CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 28-09-2011

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28.09.2011
18:55
Oil futures on the NYMEX trading results fell 3.24 dollars to 81.21 dollars per barrel
17:50
American focus: dollar is strengthening

Since the early U.S. session, the dollar rose against major currencies due to the decrease in major U.S. stock indices have reached an intraday lows, amid growing concern leaders are divided over how to handle Greece’s debt crisis.

17:28
European stocks declined

 

European stocks declined, snapping the biggest three-day rally in 16 months, amid concern that holders of Greek bonds will suffer larger losses than previously agreed upon.

FTSE 100 5,218  -76.42 -1.44%, CAC 40 2,996 -27.76 -0.92%, DAX 5,578   -50.02 -0.89% 

Man Group Plc (EMG) sank the most in almost three years as the world’s biggest hedge fund said assets under management will decrease. Cairn Energy Plc (CNE) slid 6.5 percent after abandoning an exploration well. Deutsche Boerse AG (DB1), the operator of the Frankfurt stock exchange, lost 4 percent as the European Union proposed a financial-transactions tax.

 

17:15
SNB's Jordan: "Euro/Franc floor helped reverse currency losses"

  • SNB Balance Sheet Vulnerable To FX, Gold Price Changes
  • SNB Isn't Mandated By Government To Make A Profit
  • Profit Not A Yardstick For Monetary Policy Performance

 

 

16:54
US stocks turn negative; Dow down 3 as falling commodities weigh on materials
16:23
French Fin Min: "Banks have adequate capital. Some G-20 states have room to support demand"
16:05
U.S. stocks were little changed

U.S. stocks were little changed, after erasing an earlier gain, amid concern that policy makers can’t agree on measures to contain Europe’s debt crisis.
Dow 11,258.31   +67.62       +0.60%, Nasdaq   2,550  +2.93  +0.12%, S&P 500 1,178  +2.60      +0.22%.
Alcoa Inc. and DuPont Co. dropped more than 1.5 percent, leading declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Bank of America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. lost at least 0.7 percent, as financial shares tumbled. Amazon.com Inc. rose 3.1 percent after unveiling its Kindle Fire tablet computer.

15:47
Oil fell in New York

Oil fell in New York, heading for the biggest quarterly drop since 2008, on concern that Europe’s debt crisis will linger and on increases in U.S. crude and fuel stockpiles.

Futures dropped as much as 2.1 percent as German Chancellor Angela Merkel signaled policy makers may review Greece’s second bailout after inspectors rule on whether the country is meeting the terms of its current package. U.S. crude oil supplies climbed 1.92 million barrels to 341 million last week, the Energy Department said today.

Crude oil for November delivery declined $1.16, or 1.4 percent, to $83.29 a barrel at 11:09 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices climbed 5.3 percent yesterday, the biggest gain since May 9. Now the contract traded at $83.21 a barrel.

15:43
Gold may decline

Gold may decline in New York as prices that declined for three consecutive weeks encouraged investors to hold off from making purchases.

Gold slumped 9.6 percent last week, extending its longest weekly losing streak since January, in part caused by investors selling the metal to cover losses in other markets. German Chancellor Angela Merkel signaled that Greece’s bailout may need to be renegotiated.

The panic displayed over the past few days has dissipated to a great extent, though there certainly hasn’t been a stampede back into gold. Instead, the market remains hesitant and gold continues to consolidate

Gold for December delivery fell $5.10, or 0.3 percent, to $1,647.40 an ounce by 7:57 a.m. on the Comex in New York. Prices dropped to $1,535 on Sept. 26, the lowest since July 8. 

14:30
US: EIA oil data for Sep 23 wk - сrude stocks +1.9m bbl
14:24
The DOE's weekly report on petroleum inventories will be released at 14:30 GMT

 

The American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday reported a 0.6 mmbls barrel build up in stocks, less that consensus for a 2.2 mmbls gain.
14:09
After durables data JPM estimates Q3 GDP +1.5% vs +1.0% earlier.
13:52
Options:

EUR/USD $1.3460, $1.3500, $1.3600, $1.3685, $1.3700 
USD/JPY Y76.25, Y76.30, Y76.40, Y76.65, Y77.00
GBP/USD $1.5550, $1.5600, $1.5775, $1.5920
USD/CHF Chf0.8850
AUD/USD $1.0000, $0.9900, $0.9850
AUD/JPY Y78.00

13:38
US Stocks open: Dow 11,260.32 +69.63 +0.62%, Nasdaq 2,556.70 +9.87 +0.39%, S&P 1,178.71 +3.33 +0.28%
13:20
US Stocks: S&P futures +0.3%, Nasdaq +0.2%

U.S. stock futures rose, indicating the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may extend the biggest three-day advance in a month, amid mounting speculation policy makers will contain Europe’s debt crisis.
Futures on the VIX show investors expect the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index to remain at least 50 percent above its historical average of 20.5 through May.
Stocks rallied yesterday after Greece made progress in meeting requirements for more international aid and Germany vowed continue to support for the country. Equities trimmed gains in the final hour after the Financial Times reported that some euro-area countries are demanding that private creditors take bigger writedowns on their Greek bond holdings.
European Commission President Jose Barroso today called for faster creation of a rescue fund and said he will press ahead with common bonds for the euro area, a proposal Germany opposes. Experts from the European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund will return to Athens tomorrow to review the Greek government’s budget-cut plans, the commission said.
Stock futures briefly extended gains after a report showed orders for U.S. capital goods climbed in August by the most in three months, a sign business investment continues to support the recovery. Bookings for goods like computers and communications gear, excluding military hardware and aircraft, climbed 1.1 percent, the most since May, the Commerce Department report showed. Demand for total durable goods dropped 0.1 percent, less than forecast.

12:30
US: Aug durables orders -0.1%, -0.1% ex transport, -0.1% ex defense.
12:20
European session:

Data: 

06:00 Germany Import prices (August) -0.7%
06:00 Germany Import prices (August) Y/Y 6.6%
06:00 Germany Import prices excluding oil (August) Y/Y 3.0%
08:00 Italy Business confidence (August) 94.5
12:00 Germany CPI (September) preliminary 0.1%
12:00 Germany CPI (September) preliminary Y/Y 2.6%
12:00 Germany HICP (September) preliminary Y/Y 2.8%
The euro advanced to a one-week high against the dollar after the European Commission refuted reports that euro-area nations are pushing for private Greek bondholders to accept larger writedowns.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she’s waiting for a report from a team of officials from the European Union, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund on Greece’s progress before deciding whether a second financing package for the country agreed on July 21 needs to be revised.
The shared currency strengthened versus major peers, appreciating against the dollar for a fourth day. The commission is unaware of discussions reported by the Financial Times yesterday that some euro-area nations wanted private Greek bondholders to accept bigger losses. 
The yen headed for a fifth consecutive monthly gain versus the euro as investors continued to purchase the currency as a refuge. 
EUR/USD: the pair showed high in $1.3680 area then receded back to $1,3640.

GBP/USD: the pair holds in $1.5600-$ 1,5670 range.
USD/JPY: the pair decreased in Y76.40  area.
At 12.30 GMT Aug durable goods is due. Cons. -0.4%

 


11:45
Orders:

EUR/USD 

Offers $1.3800, $1.3780, $1.3745/55, $1.3720, $1.3700/10 
Bids $1.3640, $1.3620, $1.3600/95, $1.3575/70

 

11:38
Tech on USD/JPY

Resistance 3: Y77.60 (Sep 12 high) 

Resistance 2: Y77.30 (Sep 15 high) 
Resistance 1: Y77.00 (area of Sep 16, 19 and 22 high) 
Current price: Y76.42
Support 1:Y76.30 (session high) 
Support 2:Y76.10/15 (area of Sep 21-23 low) 
Support 3:Y75.90 (area of historical low)
Comments: the pair decreased in Y76,40  area. The immediate support - Y76,30. Strong area of support - Y76.15-Y75.90. 


11:26
Tech on USD/CHF

Resistance 3: Chf0.9140 (Sep 26 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9060 (Sep 27 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9060 (area of session high and Sep 23-26 lows)
Current price: Chf0.8938
Support 1: Chf0.8920 (area of session low and Sep 27 low)
Support 2: Chf0.8880 (low of american session on Sep 21)
Support 3: Chf0.8800 (area of Sep 19-20 low)
Comments: the pair is under pressure. In focus - support on Chf0.8920.

 
11:01
US: Sep MBA Mortgage Applications 9,3%
10:49
Tech on GBP/USD

Resistance 3: $ 1.5750 (area of Sep 19-21 high)

Resistance 2: $ 1.5700 (Sep 27 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5670 (session high)
Current price: $1.5668
Support 1 : $1.5600 (session low, МА(200) for Н1)
Support 1 : $1.5520 (Sep 27 low)
Support 2 : $1.5430 (Sep 26 low)
Comments: the pair come nearer to session high. Above growth is possible to $1,5700 and further to $1,5750. 

10:33
Tech on EUR/USD

Resistance 3: $ 1.3800 (Sep 21 high)

Resistance 2: $ 1.3720 (area of Sep 19-20 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.3660 (area of resistance line from Sep 7 and Sep 27 high)
Current price: $1.3656
Support 1 : $1.3540 (session low) 
Support 2 : $1.3480 (Sep 27 low) 
Support 2 : $1.3380/90 (area of Sep 22 and 26 lows) 
Comments: the pair tests strong resistance in $1.3660 area. Above growth is possible to $1,3720. 


10:19
European stocks continue to rise: FTSE 5,304 +10.39 +0.20%, CAC 3,033 +10.11 +0.33%, DAX 5,647 +18.49 +0.33%.
09:58
Options:

EUR/USD $1.3460, $1.3500, $1.3600, $1.3685, $1.3700 
USD/JPY Y76.25, Y76.30, Y76.40, Y76.65, Y77.00
GBP/USD $1.5550, $1.5600, $1.5775, $1.5920
USD/CHF Chf0.8850
AUD/USD $1.0000, $0.9900, $0.9850
AUD/JPY Y78.00

09:24
Asian session: the euro dropped

Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m August 1.1%

The yen rose against most of its major counterparts as EU’s worsening debt crisis and speculation that a report today will show U.S. durable goods orders fell last month, bolstered demand for the safest assets.
The euro headed for its biggest monthly decline against the yen in more than a year after the Financial Times reported yesterday that some euro-area countries want private creditors to take bigger writedowns on their Greek bond holdings. The euro held a three-day advance against the dollar.
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou won parliamentary backing late yesterday for a property tax to meet deficit- reduction targets required to avoid default. Germany still privately anticipates that the Mediterranean nation will default on its debt as early as this year, Bild reported Chancellor Angela Merkel. France’s statistics office confirmed today that gross domestic product was unchanged in the second quarter from the preceding period. That’s in line with the initial estimate reported last month.

EUR/USD: on asian session the pair gain dropped.

GBP/USD: on asian session the pair hold at narrow range.

USD/JPY: on asian session the pair gain.


Focus today Troika to return to Athens to continue inspection/review. Finnish parliament vote on the amendment to the EFSF framework
agreement at 1100GMT. Later U.S. Durable Goods Orders August and U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change.

09:00
BOE Financial Policy Committee Statement:
  • FSA Should advise banks not exacerbate markt fragility
  • Some bank capital raising could worsen wider economy 
  • Banks capital build up shouldn't constrain lending
  • Unlikely banks can use earnings rise to boost capital
08:41
EU BARROSO:
  • Facing the biggest challenge in Union's history
  • World wondering if we have will to prop up euro
  • Situation is serious but we have solutions
  • Need to come together for European renewal
  • Cites anger of nationalism, states turning inwards.
08:22
Asia Pacific stocks close:

Nikkei 225 8,616 +5.70 +0.07%
Hang Seng 17,992 -138.07 -0.76%
S&P/ASX 4,040 +34.94 +0.87%
Shanghai Composite 2,392 -22.99 -0.95%

08:00
Forex: Tuesday’s review

The yen rose against major counterparts before a government report that economists say will show orders for U.S. durable goods decreased, bolstering demand for the Japanese currency as a haven.
The dollar and the yen declined as stocks rallied around the world on optimism European leaders are close to an agreement to contain the region’s debt crisis, damping demand for refuge.
The euro gained for a third day versus the dollar after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said her nation would help Greece meet the terms of its bailout agreement and Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou won support in parliament for an expansion to the region’s rescue fund.


EUR/USD: the pair rose.
GBP/USD: the pair rose and showed new weekly high at $1.5700
USD/JPY: yestherday the pair hold Y76.25-Y76.90.

Focus today Troika to return to Athens to continue inspection/review. Finnish parliament vote on the amendment to the EFSF framework
agreement at 1100GMT. Later U.S. Durable Goods Orders August and U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change.

07:42
Stocks: Tuesday’s review

Asian stocks rebounded from a 16- month low, sending the benchmark regional index to its biggest advance since April 2009, amid optimism that European leaders may agree on ways to tame the region’s credit crisis.
HSBC Holdings Plc (HSBA), Europe’s No. 1 lender by market value, gained 3.6 percent in Hong Kong after a report the European Central Bank may restart covered-bond purchases and take further measures to ease monetary conditions. Canon Inc. (7751), a camera maker that depends on Europe for about a third of its sales, surged 4.3 percent in Tokyo. BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP), the world’s biggest mining company, jumped 4.1 percent in Sydney after crude and copper prices advanced.

European stocks climbed the most in 16 months amid speculation policy makers will increase efforts to contain the region’s sovereign-debt crisis. Financial markets are looking for stronger leadership from policy makers to help Greece overcome the current debt crisis.
National benchmark indexes rallied in all 18 western European markets today. Germany’s DAX Index soared 5.3 percent, France’s CAC 40 rose 5.7 percent and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 advanced 4 percent.
BNP Paribas and Societe Generale pushed a gauge of European lenders higher, soaring 14 percent to 30.05 euros and 17 percent to 20.50 euros, respectively. Credit Agricole SA (ACA) jumped 13 percent to 5.19 euros.
Austria’s Erste Group Bank AG (EBS) surged 8.3 percent to 20.54 euros while Deutsche Bank AG (DBK), Germany’s biggest lender, increased 13 percent to 28.29 euros.
Allianz SE (ALV) and Axa SA (CS), Europe’s biggest insurers, climbed 8 percent to 70.18 euros and 9.3 percent to 9.81 euros, respectively. Delta Lloyd NV (DL) climbed 11 percent to 11.40 euros. A gauge of insurance companies in the Stoxx 600 recorded the biggest two-day gain since October 2008.
Rio Tinto Group led a rally in raw-material shares, surging 7.8 percent, as metal prices rose.
MAN SE (MAN) rose the most in two years as European Union regulators cleared Volkswagen AG (VOW)’s takeover of the truckmaker.

07:24
Tech on USD/JPY

Resistance 3: Y77.60/70 (Aug 26 high)
Resistance 2: Y77.30 (Sep 15 high)
Resistance 1: Y77.90/95 (Sep 23 high)  
The current price: Y76.54
Support 1:Y76.45 (session low)
Support 2:Y76.10/15 (area of Sep 21-23 low)
Support 3:Y75.90 (area of a historical low)

Comments: the pair bargains in range Y76.15-Y76.90.

06:59
Tech on USD/JPY

Resistance 3: Y77.60/70 (Aug 26 high)
Resistance 2: Y77.30 (Sep 15 high)
Resistance 1: Y77.90/95 (Sep 23 high)  
The current price: Y76.54
Support 1:Y76.45 (session low)
Support 2:Y76.10/15 (area of Sep 21-23 low)
Support 3:Y75.90 (area of a historical low)

Comments: the pair bargains in range Y76.15-Y76.90.

06:42
Tech on GBP/USD

Resistance 3: $ 1.5810 (Sep 14 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5745 (Sep 20 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5700 (Sep 27 high)
The current price: $1.5618
Support 1 : $1.5600 (MA (200))
Support 2 : $1.5530 (Sep 27 low)
Support 3 : $1.5490/00 (Sep 23 high)

Comments: the pair is corrected in the uptrend. In focus support MA (200) $1.5600

06:23
Tech on EUR/USD

Resistance 3: $ 1.3715 (FIBO 61.8 % $1.3361-$ 1.3935)
Resistance 2: $ 1.3670 (Sep 27 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.3610 (MA200)
The current price: $1.3554
Support 1 : $1.3540 (session low)
Support 2 : $1.3480 (Sep 27 low)
Support 3 : $1.3420 (Sep 23 low)

Comments: the pair is corrected in the uptrend. Below $1.3610.

06:00
Germany: Import prices August -0.3% m/m, +6.7% Y/Y
05:38
France GDP Quarter II 0.0% q/q, +1.6% Y/Y
05:22
Daily history for Sep 27'2011:

Change % Change Last
Nikkei 225 8,374 -186.51 -2.18%
Hang Seng 17,240 -429.16 -2.43%
S&P/ASX 3,866 -37.46 -0.96%
Shanghai Composite 2,404 -28.80 -1.18%
FTSE 100 5,089    +22.56 +0.45%
CAC 40 2,859 +49.23 +1.75%
DAX 5,346 +149.00 +2.87%
Dow 11,043.86 +272.38 +2.53%
Nasdaq 2,517 +33.46 +1.35%
S&P 500 1,162.95 +26.52 +2.33%
10 Year Yield 1.90% +0.10 --
Oil $81.18 +0.94 +1.17%
Gold $1,623.60 +28.80 +1.81%

05:03
Schedule for today, Tuesday , Sep 27'2011:

01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m August -8.0%
05:30 France GDP q/q Quarter II 0.0% 0.0%
05:30 France GDP Y/Y Quarter II +1.6% +1.6%
06:00 Germany Import prices August +0.8% -0.3%
06:00 Germany Import prices Y/Y August +7.5% +6.7%
08:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey Quarter III
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications September 0.6%
12:00 Germany CPI preliminary September 0.0% -0.1%
12:00 Germany CPI preliminary Y/Y September +2.4% +2.4%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders August +4.0% -0.4%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation August +0.7%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense August +4.8%
14:30 U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change -7.3
23:30 Japan Retail sales, y/y August +0.7% -0.6%

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