Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 01-10-2014

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01.10.2014
23:52
Japan: Monetary Base, y/y, September +35.3% (forecast +38.9%)
22:27
Currencies. Daily history for Oct 1'2014:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2617 -0,10%

GBP/USD $1,6181 -0,20%

USD/CHF Chf0,9563 +0,15%

USD/JPY Y108,98 -0,57%

EUR/JPY Y137,50 -0,68%

GBP/JPY Y176,33 -0,78%

AUD/USD $0,8732 -0,15%

NZD/USD $0,7781 -0,40%

USD/CAD C$1,1161 -0,31%

22:00
Schedule for today, Thursday, Oct 2’2014:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 China Bank holiday

01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m August -5.7%

01:30 Australia Building Permits, y/y August +9.4%

01:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m August +2.5% +1.1%

01:30 Australia Trade Balance August -1.36 -0.78

05:15 Australia RBA Annual Report

08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction September 64.0 63.7

09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM August -0.1% -0.2%

09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) August -1.1% -1.1%

11:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.05% 0.05%

12:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims September 293 299

14:00 U.S. Factory Orders August +10.5% -9.2%

23:30 Australia AIG Services Index September 49.4

14:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, September -1.4
14:00
U.S.: Construction Spending, m/m, August -0.8% (forecast +0.5%)
14:00
U.S.: ISM Manufacturing, September 56.6 (forecast 58.6)
13:45
U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, September 57.5 (forecast 58.0)
13:30
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD: $1.2600(E1.7bn), $1.2650(E1.0bn), $1.2700(E480mn), $1.2750(E1.2bn), $1.2775(E665mn), $1.2800(E2.0bn)

USD/JPY: Y109.00($225mn), Y109.60($500mn), Y110.00($740mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6200(stg100mn), $1.6225(stg100mn)

EUR/GBP: Stg0.7775(E970mn), stg0.7850(E1.9bn), stg0.7900(E1,2bn)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9450($260mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8850(A$287mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1100($186mn), C$1.1145-60($316mn), C$1.1200($175mn)

12:15
U.S.: ADP Employment Report, September 213 (forecast 206)
11:45
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2820/30, $1.2800, $1.2780/85, $1.2760, $1.2700

Bids $1.2560/50, $1.2500

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6425/30, $1.6400/10, $1.6325/30, $1.6285

Bids $1.6160, $1.6100, $1.6050

AUD/USD

Offers $0.8900, $0.8850, $0.8795/00, $0.8765

Bids $0.8660, $0.8650, $0.8600

EUR/JPY

Offers Y140.00, Y139.70, Y139.30

Bids Y137.90, Y137.50, Y137.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y111.00, Y110.10

Bids Y109.00, Y108.70, Y108.45

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.7890, stg0.7850, stg0.7830

Bids stg0.7755/45, stg0.7700

09:27
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD: $1.2600(E1.7bn), $1.2650(E1.0bn), $1.2700(E480mn), $1.2750(E1.2bn), $1.2775(E665mn), $1.2800(E2.0bn)

USD/JPY: Y109.00($225mn), Y109.60($500mn), Y110.00($740mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6200(stg100mn), $1.6225(stg100mn)

EUR/GBP: Stg0.7775(E970mn), stg0.7850(E1.9bn), stg0.7900(E1,2bn)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9450($260mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8850(A$287mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1100($186mn), C$1.1145-60($316mn), C$1.1200($175mn)

08:30
United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing , September 51.6 (forecast 52.6)
08:00
Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI, September 50.3 (forecast 50.5)
07:56
Germany: Manufacturing PMI, September 49.9 (forecast 50.3)
07:50
France: Manufacturing PMI, September 48.8 (forecast 48.8)
07:31
Switzerland: Manufacturing PMI, September 50.4 (forecast 52.1)
05:27
Options levels on wednesday, October 1, 2014:

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2764 (1817)

$1.2726 (1975)

$1.2671 (443)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2618

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2564 (6268)

$1.2530 (1675)

$1.2490 (1563)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 65355 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4936);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 63335 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2600 (6268);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.97 versus 1.00 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 30

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.6500 (2726)

$1.6400 (1759)

$1.6301 (1692)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6193

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6098 (3626)

$1.5999 (2009)

$1.5900 (2165)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 33375 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6700 (3649);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 42300 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6300 (4582);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.27 versus 1.29 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 30

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:35
Japan: Manufacturing PMI, September 51.7 (forecast 51.7)
01:30
Australia: Retail sales (MoM), August +0.1% (forecast +0.4%)
01:00
China: Manufacturing PMI , September 51.1 (forecast 51.1)

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