Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 07-04-2014

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3740 +0,28%

GBP/USD $1,6607 +0,19%

USD/CHF Chf0,8877 -0,51%

USD/JPY Y103,06 -0,21%

EUR/JPY Y141,61 +0,06%

GBP/JPY Y171,15 +0,02%

AUD/USD $0,9265 -0,27%

NZD/USD $0,8605 +0,07%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence March 7         

03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10%     

03:00 Japan Bank of Japan Monetary Base Target 270 270     

03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement                 

04:30 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current March 53.0 54.1     

04:30 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook March 40.0         

05:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate March 3.2% 3.2%     

06:45 France Trade Balance, bln February -5.7 -4.9     

07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Y/Y February +0.3% +0.9%     

07:30 Japan BOJ Press Conference                 

08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) February +0.1% +0.3%     

08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) February +2.9%         

08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) February +0.4% +0.3%     

08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) February +3.3%         

12:15 Canada Housing Starts May 192 193     

12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) February +8.5% -2.4%     

14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate March +0.8%         

14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings February 3974 3900     

17:30 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota

18:45 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Plosser Speaks

The euro exchange rate has risen considerably against the dollar on better forecasts published statistics and publication of minutes of the Fed's expectations . Note that investor confidence in the eurozone unexpectedly strengthened in April , showed on Monday poll , conducted by the research center Sentix. Investor sentiment index rose to 14.1 in April , its highest level since April 2011, from 13.9 in March. According to forecasts , the index was down to 13.7 . Assessment of the current situation rose to 5.8 from 4.8 points in the previous month . The result was the highest since July 2011 . Meanwhile, the expectations index fell for the second consecutive month in April , to 22.8 from 23.5 in March.

Meanwhile, it became known that the index of industrial production in Germany grew faster than expected in February , said the country's statistics office on Monday , showing a strong start in Europe's largest economy this year. Industrial production increased by 0.4 % per month , adjusted in February , beating economists' expectations +0.3 % m / m Value in January was revised downward to 0.7 % from 0.8 %. During the year, industrial production increased by 4.8 % in February.

Support for the single currency was a representative of the ECB Nowotny comments . Member of the Management Board of the European Central Bank Ewald Nowotny said that he still believes the risk of deflation in the euro zone limited , adding : ECB has a wide range of tools in case you need . Nowotny said that there is a wide range of tools , but not a priority.

As for the future launch of quantitative easing (QE), then Nowotny does not exclude any type of asset purchases , if necessary , but he personally prefers buying securities , asset-backed (ABS). Nowotny added that the need to strengthen the ABS market in the eurozone. Nowotny also voiced expectations of renewed growth in the prices of services in Germany in the near future , which should alleviate the problem of low inflationary pressures.

The Swiss franc has appreciated significantly against the U.S. dollar , which helped to data presented today . As it became known , Swiss consumer prices remained unchanged in March , while the predicted drop of 0.2 percent , the Federal Statistical Office reported : consumer prices remained unchanged after falling 0.1 percent in February . On a monthly measurement of the consumer price index rose 0.4 percent after rising 0.1 percent in February . It was the fastest growth since March 2012 . Swiss National Bank last month predicted that consumer prices will remain unchanged in 2014 and grow by 0.4 percent next year . The Bank has designated the international decline in inflation and a somewhat stronger Swiss franc as factors that inhibit the growth of inflation in the positive zone .

Another report showed that the volume of foreign exchange reserves of the Swiss National Bank in March rose to 438 billion Swiss francs ( U.S. $ 491.5 billion ), compared with 433.6 billion francs in February. This is stated in the data published on Monday the central bank of Switzerland. The volume of foreign exchange reserves roughly equivalent to the volume of Swiss sight deposits , the amount of which has not changed at the end of March compared with the previous month , indicating that the low activity of the Swiss National Bank in the currency markets . Demand deposits , or funds that commercial banks hold at the Swiss National Bank , can be easily converted into cash . Last year, foreign exchange reserves accounted for approximately 70 % of GDP, whereas prior to the financial crisis in 2008 , the ratio was less than 10% .

The Canadian dollar rose slightly against the U.S. dollar , receiving support from a quarterly survey released today by the Bank of Canada . As it became known , the Canadian business continues to be optimistic on the prospects for sales by strengthening U.S. economy and a weaker Canadian dollar , but notes that competition limits the ability to shift the increase in incoming costs on to consumers. Plans for investment and employment were the highest in almost two years , the pressure on production capacity increased , but most companies expect that inflation will remain under control. Central Bank conducted a survey on February 18 - March 13 , after the release of stronger than expected economic data in Canada , and the results do not show the probability of potential interest rate cuts . However, competition makes it impossible to price increases and a weaker Canadian dollar leads to an increase in purchase prices , so the Bank of Canada probably will not hurry to raise rates.

USD/JPY Y103.00/10, Y103.50/60, 103.75, Y104.25, Y104.30, Y104.50, Y105.00

EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3700, $1.3750, $1.3765, $1.3775, $1.3790/95, $1.3800

AUD/USD $0.9175, $0.9230, $0.9300

USD/CAD Cad1.0850, Cad1.1040, Cad1.1100

EUR/JPY Y142.15, Y142.65

GBP/USD $1.6440, $1.6540

EUR/GBP stg.0.8150

AUD/JPY Y94.00, Y97.00

USD/CHF Chf0.8775, Chf0.8900, Chf0.9000, Chf0.9045

06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) February +0.7% Revised From +0.8% +0.3% +0.4%

06:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) February +4.9% Revised From +5.0% +4.8%

07:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves March 433.5 437.9

07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) March +0.1% +0.2% +0.4%

07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) March -0.1% -0.1% 0.0%

08:30 Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence April 13.9 13.7 14.1

09:40 Eurozone ECB's Yves Mersch Speaks

10:30 Eurozone ECB's Jens Weidmann Speaks

Euro traded upward against the dollar on better forecasts published statistics. Investor confidence in the eurozone unexpectedly strengthened in April , showed on Monday poll , conducted by the research center Sentix. Investor sentiment index rose to 14.1 in April , its highest level since April 2011, from 13.9 in March. According to forecasts , the index was down to 13.7 . Assessment of the current situation rose to 5.8 from 4.8 points in the previous month . The result was the highest since July 2011 . Meanwhile, the expectations index fell for the second consecutive month in April , to 22.8 from 23.5 in March.

Index of industrial production in Germany grew faster than expected in February , said the country's statistics office on Monday , showing a strong start in Europe's largest economy this year. Industrial production increased by 0.4 % per month , adjusted in February , beating economists' expectations +0.3 % m / m Value in January was revised downward to 0.7 % from 0.8 %. During the year, industrial production increased by 4.8 % in February.

"In general, the industrial sector remained strong in the first quarter , despite the challenges from the strong euro and some geopolitical uncertainty , " - said Annalisa Piazza , economist at Newedge. Data came after unexpectedly strong factory orders in February. Total production orders on a monthly basis by 0.6 % , adjusted for inflation , working days and seasonal effects .

Support for the single currency was a representative of the ECB Nowotny comments . Member of the Management Board of the European Central Bank Ewald Nowotny said that he still believes the risk of deflation in the euro zone limited , adding : ECB has a wide range of tools in case you need . Nowotny said that there is a wide range of tools , but not a priority.

As for the future launch of quantitative easing (QE), then Nowotny does not exclude any type of asset purchases , if necessary , but he personally prefers buying securities backed by assets (asset-backed security, ABS). Nowotny added that the need to strengthen the ABS market in the eurozone. Nowotny also voiced expectations of renewed growth in the prices of services in Germany in the near future , which should alleviate the problem of low inflationary pressures.

At the moment, the yen stabilized pending the outcome of two -day meeting of the Bank of Japan , the announcement of which will be held tomorrow . It is worth noting that this is the first meeting after April 1 the government increased the sales tax in the country. According to the median forecast of economists at the current meeting, the Central Bank is likely to decide to leave its monetary policy settings unchanged. However, there is a high probability that in the coming months, the Bank of Japan may double asset purchase .

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3737

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6593

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y102.98 and then increased to 103.31

At 14:30 GMT , Canada will release indicator of expectations in the field of credit and financial institutions , according to the Bank of Canada for the 1st quarter . At 22:00 GMT New Zealand will release the sentiment indicator from the NZIER business environment for the 1st quarter . At 23:50 GMT Japan will total current account surplus and total adjusted current account surplus for February.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3790/800, $1.3750/60

Bids $1.3645/40

GBP/USD

Offers 

Bids $1.6525\20, $1.6510/00, $1.6485/80

AUD/USD

Offers  $0.9400, $0.9380, $0.9350

Bids $0.9255/50, $0.9225/20, $0.9200, $0.9150

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.80, Y142.50, Y142.00

Bids  Y141.20/10, Y141.00, Y140.50, Y140.25/20

USD/JPY

Offers  Y104.00, Y103.65/75, Y103.50, Y103.30

Bids Y103.00, Y102.55/50, Y102.20, Y102.00

EUR/GBP

Offers  stg0.8320/25

Bids stg0.8190-80

USD/JPY Y103.00/10, Y103.50/60, 103.75, Y104.25, Y104.30, Y104.50, Y105.00

EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3700, $1.3750, $1.3765, $1.3775, $1.3790/95, $1.3800

AUD/USD $0.9175, $0.9230, $0.9300

USD/CAD Cad1.0850, Cad1.1040, Cad1.1100

EUR/JPY Y142.15, Y142.65

GBP/USD $1.6440, $1.6540

EUR/GBP stg.0.8150

AUD/JPY Y94.00, Y97.00

USD/CHF Chf0.8775, Chf0.8900, Chf0.9000, Chf0.9045

00:00 China Bank holiday

01:30 Australia ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) March +5.1% +1.4%

The dollar remained stronger against the euro following a three-week rally before the U.S. central bank releases minutes this week of the Federal Open Market Committee’s March meeting. The Fed is due to release on April 9 minutes of its March 18-19 meeting at which it reduced the monthly pace of bond buying by $10 billion to $55 billion. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said at that time that the central bank may start to raise borrowing costs “around six months” after ending its asset-purchase program.

Treasuries gained and the yen strengthened against the dollar on April 4 after U.S. Labor Department data showed payrolls rose 192,000 last month, compared with the 200,000 increase estimated by economists in a Bloomberg News survey. A decline in U.S. bond yields typically damps the allure of the greenback for Japanese investors.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard is due to speak today.

Demand for the yen was limited as the Bank of Japan today starts its first policy meeting since the government raised the sales tax on April 1. Japan’s central bank may double purchases of exchange-traded funds in coming months, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists. The BOJ will leave policy unchanged at the meeting that concludes tomorrow, the survey shows.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3690-00

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6570-85

USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y103.15-40