Forex-novosti i prognoze od 09-11-2011

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09.11.2011

20:02

Dow 11,792.22 -377.96 -3.11%, Nasdaq 2,628.50 -98.99 -3.63%, S&P 500 1,231.71 -44.21 -3.46%

19:51

Oil futures on NYMEX fell to 95.74 doll per barrel

19:43

EU Juncker says euro currency not in crisis

19:34

American focus: dollar and the yen gained, euro declined

The euro slid to a four-week low versus the dollar as Italian bond yields climbed to euro-era records after a firm raised the deposits it demands for clearing the nation’s securities, intensifying Europe’s debt crisis. The shared currency fell to a two-week low versus the yen on concern Italy will join Greece in struggling to form a new regime strong enough to implement austerity measures. LCH Clearnet SA announced the changes to its margin requirements on Italian government-debt on its website.

The 17-nation currency remained lower versus the dollar as Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou said in Athens his country’s two biggest political parties reached agreement on the creation of a national unity government after three days of talks. Papandreou will step down. He didn’t disclose the name of the new prime minister.

The dollar rose as U.S. 10-year note yields declined the most in a week as demand for refuge surged. The Dollar Index, which IntercontinentalExchange Inc. uses to track the greenback against the currencies of six major U.S. trading partners climbed 1.3 percent to 77.630.

The yen strengthened against most of its major peers as traders sought a haven. The Japanese currency and yen- denominated bonds were the most-sought assets today, according to Bank of New York Mellon Corp. The yen tends to gain because Japan’s export-reliant economy doesn’t need foreign capital to balance current accounts -- the broadest measure of trade while the greenback tends to strengthen during periods of financial stress due to its status as the world’s reserve currency.

19:12

EURO-DOLLAR: Slapped down through the previously mentioned stops below $1.3550 for trade to $1.3540 as stocks cratered to losses of 370 points

Bids eyed $1.3520/25 with stops in the same area.

19:06

US stocks hit new day lows: Dow 11,816.85 -353.33 -2.90%, Nasdaq 2,639.41 -88.08 -3.23%, S&P 500 1,235.61 -40.31 -3.16%

19:01

European stocks close:

European stocks dropped for the third day in four as Italian bond yields surged to their highest since the introduction of the euro and Italy’s credit-default swaps jumped to a record.

Italian bonds tumbled, pushing two-, five-, 10- and 30-year yields to euro-era records. The 10-year note yield climbed to 7.25 percent.

Berlusconi last night said he will step down as soon as parliament passes austerity measures. He had pledged to cut spending in a bid to convince investors that Italy can manage the euro area’s second-largest debt. The government has yet to write the austerity bill, said Mario Baldassarri, head of the Senate Finance Committee.

In Greece, Prime Minister George Papandreou’s talks on forming an interim government to avert the economy’s collapse dragged into a third day as a near-agreement with the biggest opposition party stalled on European Union demands for written commitments. The makeup of Greece’s new government is to be announced today, the Associated Press reported, citing a government official who it did not name.

China’s inflation slowed by the most in almost three years, giving officials more room to support growth as industrial production cools, a report today showed. Consumer prices rose 5.5 percent in October from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said. The measure declined 0.6 percentage points from September, its biggest slide since February 2009.

National benchmark indexes fell in all of the 18 western European markets. France’s CAC 40 Index and Germany’s DAX Index retreated 2.2 percent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index lost 1.9 percent.

HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe’s largest bank, retreated 5.8. The bank said pretax profit at its investment bank led by Samir Assaf fell to about $1 billion in the third quarter from a year-earlier. Bad-loan provisions increased to $3.89 billion from $3.15 billion, mainly related to its U.S. unit, the bank said.

Bank shares fell 3.7 percent, among the biggest drops of the 19 industry groups in the Stoxx 600, as Greek and Italian lenders slid. Piraeus Bank SA retreated 6.3 percent to 25.3 euro cents. Alpha Bank AE sank 9 percent to 1.11 euros.

Dexia SA, the lender being broken up after running out of short-term funding, plunged 11 percent to 37.2 euro cents. The bank said shareholder equity shrank 84 percent after the nationalization of its Belgian bank unit and declines in the value of government bond holdings.

Mediaset SpA, the broadcaster controlled by Berlusconi, tumbled 12 percent to 2.21 euros after the premier offered to resign once parliament approves stability measures.

Admiral Group sank 26 percent to 887.5 pence for the biggest decline on the Stoxx 600 and the shares’ largest retreat since 2004. The U.K. car insurer that owns the confused.com website said full-year pretax profit will be toward the lower end of analysts’ estimates.

Deutsche Post, Europe’s biggest postal service, rallied 3.8 percent to 11.10 euros. The company lifted its full-year forecast as increasing express shipments in Asia and parcel volume from Internet retailing boosted third-quarter earnings. Earnings before interest and taxes in 2011 will exceed 2.4 billion euros, the company said. That compared with an earlier prediction for Ebit at the upper end of a 2.2 billion-euro to 2.4 billion-euro range.

18:45

Papandreou 'may reconsider' proposal to name Petsalnikos as new Greek PM

18:18

EURO-DOLLAR: Latest flurry of Greek headlines knocks 10 pips off euro-dollar for trade to $1.3590 area but amid light flows.

Backdrop of weak stocks, Dow down 240ish, not helping the single currency via risk consideration.

17:44

U.S. stocks fell

U.S. stocks slumped as a surge in Italian bond yields to euro-era records bolstered concern that Europe’s sovereign debt crisis is worsening. Today’s equity slump erased the month-to-date gain in the S&P 500. Stocks snapped a five-month losing streak in October on optimism European leaders were taking steps to solve region’s debt crisis. Benchmark gauges rose yesterday as Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi’s offer to resign boosted optimism Italy would appoint a new leader who can tame the crisis. In Greece, Prime Minister George Papandreou will step down after announcing an agreement with the main opposition party on an interim government charged with averting the economy’s collapse.

Dow 11,915.73 -254.45 -2.09%, Nasdaq 2,660.05 -67.44 -2.47%, S&P 500 1,245.56 -30.36 -2.38%

All 10 groups in the S&P 500 fell as gauges of financial, commodity and industrial companies slumped at least 2.3 percent.

Bank of America Corp. (BAC) and Morgan Stanley dropped at least 3.1 percent, following losses in European lenders, after LCH Clearnet SA raised the extra charge it levies on clients for trading Italian government bonds and index-linked securities.

General Motors Co. tumbled 8.6 percent after abandoning its target for European results. The automaker, which hasn’t turned an annual profit in Europe in more than a decade, fell after rescinding its target for break- even results in the region. Europe operations lost $292 million before interest and taxes in the quarter. GM said it no longer expects to break even on an EBIT basis before restructuring costs in Europe, citing “deteriorating economic conditions.”

Adobe Systems Inc. sank 7.7 percent on plans to cut jobs as it lessens its focus on older products. The reduction of 750 jobs, mostly in North America and Europe, will cost $87 million to $94 million before taxes, the company said. After the costs, net income will be 30 cents to 38 cents a share, compared with a previous forecast of 41 cents to 50 cents.

17:08

New Greek PM is parliament president Petsalnikos

17:05

Europe stocks closed in minus: FTSE 100 5,460 -106.96 -1.92%, CAC 40 3,075 -68.14 -2.17%, DAX 5,830 -131.90 -2.21%

16:57

Gold fell

Gold prices are falling as the dollar is growing, and doubts about the ability of Italy to resolve the debt problems remain even after the resignation of Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi.

Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi resigned on Tuesday after ceasing to resist the increasing pressure after a vote in Parliament showed that he had lost the support of most members.

Euro drops, and the dollar rising against all currencies. The yield on the 10-year government bonds in Italy reached 7 percent, with the level of profitability of Portugal and Ireland have been forced to seek financial help.

Against the backdrop of the growing debt crisis in Europe the price of gold reached a record high in September in the 1,920 dollars per ounce, and from the beginning of the year the price has risen by 25 percent.

Stocks of the world's largest gold ETF-secured fund SPDR Gold Trust on Tuesday rose 0.67%. Demand for gold in China will grow by 50 percent this year to 400 tons, exceeding domestic production by investment demand, said Wednesday edition of the China Securities Journal quoting the president of China Association of gold Sun Zhao Xue.

Today, December gold futures on the COMEX traded in the range of 1779-1801 dollar / oz.

16:40

Oil rebounded

Oil futures were little changed in New York, rebounding from a decline of 2.3 percent after the U.S. government reported an unexpected decline in supplies last week.

Crude oil for December delivery fell 2 cents to $96.78 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil traded at $94.84 a barrel before the release of the report at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.

Oil pared losses after the U.S. Energy Department said supplies fell 1.37 million barrels last week. Analysts had expected a gain of 500,000 barrels.