Forex-novosti i prognoze od 28-04-2015

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 57.06 +0.12%

Gold 1,213.90 +0.89%

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/JPY $1,0975 +0,84%

GBP/USD $1,5337 +0,71%

USD/CHF Chf0,9552 -0,01%

USD/JPY Y118,84 -0,21%

EUR/JPY Y130,43 +0,63%

GBP/JPY Y182,25 +0,49%

AUD/USD $0,8021 +2,18%

NZD/USD $0,7731 +1,25%

USD/CAD C$1,2027 -0,52%

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei 225 20,058.95 +75.63 +0.38 %

Hang Seng 28,442.75 +9.16 +0.03 %

S&P/ASX 200 5,948.54 -34.15 -0.57 %

Shanghai Composite 4,476.21 -51.18 -1.13 %

FTSE 100 7,030.53 -73.45 -1.03 %

CAC 40 5,173.38 -95.53 -1.81 %

Xetra DAX 11,811.66 -227.50 -1.89 %

S&P 500 2,114.76 +5.84 +0.28 %

NASDAQ Composite 5,055.42 -4.82 -0.10 %

Dow Jones 18,110.14 +72.17 +0.40 %

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 Japan Bank holiday

01:00 New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence April 35.8 22.09

06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index April 0.1% 0.2%

06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y April 5.1% 4.1%

06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator March 1.19

08:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y March 4% 4.2%

08:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y March -0.1% 0.1%

09:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) April -3.7 -4.3

09:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence April -2.9 -1.2

09:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator April 0.23 0.12

09:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index April 103.9 104.1

11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications April 2.3% 9.88%

12:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Preliminary) April 0.5% 0.4%

12:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Preliminary) April 0.3% 0.5%

12:30 Canada PPI, m/m March 1.8%

12:30 Canada PPI, y/y March -1.6% -1%

12:30 Canada Raw Material Price Index March 6.1% 4.5%

12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter I 2.2% 1.27%

14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) March 3.1%

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories April 5.315 1.4

18:00 U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%

18:00 U.S. FOMC Statement

21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 3.5% 3.25%

21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement

22:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m March -6.3%

23:05 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence April 4 5

23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Preliminary) March -3.1% -3.4%

23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Preliminary) March -2.0%

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose as Merck & Co.'s boosted profit outlook and a dividend increase from IBM Corp. helped lift equities while the Federal Reserve began its two-day meeting.

The S&P 500 Index rose 0.3 percent to 2,114.90 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 0.1 percent, while the Russell 2000 Index advanced 0.5 percent.

"Earnings is driving most everything that's going on right now," said Tom Wirth, senior investment officer for Chemung Canal Trust Co., which manages $1.9 billion in Elmira, New York. "When I look at the stocks that are doing well and those that aren't doing so well, it's mostly earnings driven here."

In the midst of the corporate earnings season, investors are also awaiting the outcome of the Fed's meeting, which begins today, for more clues on the timing of interest rate increases.

The Fed won't hike rates until its September meeting, according to 73 percent of 59 economists in a survey, up from 37 percent in the March survey, when the majority said the first increase would likely come in June or July.

Most Fed policy makers expect to raise the benchmark interest rate by the end of 2015. With economic data missing estimates this month by the most in more than six years, some officials have said they are wary of lifting rates too soon.

The Fed last month dropped an assurance that it will be "patient" in raising rates. Instead, officials said they want to see further labor-market gains and be "reasonably confident" inflation will move back up toward their 2 percent goal before tightening policy.

The Conference Board's index of consumer confidence unexpectedly decreased to 95.2 in April from 101.4 a month earlier, the New York-based private research group said Tuesday. The median forecast of 77 economists called for the gauge to climb to 102.2 after a previously reported 101.3 a month earlier.

Data tomorrow may show U.S. economic growth slowed to a 1 percent pace in the first quarter, from 2.2 percent in the previous three months.

Selling in U.S. equities Tuesday briefly accelerated, sending the S&P 500 as much as 0.7 percent lower, after Al Arabiya reported that Iranian forces seized a U.S. cargo vessel, without saying where it obtained the information.

Pfizer, Ford and Kraft Foods Group Inc. are among 40 S&P 500 companies releasing results today. Of index members that have already reported this season, about three quarters beat profit projections and about half topped sales estimates.

U.S. stocks retreated from records yesterday, with biotechnology companies leading losses. The Nasdaq Composite Index topped its dot-com-era high last week and the S&P 500 closed at a record as Google Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Amazon.com Inc. rallied after posting financial results. U.S. shares have still lagged most developed-market indexes this year.

The dollar dropped to an eight-week low on Tuesday after an unexpectedly weak U.S. consumer confidence report for April, with investors growing cautious about a Federal Reserve meeting starting later in the day.

That meeting could reinforce the view that the pace of U.S. interest rate increases would be slower than initially thought. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates on hold, but the main focus will be on the statement at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday.

Worries that the U.S. economy is stalling, following a run of soft data, have seen the dollar lose 4 percent in the past six weeks as expectations of a rate rise in June have faded. But many still expect the Fed to lift rates in September.

A weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence number further undermined the dollar. U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly slumped in April, according to a private sector report released on Tuesday.

The Conference Board said its index of consumer attitudes fell to 95.2 from an upwardly revised 101.4 in March. Economists were looking for a reading of 102.5.

"The current period of dollar weakness appears to be gaining momentum and accordingly likely has further to run," said Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto. "A test of another 1 percent in dollar weakness is likely in the near-term."

She added, however, that over the medium term, Scotiabank continues to believe U.S. growth and the Fed's tightening policy will favor a stronger dollar.

In mid-morning trading, the dollar index fell 0.7 percent to 96.105 .DXY. It fell as low as 96.078, the weakest level since March 5.

Benefiting from the dollar's weakness, the euro gained 0.8 percent to $1.0971 EUR=. It earlier rose to $1.0973, the highest level since April 6.

The euro was also boosted by hopes cash-strapped Greece could secure extra funding. That followed news Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras had reshuffled his team handling talks with European and IMF lenders, effectively sidelining Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis.

Tsipras said he was confident of reaching a deal before a meeting of euro zone finance ministers on May 11, a day before Greece must pay 700 million euros to the International Monetary Fund.

The Australian dollar, meanwhile, was the biggest gainer, rising 1.7 percent to US$0.79807, after earlier hitting a three-month high. A rally in iron ore prices raised expectations the Reserve Bank of Australia will not cut rates next week.

Major U.S. stock edged up in volatile trading, reversing earlier declines, on strong earnings from Merck (MRK), better-than-expected housing data and a dividend hike from IBM (IBM).

Single-family home prices in USA rose more than expected in February from a year earlier, according to a closely watched survey.

Most of the Dow stocks are trading in positive area (19 из 30). Top looser - Nike, Inc. (NKE, -1.00%). Top gainer - Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK, +5.18%).

Most of S&P index sectors also in positive area. Top gainer - Utilities (+0,7%). Top looser - Consumer goods (-0.2%).

At the moment:

Dow 18037.00 +47.00 +0.26%

S&P 500 2108.75 +4.00 +0.19%

Nasdaq 100 4527.75 +3.00 +0.07%

10-year yield 1.97% +0.05

Oil 57.20 +0.21 +0.37%

Gold 1212.90 +9.70 +0.81%

Stock indices closed lower on the weaker-than-expected corporate updates.

The Greek debt crisis remains in focus. Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said on Tuesday that he expects an agreement between Greece and its creditors could be reached within two weeks. He also said that he would could a referendum if creditors insisted on demands deemed unacceptable by his government.

Tsipras reshuffled his team negotiating with European and IMF creditors on Monday. Deputy Foreign Minister, Euclid Tsakalotos, was appointed co-coordinator of the team.

Investors are awaiting the results of the Fed's monetary policy on Wednesday.

The preliminary U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.3% in the first quarter, missing expectations for a 0.7% gain, after a 0.6% rise in the fourth quarter. It was the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012.

The slow pace of the growth was driven by weak output in the construction, industrial, and services sectors. Construction fell 1.6% in the first quarter, production declined 0.1%, while services rose 0.5%.

On a yearly basis, the preliminary U.K. GDP increased 2.4% in the first quarter, missing forecasts of a 2.8 rise, after a 3.0% gain in the fourth quarter.

Indexes on the close:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 7,030.53 -73.45 -1.03 %

DAX 11,811.66 -227.50 -1.89 %

CAC 40 5,173.38 -95.53 -1.81 %

Brent crude traded lower, while WTI crude oil rose on news that troops from Iran have captured a US cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz and have directed it to Bandar Abbas port on the southern coast of Iran.

The Pentagon said that no U.S. ship was involved.

Saudi Arabia's Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said on Tuesday that Saudi Arabia will meet oil demand in Asia despite the increasing demand in Asia.

"Oil will retain its preeminent position and Saudi Arabia will remain the number one supplier," he said.

His comments indicate that the country will keep producing oil at high levels despite low prices.

WTI crude oil for June delivery increased to $57.83 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude oil for June fell to $64.52 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.

Gold price jumped on the soft U.S. economic data. The Conference Board released its consumer confidence index for the U.S. on Tuesday. The index dropped to 95.2 in April from 101.4 in March, missing expectations for a rise to 102.6. March's figure was revised up from 101.3.

It was the lowest level since December 2014.

The increase was driven by the weaker outlook for the labour market and business conditions. The percentage of consumers expecting more jobs in the coming months declined to 13.8% in April from 15.3% in March.

The percentage of consumers expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months fell to 16.0% in April from 16.8% in March.

The Conference Board's consumer expectations index for the next six months decreased to 87.5 in April from 96.0 in March.

The present conditions index plunged to 106.8 in April from 109.5 in March. It was the consecutive decline.

Investors are awaiting the results of the Fed's monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. It is likely that the Fed will delay its first interest rate hike due to the recently released soft U.S. economic data.

The Greek debt crisis remains in focus. Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras reshuffled his team negotiating with European and IMF creditors on Monday. Deputy Foreign Minister, Euclid Tsakalotos, was appointed co-coordinator of the team.

June futures for gold on the COMEX today increased to 1214.90 dollars per ounce.

The research group Sentix released its survey on Tuesday. Around half of investors expect that Greece will leave the Eurozone within the next 12 months. The Sentix's Eurozone breakup index for Greece climbed to 48.3% in April from 35.5% in March.

The Sentix's breakup index for the euro zone as a whole soared to 49% in April from 36.8% a month ago.

The Sentix's survey was conducted between April 23 and 25 among 1,023 investors.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond released its survey of manufacturing activity. The lender said that "manufacturing activity remained soft in April".

The composite index for manufacturing rose to −3 in April from −8 in March.

The increase was driven by higher manufacturing employment and higher wages.

Manufacturers expect shipments and in the volume of new orders to grow.

The Conference Board released its consumer confidence index for the U.S. on Tuesday. The index dropped to 95.2 in April from 101.4 in March, missing expectations for a rise to 102.6. March's figure was revised up from 101.3.

It was the lowest level since December 2014.

The increase was driven by the weaker outlook for the labour market and business conditions. The percentage of consumers expecting more jobs in the coming months declined to 13.8% in April from 15.3% in March.

The percentage of consumers expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months fell to 16.0% in April from 16.8% in March.

"This month's retreat was prompted by a softening in current conditions, likely sparked by the recent lackluster performance of the labor market, and apprehension about the short-term outlook," the director of economic indicators at The Conference Board, Lynn Franco, said.

The Conference Board's consumer expectations index for the next six months decreased to 87.5 in April from 96.0 in March.

The present conditions index plunged to 106.8 in April from 109.5 in March. It was the consecutive decline.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz testified before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance in Ottawa on Tuesday. He noted that Canada's economy is "doing well" outside of the energy sector, supported by stronger U.S. demand for non-energy exports, the weaker Canadian dollar and interest rate cut in January.

Poloz expects that the Canadian economy starts to grow in the second quarter.

"Our outlook is for the positives to begin to reassert themselves during the second quarter, and to do so clearly in the second half of the year," the BoC governor said.

Poloz pointed out that impact of falling oil prices on Canada's economy is happening faster than the central bank expected.

EUR/USD: $1.0795-1.0800(E670mn), $1.0885(E747mn), $1.0900(E400mn)

USD/JPY: Y119.00($530mn), Y120.00($610mn)

EUR/JPY: Y130.70(E330mn)

GBP/USD: $1.5150(Gbp267M), $1.5185(Gbp235M), $1.5250(Gbp1.16bn)

EUR/GBP: Gbp0.7190 (E257mn), Gbp0.7345 (E600mn)

AUD/USD: $0.7790(A$530mn), $0.8000(A$539mn), $0.7830(A$300mn)

NZD/USD: $0.7500(NZ$565mn).

USD/CAD: C$1.2250($518mn)

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index increased 5.0% in February, exceeding expectations for a 4.7% rise, after a 4.5% gain in January.

January's figure was revised down from a 4.6% rise.

Chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices David Blitzer said that "home prices continue to rise and outpace both inflation and wage gains".

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index measures single-family home prices in 20 U.S. cities.

U.S. index futures retreated amid concern that better-than-expected earnings won't be enough to trigger more gains.

Global markets:

Nikkei 20,058.95 +75.63 +0.38%

Hang Seng 28,442.75 +9.16 +0.03%

Shanghai Composite 4,476.21 -51.18 -1.13%

FTSE 7,029 -74.98 -1.06%

CAC 5,186.34 -82.57 -1.57%

DAX 11,883.18 -155.98 -1.30%

Crude oil $57.08 (+0.16%)

Gold $1203.50 (+0.01%)

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)

Upgrades:

DuPont (DD) upgraded from Underperform to Outperform at Credit Agricole

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) upgraded from Equal-Weight to Overweight at Morgan Stanley

Downgrades:

Other:

Apple (AAPL) target raised from $150 to $155 at Canaccord Genuity, from $134 to $155 at Robert W. Baird, from $180 to $195 at Cantor Fitzgerald, from $142 to $150 at RBC Capital Mkts, from $150 to $155 at Susquehanna

Starbucks (SBUX) reiterated at Buy at Argus, target raised from $54 to $59

Company reported Q1 earnings of $0.85 per share versus $0.75 consensus. Revenues fell 8.2% year/year to $9.43 bln versus $9.06 bln consensus.

Company issueed in-line guidance for FY15, sees EPS of $3.35-$3.48 versus $3.37 consensus and revenue of $38.3-$39.8 bln versus $39.23 consensus.

MRK rose to $59.66 (+4.48%) on the premarket.

Company reports Q1 earnings of $0.51 per share versus $0.49 consensus. Revenues fell 4.0% year/year to $10.90 bln versus $10.73 bln consensus.

PFE rose to $34.67 (+0.56%) on the premarket.

The European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Benoit Coeure said in an interview to the French magazine Alternatives Economiques., published on Tuesday, that the central bank is not preparing for the Greek exit from the Eurozone. He added that the ECB is working on the strengthening the relationship with Greece.

Couere also said that "there is no reason to worry about the recovery of the euro area in 2015 and 2016".

Company reports Q1 earnings of $0.23 per share versus $0.26 consensus. Revenues fell 6.0% year/year to $31.80 bln versus $33.90 bln consensus.

Company reconfirmrd 2015 pre-tax profit guidance of $8.5 bln to $9.5 bln.

F fell to $15.81 (-0.56%) on the premarket.

Company reports Q1 earnings of $0.05 per share versus $0.09 consensus. Revenues fell 15.2% year/year to $2.25 bln versus $2.35 bln consensus.

ABX fell to $12.63 (-1.33%) on the premarket.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

06:45 France Consumer confidence April 93 91.15 94

08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals March 37.3 Revised From 38.75K 38.8K

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter I 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter I 3.0% 2.82% 2.4%

The U.S. dollar traded mixed to lower against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. economic data. The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index is expected to rise by 4.7% in February, after a 4.6% gain in January.

The U.S. consumer confidence is expected to increase to 102.6 in April from 101.3 from March.

The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar. The euro was supported by yesterday's news that Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras reshuffled his team negotiating with European and IMF creditors on Monday. Deputy Foreign Minister, Euclid Tsakalotos, was appointed co-coordinator of the team.

Friday's Eurogroup meeting ended without any results as widely expected. Discussions between the Greek government and its creditors will continue at the next Eurogroup meeting on May 11.

The European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Benoit Coeure said in an interview, published on Tuesday, that the central bank is not preparing for the Greek exit from the Eurozone.

The French consumer confidence index climbed to 94 in April from 93 in March, exceeding expectations for a decline to 92.5. It was the highest level since January 2010.

Households in France were more willing to make significant purchases.

The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the weaker-than-expected economic growth in the U.K. The preliminary U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.3% in the first quarter, missing expectations for a 0.7% gain, after a 0.6% rise in the fourth quarter. It was the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012.

The slow pace of the growth was driven by weak output in the construction, industrial, and services sectors. Construction fell 1.6% in the first quarter, production declined 0.1%, while services rose 0.5%.

On a yearly basis, the preliminary U.K. GDP increased 2.4% in the first quarter, missing forecasts of a 2.8 rise, after a 3.0% gain in the fourth quarter.

The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of a speech by the Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz.

EUR/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.0949

GBP/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.5304

USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:45 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks

13:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y February 4.6% 4.7%

14:00 U.S. Consumer confidence April 101.3 102.6

The French statistical office Insee released consumer confidence index for France on Tuesday. The consumer confidence index climbed to 94 in April from 93 in March, exceeding expectations for a decline to 92.5. It was the highest level since January 2010.

Households in France were more willing to make significant purchases.

The indicator for past financial situation increased to -25 in April from -27 in March.

The indicator for future situation rose to -13 in April.

EUR/USD

Offers 1.0900 1.0920 1.0950 1.0980 1.1000 1.1030 1.1050

Bids 1.0860 1.0830 1.0815-20 1.0800 1.0785 1.0750

GBP/USD

Offers 1.5280 1.5300 1.5325-30 1.5350 1.5380 1.5400

Bids 1.5220 1.5200 1.5185 1.5165 15150 1.5130 1.5100-10 1.5080 1.5065 1.5050

EUR/JPY

Offers 129.80 130.00 130.30 130.80 131.00

Bids 129.20 129.00 128.80 128.40 128.00

USD/JPY

Offers 119.40 119.60 119.75-80 120.00 120.20 120.50

Bids 118.80-85 118.65 118.50 118.25-30 118.00

EUR/GBP

Offers 0.7155-60 0.7180 0.7200 0.7220-25 0.7235 0.7250

Bids 0.7125-30 0.7100-10 0.7085 0.7065 0.7050

AUD/USD

Offers 0.7900 0.7925-30 0.7950 0.7965 0.7980 0.8000

Bids 0.7850 0.7830 0.7800 0.7780-85 0.7760 0.7725 0.7700

Stock indices traded lower after trading higher on Monday on news that the Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras reshuffled his team negotiating with European and IMF creditors on Monday. Deputy Foreign Minister, Euclid Tsakalotos, was appointed co-coordinator of the team.

Friday's Eurogroup meeting ended without any results as widely expected. Discussions between the Greek government and its creditors will continue at the next Eurogroup meeting on May 11.

The head of the Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem rejected the idea of a "Plan B" for Greece if the debt talks are not successful.

The idea was raised by ministers from Slovenia, Slovakia and Lithuania at the Eurogroup's meeting on Friday.

Investors are awaiting the results of the Fed's monetary policy on Wednesday.

The preliminary U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.3% in the first quarter, missing expectations for a 0.7% gain, after a 0.6% rise in the fourth quarter. It was the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012.

The slow pace of the growth was driven by weak output in the construction, industrial, and services sectors. Construction fell 1.6% in the first quarter, production declined 0.1%, while services rose 0.5%.

On a yearly basis, the preliminary U.K. GDP increased 2.4% in the first quarter, missing forecasts of a 2.8 rise, after a 3.0% gain in the fourth quarter.

Current figures:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 7,047.17 -56.81 -0.80 %

DAX 11,946.57 -92.59 -0.77 %

CAC 40 5,212.63 -56.28 -1.07 %

The British Bankers' Association (BBA) released the number of mortgage approvals in the U.K. on Tuesday. The number of mortgage approvals increased to 38,751 in March from 37,453 in February, the highest reading since September 2014.

According to the BBA, the increase was driven by the low mortgage rates on offer.

The BBA noted that house purchase approvals were 14% lower than in 2014.

The Conference Board released its leading economic index for Australia on Tuesday. The leading economic index rose 0.5% in February, after a 0.4% gain in January.

It was the third consecutive rise.

The increase was driven by rural goods exports, money supply, share prices, gross operating surplus and the yield spread.

Five of the seven components gained in February.

The Office for National Statistics released its U.K. GDP data on Tuesday. The preliminary U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.3% in the first quarter, missing expectations for a 0.7% gain, after a 0.6% rise in the fourth quarter. It was the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012.

The slow pace of the growth was driven by weak output in the construction, industrial, and services sectors. Construction fell 1.6% in the first quarter, production declined 0.1%, while services rose 0.5%.

On a yearly basis, the preliminary U.K. GDP increased 2.4% in the first quarter, missing forecasts of a 2.8 rise, after a 3.0% gain in the fourth quarter.

EUR/USD: $1.0795-1.0800(E670mn), $1.0885(E747mn), $1.0900(E400mn)

USD/JPY: Y119.00($530mn), Y120.00($610mn)

EUR/JPY: Y130.70(E330mn)

GBP/USD: $1.5150(Gbp267M), $1.5185(Gbp235M), $1.5250(Gbp1.16bn)

EUR/GBP: Gbp0.7190 (E257mn), Gbp0.7345 (E600mn)

AUD/USD: $0.7790(A$530mn), $0.8000(A$539mn), $0.7830(A$300mn)

NZD/USD: $0.7500(NZ$565mn).

USD/CAD: C$1.2250($518mn)

Asian stocks rose, with the regional benchmark index extending a seven-year high, as investors weighed company profits.

HANG SENG 28,316.92 -116.67 -0.41%

S&P/ASX 200 5,948.5 -34.19 -0.57%

TOPIX 1,627.43 +8.36 +0.52%

SHANGHAI COMP 4,482.5 -44.90 -0.99%

The French labour ministry released its unemployment figures on Monday. The number of unemployed people in France climbed 0.4% in March from February to 3,509,800.

The number of job seekers under 25 increased 1%.

"The start of 2015 still marks a period of improvement in the trend, even if it is for the moment insufficient to ensure a regular decline in the number of jobseekers," French Labour minister François Rebsamen said in a statement.

The European Central Bank Governing Council Member and the governor of Finland's central bank Erkki Liikanen said on Sunday that if interest rates remain low for a long period, there is a risk of bubbles in financial markets.

He pointed out that central banks should set regulatory and supervisory rules to avoid risks.

Liikanen noted that there is no need for a debate on whether the ECB should reduce its asset purchases.

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

22:40 Australia RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech

23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y March -1.7% Revised From -1.8% -7.4% -9.7%

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against 10 major peers, was little changed

Fed policy makers meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday in Washington will assess the impact of a harsh winter and a stronger dollar, which may have helped reduce the pace of economic growth to the lowest in a year. The liftoff on the Fed's benchmark interest rate won't happen until September, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, after the economy stumbled in the first quarter.

Japan's currency is set to resume its descent in the coming months as the BOJ will probably add to stimulus as early as July, said Ray Attrill, global co-head of currency strategy at National Australia Bank Ltd. in Sydney. Twenty-two of 34 economists in a Bloomberg survey conducted March 31 to April 3 forecast the BOJ will expand easing by the end of October. Three estimate the central bank will make a move on April 30.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair fell to $1.0865

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.5215-35

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range Y119.00-20

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.0999 (3562)

$1.0956 (3394)

$1.0927 (1364)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0884

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0829 (1115)

$1.0788 (1640)

$1.0731 (3010)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 8 is 63283 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (6767);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 8 is 76934 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0000 (9281);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.22 versus 1.24 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 27

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.5504 (1151)

$1.5407 (834)

$1.5311 (1061)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.5243

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.5186 (971)

$1.5090 (1004)

$1.4993 (1999)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 8 is 24151 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5000 (2797);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 8 is 34557 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4700 (2866);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.43 versus 1.39 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 27

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

The company posted second-quarter earnings of $2.33 per share versus consensus of $2.16. Sales came in at $58.01 bln, also exceeding analyst forecasts of $56.1 bln. Q2 gross margins was of 40.8% versus guidance of 38.5-39.5% and 39.3% last year.

Company reported following numbers on sales:

Q2 iPhones 61.2 mln versus 57 mln estimates and 43.7 mln last year;

Q2 iPads 12.6 mln versus 14 mln estimates and 16.4 mln last year;

Q2 Macs 4.6 mln versus 4.6 mln estimates and 4.1 mln last year.

Company expect Q3 revenues of $46-48 bln versus $47.09 bln consensus.

Apple announced increased share repurchase authorization to $140 bln from $90 bln raised quarterly dividend to $0.52/share from $0.47/share.

AAPL advanced to $132.53 (+1.82%) on Monday.