Ekspertska mišljenja Lysakov Sergey na temu Sva tržišta

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09.09.2020
Renewed fears of a possible U.S. Debt selloff by China shook the market after Beijing-based Global Times tabloid newspaper under the auspices of the Chinese Communist Party published an article last Thursday quoting Xi Junyang, a professor at the Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, that was saying that “China will gradually decrease its holdings of U.S. debt to about $800 billion under normal circumstances”.  Xi Junyang has not provided any timeframe of such possible selloff. But, he added that “China might sell all of its U.S. bonds in an extreme case, like a military conflict.
02.04.2020
Since the beginning of the week the Greenback has been advancing powerfully on the positions of emerging markets' currencies. The main "victims" over the past few days include the South African Rand and the Turkish Lira. USD/ZAR is trading today in the 18.1-18.3 area, exceeding the previous historical highs of 2015. The USD/TRY has already broken its March 2020 peak of 6.6080 and so far has taken a break near 6.70 round figure, but further advancement above the absolute high of 6.
28.02.2020
The Wall Street's major indexes crashed for the sixth straight session this week. The S&P 500 stock index lost almost 500 basic points by plunging near to 15% below the level of its February 19 record close and confirmed its fastest correction in history, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices analyst Howard Silverblatt. The previous record was about a 12% fall for nine days in early 2018, but it was "only" 345 basis points at that time. The markets were spooked by a proposed slowdown in the Chinese economy then.
26.02.2020
GBP/USD traded above 1.30 on Tuesday, which was the day when a press conference where chief EU's negotiator Michel Barnier was present, took place., Today's picture is different. The Sterling retreated to lower levels under 1.2930. Yet, the British currency has generally received a certain fundamental ground from the very fact that the 27 countries of the European Union were able to agree on a common position in post-Brexit trade talks, which are expected to resume next week. "The EU is ready to open some ten negotiating tables at the same time," Mr Barnier said, quoted by Reuters.
25.02.2020
The recent drop in the world's stock indexes by four to five % is associated with the "second wave" of the spreading of the coronavirus. The "lesions" caused by the spread of the virus went far beyond the epicentre - mainland China - and are affecting the heavily populated and industrial regions of Europe, especially Italy, and regions in Korea and Japan are also being affected. The fears that the effects of the virus on the world economy, world's production and trade are triggering investment risks. Such risks are in place and they are huge.
25.02.2020
The Stoxx Europe 600 index on Monday had its biggest one-day loss since June 2016, just after it reached its fresh all-time highs last week. The French CAC40 and the Deutsche Xetra DAX 30 indexes performed in a similar manner, while the FTSE MIB in Milan was the main loser among all European indexes with a fall of5.43% on Friday's closing, due to numerous messages related to the spread of the coronavirus in Northern Italy.
21.02.2020
The Machinery Orders released by the Government of Japan this week showed a disturbing -3.5% year-to-year decrease and a truly frightening -12.5% monthly drop in December after the indicator was on a negative side during the five of the last six months, excluding one inspiring jump by +18% in November. At the same time, the foreign-trade balance for Japan in January 2020 came close to the lowest mark in five years performing at -¥1.31 trln, while year-to-year export volumes decreased by -2.6% and imports reduced at -3.5%.
20.02.2020
Gold prices on Thursday went sky high after breaking through the nine-year resistance level of $1612 toz. The last time gold futures temporarily jumped to this level was this January amid the US-Iran military tensions. At that time gold jumped due to the extreme risk of the large-scale military outbreak. Now it is different: markets are more or less quiet and have turned to a positive outlook, despite the coronavirus uncertainties. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) that gauges market risk and investors' sentiment is around 15, which is a rather moderate level.
20.02.2020
The UK labour data and inflation figures initially boosted the British Pound in the first half of the week, but all the positive effects disappeared as the EU ambassadors failed to agree on the approach to be used in the so-called "level playing field" from which mandatory conditions in post-Brexit trade talks could be created by the side of continental Europe. GBP/USD was trading around 1.2985 by Wednesday afternoon and jumped to the 1.3020 area, onto better-than-expected consumer price and retail price values.. Just a couple of hours later, it lost ground and finished the day at the 1.
19.02.2020
The global high technology Nasdaq 100 stock index completely evaporated the effect of Apple's mini-shock exposure. The futures on the Nasdaq 100 survived safely after a quick sell-off to the 9525 points level during the early Asian hours on Tuesday and posted a new all-time high of around 9650 in the afternoon. The S&P500 index, which includes more "real economy" companies, had a harder impact, but it has also recovered around ten points from the 35 points which were lost the day before. The Japanese Nikkei 225 was wounded by an extremely weak GDP report on Monday and dropped by 2.
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