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15.08.2013

18:20

American focus: the dollar fell sharply against most currencies

The dollar is essential, and, at the same time, fell sharply against most major currencies. The sudden surge of interest in the purchase raised the EUR / USD pair to week highs near 1.3355, but now the price has moved a few pips of the maximum values. Perhaps breakthrough single currency was associated with an attempt to break through the $ 1.3300. Although the catalyst of this movement is still unclear, traders talk of stops triggered after the USD / JPY fell to session lows at Y97.30.

Note that until such a sharp movement of the dollar showed significant gains against the euro, which has been associated with the release of U.S. data.

According to a survey released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the activity in the industry in August, below expectations.

The volume of industrial production in the U.S. in July, has not grown, but that was expected. More detailed data Philadelphia Fed survey can be seen as a sign of early completion of growth. After a number of positive statistics is likely to disappoint investors and led to the liquidation of long positions in the dollar. Perhaps waiting for the start of reduction of redemption of bonds by the Fed changed. Yesterday's speech Bullard was conceived in favor of reducing the probability of a repurchase program is not in September and October. He warned of the need to take into account low inflation and weaker-than-expected data from the manufacturing sector.

Note that the sharp depreciation of the U.S. currency was marked against the pound, which also has no obvious explanation. We add that in the first half of the session helped the pound data showed that retail sales rose sharply in July, buoyed by the warm weather. These data are the new sign of recovery of the British economy.

According to the report, retail sales in July rose by 1.1% compared with the previous month and by 3% compared with the same period last year. Increase in the overall index contributed to an increase in sales of summer clothes, food and alcoholic drinks, while the British enjoyed a period of warm weather. Economists had expected sales to rise by 0.7% and 2.5%, respectively. These data have become the latest signal that the economic situation in the UK is improving after several years, during which time she was on the brink of stagnation.

Annual sales growth was the strongest since January 2011. For the three month period ending in July, retail sales rose by 2.2% compared with the same period last year, and it was the biggest increase since March 2008

14:00

U.S.: NAHB Housing Market Index, August 59

14:00

U.S.: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, August 9.3 (forecast 15.6)

13:45

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3140, $1.3250, $1.3275, $1.3305, $1.3330

USD/JPY Y97.10, Y98.10, Y98.90, Y99.50, Y99.75

EUR/JPY Y131.85

GBP/USD $1.5425, $1.5515, $1.5545

EUR/GBP stg0.8550, stg0.8640, stg0.8650

USD/CHF Chf0.9240

EUR/CHF Chf1.2395, Chf1.2600

AUD/USD $0.9100, $0.9180

USD/CAD C$1.0185