Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 30-09-2014

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30.09.2014
23:50
Japan: BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index, Quarter III 13 (forecast 11)
23:50
Japan: BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index, Quarter III 13 (forecast 17)
23:31
Australia: AIG Manufacturing Index, September 46.5
22:21
Currencies. Daily history for Sep 30'2014:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2629 -0,47%

GBP/USD $1,6213 -0,17%

USD/CHF Chf0,9549 +0,40%

USD/JPY Y109,60 +0,15%

EUR/JPY Y138,43 -0,31%

GBP/JPY Y177,7 -0,02%

AUD/USD $0,8745 +0,32%

NZD/USD $0,7812 +0,58%

USD/CAD C$1,1196 +0,33%

22:02
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Oct 1’2014:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 China Bank holiday

01:00 China Manufacturing PMI September 51.1 51.1

01:30 Australia Retail sales (MoM) August +0.4% +0.4%

01:30 Australia Retail Sales Y/Y August +5.9%

01:35 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Finally) September 51.7 51.7

06:30 Australia RBA Commodity prices, y/y September -11.5%

07:30 Switzerland Manufacturing PMI September 52.9 52.1

07:50 France Manufacturing PMI (Finally) September 46.9 48.8

07:55 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Finally) September 51.4 50.3

08:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Finally) September 50.5 50.5

08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing September 52.5 52.6

12:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report September 204 206

13:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Finally) September 57.9 58.0

14:00 U.S. Construction Spending, m/m August +1.8% +0.5%

14:00 U.S. ISM Manufacturing September 59.0 58.6

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories September -4.3

19:30 U.S. Total Vehicle Sales, mln September 17.5 16.9

23:50 Japan Monetary Base, y/y September +40.5% +38.9%

14:00
U.S.: Consumer confidence , September 86.0 (forecast 92.2)
13:51
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD: $1.2750(E417mn), $1.2800(E202mn), $1.2950(E1.3bn)

USD/JPY: Y108.30($250mn), Y109.00($380mn), Y109.25-30($200mn), Y110.00($854mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6250(stg141mn), $1.6300(stg100mn), $1.6325(stg156mn), $1.6450(stg241mn)

AUD/USD: $0.9000(A$1.0bn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1075($325mn), C$1.1105($375mn), C$1.1125($230mn), C$1.1200($595mn)

13:45
U.S.: Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index , September 60.5 (forecast 61.6)
13:00
U.S.: S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y, July +6.7% (forecast +7.5%)
12:30
Canada: Raw Material Price Index, August -2.2% (forecast -1.7%)
12:30
Canada: Industrial Product Prices, m/m, August +0.2 (forecast -0.2%)
12:30
Canada: GDP (m/m) , July 0.0% (forecast +0.2%)
12:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2820/30, $1.2800, $1.2780/85, $1.2760, $1.2700

Bids $1.2560/50, $1.2500

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6425/30, $1.6400/10, $1.6325/30

Bids $1.6160, $1.6100, $1.6050

AUD/USD

Offers $0.8900, $0.8850, $0.8795/00

Bids $0.8680, $0.8650, $0.8600

EUR/JPY

Offers Y140.00, Y139.70, Y139.50

Bids Y138.00, Y137.50, Y137.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y111.00, Y110.00

Bids Y109.00, Y108.70, Y108.45

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.7890, stg0.7850, stg0.7829-31

Bids stg0.7755/45, stg0.7700

09:18
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD: $1.2625(E256mn), $1.2700(E369mn), $1.2725(E204mn), $1.2750(E1.22bn), $1.2800(E278mn)

USD/JPY: Y108.00($1.3bn), Y108.50($300mn), Y109.50($1.13bn), Y110.00($200mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6250(stg141mn), $1.6300(stg100mn), $1.6325(stg156mn), $1.6450(stg241mn)

EUR/GBP: Stg0.7800(E210mn), stg0.7860(E123mn), stg0.7960(E200mn)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9450($185mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8780(A$100mn), $0.8825(A$179mn), $0.8850(A$240mn)

NZD/USD: $0.7900(NZ$141mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1100($243mn)

USD/ZAR: Zar11.13($244mn)

09:00
Eurozone: Unemployment Rate , August 11.5% (forecast 11.5%)
09:00
Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, September +0.3% (forecast +0.3%)
08:31
United Kingdom: Business Investment, y/y, Quarter II +11.0% (forecast +11.5%)
08:31
United Kingdom: Business Investment, q/q, Quarter II +3.3% (forecast +2.0%)
08:30
United Kingdom: GDP, q/q, Quarter II +0.9% (forecast +0.8%)
08:30
United Kingdom: GDP, y/y, Quarter II +3.2% (forecast +3.2%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Current account, bln , Quarter II -23.1 (forecast -16.9)
07:55
Germany: Unemployment Change, September 12 (forecast -2)
07:55
Germany: Unemployment Rate s.a. , September 6.7% (forecast 6.7%)
07:00
Switzerland: KOF Leading Indicator, September 99.1 (forecast 99.1)
06:45
France: Consumer spending , July -0.7% (forecast -0.3%)
06:01
Germany: Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y, August +0.6% (forecast -0.3%)
06:01
United Kingdom: Nationwide house price index , September -0.2%
06:01
United Kingdom: Nationwide house price index, y/y, September +9.4%
05:24
Options levels on tuesday, September 30, 2014:

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2817 (2740)

$1.2781 (815)

$1.2731 (301)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2693

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2648 (3184)

$1.2619 (3060)

$1.2583 (5000)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 61562 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (5026);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 61361 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2800 (6050);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.00 versus 1.00 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 29

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.6500 (2357)

$1.6401 (1630)

$1.6303 (1608)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6259

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6196 (2481)

$1.6099 (3501)

$1.6000 (2021)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 32591 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6700 (3649);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 42214 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6300 (4565);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.29 versus 1.35 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 29

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

05:01
Japan: Housing Starts, y/y, August -12.5% (forecast -13.9%)
01:45
China: HSBC Manufacturing PMI, September 50ю2 (forecast 50.5)
01:32
Australia: Private Sector Credit, y/y, August +5.1%
01:30
Australia: Private Sector Credit, m/m, August +0.4% (forecast +0.5%)
01:30
Japan: Labor Cash Earnings, YoY, August +1.4% (forecast +1.1%)
00:00
New Zealand: ANZ Business Confidence, September 13.4

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