Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 16-04-2014

00:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks                 

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) March -3.5%         

01:30 Australia NAB Quarterly Business Confidence Quarter I 8         

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) March +0.1%         

05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence March 38.3 40.2     

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) March 0.0% +0.1%     

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) March -0.9% -0.7%     

08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln February 25.3 22.3     

12:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m/m March +0.8% +0.4%     

12:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y March +1.1% +1.0%     

12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, m/m March +0.7% +0.3%     

12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y March +1.2%         

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims April 300 316     

14:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey April 9.0 9.6     

The U.S. dollar rose against the single currency after data on promyshlennnomu production. The Federal Reserve said that by the end of last month, the volume of industrial production increased markedly . Last improvement - a sign of recovery sector after the winter slowdown.

According to the report , March industrial output rose a seasonally adjusted 0.7% , compared with growth of 1.2% in the previous month, which was revised upward from 0.6 %. We also add that the capacity utilization rate - the effectiveness of the sensor in various industries - rose by 0.4 percentage points - to the level of 79.2% . Economists had forecast growth of 0.5%, and reduced capacity utilization to 78.4 %.

Also some support for the dollar was data on the housing market . Housing starts continued to grow last month, but the broader trends suggest that the downturn in the market .

Ministry of Commerce announced that the seasonally adjusted number of housing starts rose in March by 2.8% - to the level of 946 thousand , which was mainly due to the increase in single-family homes sector . We also add that the figure for February was revised upwards to 920 thousand from 907 thousand Nevertheless , other figures indicated that the recovery remains uneven. Compared to last year the construction of new housing fell by 5.9%. Also note that the number of building permits - an indicator of future construction - fell by 2.4% in March from February - to a level of 990,000 , registering the fourth drop in the past five months. Many experts expect that the construction of new housing will rise to 970 thousand , and the number of permits to fall to 1.0 million

Euro rate previously increased markedly against the dollar in anticipation of the CPI data , but as the report itself is not pleased , currency movement stalled. At Statistics reported that by the end of March inflation fell to its lowest level since November 2009 , keeping pressure on the European Central Bank . According to the report , on an annual basis the March consumer price index rose by 0.5 percent , compared with an increase of 0.7 percent in February . Last result coincided with forecasts of experts. The greatest increase in prices was observed on tobacco, restaurant meals , milk, cheese and eggs , and showed the biggest decline heating oil and fuel. Core inflation rate , which ignores volatile items such as food and energy , fell to 0.7 percent from 1.0 percent in February (the lowest since December 2013). It was expected that figure fell to 0.8 percent. Note that inflation is below 1 percent for six consecutive months , increasing speculation that the ECB will need to take further measures . The ECB said the bank use unconventional measures to ensure that inflation does not remain at a low level for too long.

Pound rose sharply against the U.S. currency , which helped optimistic data on the labor market in Britain. The Office for National Statistics said that for three months ( to February), the unemployment rate fell to a five-year low , and was 6.9 percent, compared with 7.2 percent in the three months to January. Experts expect that this figure will remain unchanged. We also add that the overall wage growth accelerated to 1.7 percent in the three months to February , compared with 1.4 percent in the previous three-month period . It was the first time since April 2010, when the growth rate of wages keep pace with the consumer price index . Economists , however, expect to see growth in this index by 1.8 percent . Furthermore, it became known that the number of people claiming unemployment benefits fell in March, slightly more than expected - to 30 400 , and totaled 1.142 million people ( the lowest level since November 2008 ) . The figure for February was revised up to 37,000 from 34,600 . Experts predicted that in March the number of applications dropped by 30 200 people.

The yen fell against the dollar , reaching a minimum in this week , which was associated with the statements of the representatives of the Japanese authorities and the sharp rise in the index Nikkei. Today Nikkei index rose by 3% due to improving risk sentiment in Asia. Inverse relationship between the dynamics of the index and the yen led to a breakthrough pair USD / JPY level Y102.00. Meanwhile, adding that today the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda said in Parliament : the Central Bank will make every possible effort to achieve a 2% inflation target . He also tried to ease fears that the recent volatility in the Japanese stock market undermines economic growth in the country. At the same time he rejected criticism of the fact that mitigation measures of central bank policy is the main cause of volatility indices.

The Canadian dollar rose and then fell against the U.S. dollar against the decision and accompanying statement of the Bank of Canada. The Bank of Canada on Wednesday reiterated its concerns about low inflation , leaving the key overnight rate at 1% , and lowered the forecast for GDP growth in 2014 due to a slowdown in exports and investment companies.

Although the rise in energy prices and reduced the Canadian dollar will push overall inflation to the target level of 2% by early next year , underutilization of capacity in the economy and fierce competition in the retail sector will keep base prices below the target level of 2% prior to 2016. This is stated in a statement issued Wednesday by the Bank of Canada interest rates, which emphasizes its neutral position. Risks associated with the imbalances of the housing sector - a strong housing market and record household debt - remain elevated , said the Bank of Canada .

" Because core inflation is expected to remain for some time below the target level , the downside risks to inflation remain important ," - said the Bank of Canada , repeating line that appears in the March statement. The balance of risks " is still in the zone for which the current policy stance is appropriate." "Timing and direction of the next rate change will depend on how the new data will affect the balance of risks ," - said in a statement the central bank.

USD/JPY Y102.00, Y102.30, Y102.50, Y103.15, Y103.25, Y103.30, Y103.50

EUR/JPY Y140.00, Y141.00, Y141.10, Y141.15, Y141.30, Y143.00

EUR/USD $1.3710, $1.3515-25, $1.3750, $1.3770, $1.3850, $1.3860, $1.3900, $1.3910, $1.3925

GBP/USD $1.6600, $1.6650, $1.6685, $1.6700, $1.6715

USD/CHF Chf0.8920/25, Chf0.9000

EUR/CHF Chf1.2090, Chf1.2105, Chf1.2110

AUD/USD $0.9300, $0.9375, $0.9400, $0.9485

USD/CAD C$1.1065, C$1.1100, C$1.1145, C$1.1165, C$1.1250

Data

00:00 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota

00:30 Australia Leading Index February -0.1% 0.0%

02:00 China Retail Sales y/y March +11.8% +11.9% +12.2%

02:00 China Fixed Asset Investment March +17.9% +18.1% +17.6%

02:00 China Industrial Production y/y March +8.6% +9.1% +8.8%

02:00 China GDP y/y Quarter I +7.7% +7.4% +7.4%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) February -2.3% -2.3% -2.3%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) February +6.9% +6.9% +7.0%

06:15 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y February +1.3% +1.7% +1.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y February +1.4% +1.8% +1.7%

08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count March -34.6 -30.2 -30.4

08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate March 3.5% 3.4%

08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate February 7.2% 7.2% 6.9%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI March +0.3% +1.0% +0.9%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) March +0.7% +0.5% +0.5%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y March +1.0% +0.8% +0.7%

09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) April 19.0 7.0

The euro exchange rate against the dollar has risen considerably in anticipation of the CPI data , but as the report itself is not pleased , currency movement stalled. At Statistics reported that by the end of March inflation fell to its lowest level since November 2009 , keeping pressure on the European Central Bank . According to the report , on an annual basis the March consumer price index rose by 0.5 percent , compared with an increase of 0.7 percent in February . Last result coincided with forecasts of experts. The greatest increase in prices was observed on tobacco, restaurant meals , milk, cheese and eggs , and showed the biggest decline heating oil and fuel. Core inflation rate , which ignores volatile items such as food and energy , fell to 0.7 percent from 1.0 percent in February (the lowest since December 2013). It was expected that figure fell to 0.8 percent. Note that inflation is below 1 percent for six consecutive months , increasing speculation that the ECB will need to take further measures . The ECB said the bank use unconventional measures to ensure that inflation does not remain at a low level for too long.

Pound rose sharply against the U.S. currency , which helped optimistic data on the labor market in Britain. The Office for National Statistics said that for three months ( to February), the unemployment rate fell to a five-year low , and was 6.9 percent, compared with 7.2 percent in the three months to January. Experts expect that this figure will remain unchanged. We also add that the overall wage growth accelerated to 1.7 percent in the three months to February , compared with 1.4 percent in the previous three-month period . It was the first time since April 2010, when the growth rate of wages keep pace with the consumer price index . Economists , however, expect to see growth in this index by 1.8 percent . Furthermore, it became known that the number of people claiming unemployment benefits fell in March, slightly more than expected - to 30 400 , and totaled 1.142 million people ( the lowest level since November 2008 ) . The figure for February was revised up to 37,000 from 34,600 . Experts predicted that in March the number of applications dropped by 30 200 people.

The yen fell against the dollar , reaching a minimum in this week , which was associated with the statements of the representatives of the Japanese authorities and the sharp rise in the index Nikkei. Today Nikkei index rose by 3% due to improving risk sentiment in Asia. Inverse relationship between the dynamics of the index and the yen led to a breakthrough pair USD / JPY level Y102.00. Meanwhile, adding that today the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda said in Parliament : the Central Bank will make every possible effort to achieve a 2% inflation target . He also tried to ease fears that the recent volatility in the Japanese stock market undermines economic growth in the country. At the same time he rejected criticism of the fact that mitigation measures of central bank policy is the main cause of volatility indices.

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3850

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6815

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y102.38

At 12:30 GMT , Canada declares volume of transactions with foreign securities in February and the volume of building permits issued in March . Also this time, the U.S. will release data on the number of Housing Starts in March . At 13:15 GMT the United States will present capacity utilization and will report on changes in the volume of industrial production in March . At 14:00 GMT held publication of the report of the Bank of Canada's monetary policy for the 2nd quarter and the decision will be announced on the Bank of Canada on the basic interest rate. Also in this time will cover the Bank of Canada statement . 14:30 GMT the U.S. will release data on crude oil inventories from the Energy Department . At 15:15 GMT the press conference of the Bank of Canada. At 18:00 GMT will be published Economic Outlook by Region Fed " Beige Book ."

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3970, $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3905, $1.3850/60

Bids $1.3780/90, $1.3735, $1.3700, $1.3672

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6840/50, $1.6820/25, $1.6785

Bids $1.6700, $1.6650/60, $1.6640, $1.6600, $1.6550

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9500, $0.9480, $0.9435/40, $0.9425

Bids $0.9330/35, $0.9310/00, $0.9250, $0.9200/05

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.50, Y142.15/20, Y142.00, Y141,90, Y141.60

Bids Y140.40, Y140.25/20, Y140.00/05

USD/JPY

Offers Y104.00/10, Y103.40, Y103.00, Y102.50

Bids Y101.70, Y101.20/30, Y101.00, Y100.75, Y100.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8390, stg0.8330/35, stg0.8300/10

Bids stg0.8230, stg0.8200, stg0.8190-80

USD/JPY Y102.00, Y102.30, Y102.50, Y103.15, Y103.25, Y103.30, Y103.50

EUR/JPY Y140.00, Y141.00, Y141.10, Y141.15, Y141.30, Y143.00

EUR/USD $1.3710, $1.3515-25, $1.3750, $1.3770, $1.3850, $1.3860, $1.3900, $1.3910, $1.3925

GBP/USD $1.6600, $1.6650, $1.6685, $1.6700, $1.6715

USD/CHF Chf0.8920/25, Chf0.9000

EUR/CHF Chf1.2090, Chf1.2105, Chf1.2110

AUD/USD $0.9300, $0.9375, $0.9400, $0.9485

USD/CAD C$1.1065, C$1.1100, C$1.1145, C$1.1165, C$1.1250

00:00 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota

00:30 Australia Leading Index February -0.1% 0,0%

02:00 China Retail Sales y/y March +11.8% +11.9% +12.2%

02:00 China Fixed Asset Investment March +17.9% +18.1% +17.6%

02:00 China Industrial Production y/y March +8.6% +9.1% +8.8%

02:00 China GDP y/y Quarter I +7.7% +7.4% +7.4%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) February -2.3% -2.3% -2.3%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) February +6.9% +6.9% +7.0%

The dollar held a gain against most of its 16 major counterparts as investors sought haven assets amid tension in Ukraine and before Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks today. Yellen is scheduled to address the Economic Club of New York today, followed by a Q&A session. The Fed chief said in March that the central bank may start to increase borrowing costs “around six months” after concluding its asset-buying program, which economists forecast will end in October.

The greenback’s appeal as the world’s reserve currency was enhanced as deadly clashes in Ukraine prompted the U.S. and European Union to consider adding to sanctions against Russia. Ukraine unleashed an offensive to dislodge militants from cities in the eastern Donetsk region as authorities in the capital Kiev said Russian special forces were identified among the anti-government groups.

Australia’s dollar erased an earlier loss after a report showed growth was stronger than forecast in China, the South Pacific nation’s biggest trading partner.

The yen fell as Japanese stocks rose the most in almost two months. Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda told parliament today the central bank will make the utmost effort to achieve 2 percent inflation. He said it was not appropriate to discuss an exit from stimulus at such an early stage, and doing so could invite market confusion.

New Zealand’s dollar declined against all of its 16 major peers after government data showed consumer prices rose 1.5 percent on an annual basis in the first three months of the year, moderating from a 1.6 percent gain in the previous quarter. The median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg poll was for a 1.7 percent increase.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3805-20

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6720-35

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y102.25

UK employment data at 0830GMT with market showing expectation for numbers on the stronger side (especially earnings data). (Corrects Yellen speech from 1215GMT to 1615GMT/1215ET) The first of several Fed speakers is due at 1230GMT, when Federal Reserve Governor Jeremy Stein takes part in a panel discussion on quantitative easing, at the ongoing Atlanta Fed Conference in Stone Mountain, Georgia. The main event of the day may be at 1615GMT, when Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen delivers a speech to the Economic Club of New York. Also, at 1725GMT, Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher delivers a speech on the US and regional economic outlook in Austin, Texas.