, $0.9155/50, $0.9120

EUR/JPY

Offers Y144.00, Y143.40, Y143.00, Y142.60/65

Bids Y141.70/80, Y141.10/20, Y140.50, Y139.95/00

USD/JPY

Offers Y104.00, Y103.75, Y103.45

Bids Y102.70, Y102.45, Y102.00, Y101.70/80, Y101.20

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8350/60, stg0.8320/25, stg0.8300

Bids stg0.8245, stg0.8210/00, stg0.8180

USD/JPY Y102.10, Y102.30, Y102.50, Y103.25/30, Y103.75

EUR/USD $1.3580, $1.3650, $1.3700, $1.3750, $1.3763, $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3830, $1.3895

USD/CAD Cad1.0800, Cad1.0900, Cad1.1030, Cad1.1200

EUR/JPY Y139.90, Y143.00

GBP/USD $1.6500, $1.6630

EUR/NOK Nok8.4000

AUD/JPY Y94.00

Asian session: The greenback remained lower

01:00 China Manufacturing PMI March 50.2 50.1 50.3

01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY February -0.2% -0.1% 0.0%

01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Finally) March 48.5 48.5 48.0

03:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%

03:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement

The greenback remained lower following a two-day decline against the euro after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said the world’s biggest economy will need monetary stimulus “for some time.” Economists predict a report today will show a growth in manufacturing quickened last month. The Institute for Supply Management’s U.S. manufacturing index climbed to 54 last month from 53.2 in February, according to the median forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

The Australian dollar rose after a gauge of Chinese manufacturing climbed and before a Reserve Bank policy decision today. Government data today showed the manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index  for China, Australia’s biggest trading partner, rose to 50.3 last month from 50.2 in February. That compares with economists’ forecast for a reading of 50.1 in a Bloomberg survey.

Australia’s dollar broke above 93 U.S. cents for the first time in four months after the central bank left interest rates unchanged and said a record-low benchmark would help strengthen growth. The Aussie pared gains as Governor Glenn Stevens changed his references to the currency, indicating recent gains may detract from an economic rebalancing as mining investment declines. He reiterated that it “remains high by historical standards.” Australia’s dollar advanced earlier after a Chinese official manufacturing index strengthened for the first time in five months.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3765-75

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6655-70

USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y103.10-35

Eurozone (starting with Spain at 0715GMT through to EZ at 0758GMT) and UK manufacturing PMI (0828GMT) data due out this morning and will concentrate interest.