Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 03-10-2014

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03.10.2014
14:00
U.S.: ISM Non-Manufacturing, September 58.6 (forecast 58.5)
13:45
U.S.: Services PMI, September 58.9 (forecast 58.5)
13:35
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD: $1.2650(E711mn), $1.2700(E2.39bn), $1.2725-35(E900mn), $1.2750(E1.2bn), $1.2800(E865mn)

USD/JPY: Y107.50($782mn), Y107.75($350mn), Y108.00($200mn), Y108.75($205mn), Y109.00($671mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6200(stg636mn), $1.6300(stg822mn), $1.6350(stg533mn)

EUR/GBP: stg0.7750(E200mn), Stg0.7800(E190mn), stg0.7850(E230mn), $0.7875(E190mn), stg0.7900(E300mn)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9400($360mn), Chf0.9600($156mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1000($915mn), C$1.1075($570mn), C$1.1100-05($405mn), C$1.1150-55($620mn)

12:31
Canada: Trade balance, billions, August -0.6 (forecast 1.5)
12:30
U.S.: Unemployment Rate, September 5.9% (forecast 6.1%)
12:30
U.S.: Nonfarm Payrolls, September 248 (forecast 216)
12:30
U.S.: International Trade, bln, August -40.1 (forecast -41.0)
12:30
U.S.: Average hourly earnings , August 0.0% (forecast +0.2%)
12:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2820/30, $1.2800, $1.2780/85, $1.2760, $1.2700

Ордера на покупку $1.2560/50, $1.2500

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6425/30, $1.6400/10, $1.6325/30, $1.6285, $1.6190/00

Bids $1.6050, $1.6000

AUD/USD

Offers $0.8900, $0.8850

Bids $0.8760, $0.8700, $0.8660, $0.8650, $0.8600

EUR/JPY

Offers Y140.00, Y139.70, Y139.10, Y138.80, Y138.00

Bids Y137.00, Y136.85, Y136.60

USD/JPY

Offers Y111.00, Y110.10, Y109.20

Bids Y108.00, Y107.65, Y107.40

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.7900, stg0.7890, stg0.7860

Bids stg0.7800, stg0.7755/45, stg0.7700

09:26
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD: $1.2650(E711mn), $1.2700(E2.39bn), $1.2725-35(E900mn), $1.2750(E1.2bn), $1.2800(E865mn)

USD/JPY: Y107.50($782mn), Y107.75($350mn), Y108.00($200mn), Y108.75($205mn), Y109.00($671mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6200(stg636mn), $1.6300(stg822mn), $1.6350(stg533mn)

EUR/GBP: stg0.7750(E200mn), Stg0.7800(E190mn), stg0.7850(E230mn), $0.7875(E190mn), stg0.7900(E300mn)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9400($360mn), Chf0.9600($156mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1000($915mn), C$1.1075($570mn), C$1.1100-05($405mn), C$1.1150-55($620mn)

09:00
Eurozone: Retail Sales (MoM), August +1.2% (forecast +0.1%)
09:00
Eurozone: Retail Sales (YoY), August +1.9% (forecast +0.6%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Services, September 58.7 (forecast 59.1)
08:01
Eurozone: Services PMI, September 52.4 (forecast 52.8)
07:55
Germany: Services PMI, September 55.7 (forecast 55.4)
07:51
France: Services PMI, September 48.4 (forecast 49.4)
05:14
Options levels on friday, October 3, 2014:

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2804 (3228)

$1.2761 (2911)

$1.2702 (1706)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2653

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2592 (4696)

$1.2547 (2743)

$1.2499 (2380)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 68747 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4814);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 63197 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (5542);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.92 versus 0.97 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 2

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.6400 (1894)

$1.6300 (1941)

$1.6201 (1066)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6132

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6098 (3350)

$1.6000 (1858)

$1.5900 (1703)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 34357 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6700 (3648);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 41214 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6300 (4530);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.20 versus 1.27 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 2

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:00
China: Non-Manufacturing PMI, September 54

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Upozorenje o rizicima

Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.

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