Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 17-04-2014

EUR/USD $1,3812 -0,02%

GBP/USD $1,6792 -0,03%

USD/CHF Chf0,8828 +0,15%

USD/JPY Y102,39 +0,17%

EUR/JPY Y141,44 +0,16%

GBP/JPY Y171,93 +0,15%

AUD/USD $0,9327 -0,44%

NZD/USD $0,8571 -0,65%

00:00 Australia Bank holiday                 

00:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday                 

00:00 Canada Bank holiday                 

00:00 France Bank holiday                 

00:00 Germany Bank Holiday                 

00:00 New Zealand     Bank holiday                 

00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday                 

The dollar rose against the single currency after data on the U.S. labor market . The number of Americans apply for unemployment benefits rose slightly last week , but remained near seven-year low , indicating that the improvement of the labor market .

According to the Labor Department , the seasonally adjusted number of initial claims for unemployment benefits rose for the week ended April 12 , 2 thousand - to the level of 304 thousand average number of complaints over the past four weeks , meanwhile, dropped to 312,000 , reaching its lowest level since October 2007 . Economists had expected initial claims to rise to 316 thousand from 300 thousand which initially reported last week. Many experts believe that the value of this ratio below 400 000 - a sign of a stable job growth and improvement in the labor market .

In addition, manufacturers in the Mid- Atlantic region of the United States reported a considerable improvement of the business environment in this month. This is evidenced by the report of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia , presented on Thursday . According to the released data, the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector in the region rose to 16.6 in April after recovering to 9.0 in March with unexpectedly low -6.3 in February. April's value - the highest since September 2013 .

The yen rose against the dollar earlier , due to the increase in the Bank of Japan's evaluation of one of the nine regional economies in the nation . It convinces the market that central bankers are still predicting a modest economic recovery , despite the problems due to the increased tax burden on consumers. Investors take positions before further steps to mitigate the monetary policy , while the Bank of Japan is waiting for signs of weakening domestic consumption after the recent increase in the sales tax . The rating was raised in Hokuriku region on the northern part of Honshu Island . Members of the Bank of Japan before its meeting on April 30 want to see the report on GDP growth and prices.

Meanwhile, we add that , despite the weakening of the head of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda expectations of additional measures easing monetary policy in the near future , some of the supporters of the aggressive actions of the central bank said that need a lot of new measures. For example , a former board member of the Bank of Japan, Nobuyuki Nakahara , said that the Bank of Japan should consider holding several successive rounds of easing , like the U.S. Federal Reserve , if it fails to achieve the inflation target of 2%. Recall that at the moment Nakahara is one of the closest advisers of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe .

The Canadian dollar strengthened against the dollar, which was associated with the publication of an optimistic report on inflation. Statistics Canada reported that the outcome of last month's producer price index rose by 1.5 % per annum , compared to 1.1 % in February and expert forecasts at 1.0 %. But , despite this marked improvement in the inflation rate for 23 consecutive months is below the target level of the Bank of Canada's 2%. Recall that the last time inflation was 2.0% in April 2012 .

As for the core CPI , which excludes vollatilnye components , it rose in March by 1.3 % per annum , compared to 1.2 % in February and 1.4 % in January.

It should be noted that yesterday the Bank of Canada has provided its report on monetary policy , in which the predicted increase in inflation on a quarterly basis . It is expected that the overall inflation will be at 1.3 % in Q1 , and then accelerate to 1.6 %, 1.8 % and 1.9 % in the next three quarters. Core inflation is forecast to be at 1.2 % in the first and second quarter , and then accelerate to 1.4 % in Q3 and 1.6 % in Q4 .

USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.20, Y101.25, Y101.35, Y101.40, Y101.50, Y101.60, Y101.70, Y102.00, Y102.30, Y102.45, Y102.50, Y102.80, Y103.25, Y103.50

EUR/USD $1.3760, $1.3765, $1.3800, $1.3850-65

USD/CHF Chf0.8785, Chf0.9000

AUD/USD $0.9250, $0.9450

AUD/NZD NZ$1.0850

USD/CAD C$1.0900, C$1.0920, C$1.0975, C$1.0980, C$1.0985, C$1.1000, C$1.1010, C$1.1025, C$1.1050, C$1.1055, C$1.1060

Data

00:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) March -3.5% -2.8%

01:30 Australia NAB Quarterly Business Confidence Quarter I 8 6

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) March +0.1% -0.3%

05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence March 38.3 40.2 37.5

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) March 0.0% +0.1% -0.3%

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) March -0.9% -0.7% -0.9%

The euro exchange rate has risen considerably against the dollar on the statements of the Fed and the current data in Germany. Note that yesterday , Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen stressed : Central Bank will retain maximum flexibility in monetary policy and depart from graphs to increase the base interest rate . " We must be prepared for what is happening in the economy and to respond to what might happen, and our vision for the future should not become an obsession ," - she said. Most analysts believe that the recent comments Yellen - this is another attempt to move away from comments on March 19 debut press conference as chairman of the Federal Reserve System , when she said that the key interest rate of the Central Bank could grow approximately six months after the termination of bond purchases .

As for the data , they showed that the March producer price index fell by 0.9 percent ( yoy ) , following a similar change in the previous month . Economists had expected a decline of this indicator only 0.7 percent . Add that producer prices declined every month since last August , and the largest decline was seen in January , when they fell 1.1 percent . Excluding energy , producer prices fell in March by 0.3 percent year on year . Meanwhile, add that on a monthly basis the producer price index fell in March by 0.3 percent after zero change in the previous month and a decline of 0.1 percent in January . Economists forecast that this figure will grow by 0.1 percent.

The pound fell sharply against the dollar , returning to the levels of the opening of the current session . Initially, growth was due to renewed expectations of imminent rate hike by the Bank of England. Recent improvements in the state of the British labor market triggered a surge of expectations, which , in turn , led to rally pound. However, after reaching a pair of four-year high , many investors began to fix their profits , which caused such a fall . We also add that the attention of the market gradually switched to the publication of minutes of meeting of the Bank of England , declared the following week.

Yen traded with a slight advantage against the dollar , which is associated with an increase in the Bank of Japan's evaluation of one of the nine regional economies in the nation . It convinces the market that central bankers are still predicting a modest economic recovery , despite the problems due to the increased tax burden on consumers. Investors take positions before further steps to mitigate the monetary policy , while the Bank of Japan is waiting for signs of weakening domestic consumption after the recent increase in the sales tax . The rating was raised in Hokuriku region on the northern part of Honshu Island . Members of the Bank of Japan before its meeting on April 30 want to see the report on GDP growth and prices.

Meanwhile, we add that , despite the weakening of the head of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda expectations of additional measures easing monetary policy in the near future , some of the supporters of the aggressive actions of the central bank said that need a lot of new measures. For example , a former board member of the Bank of Japan, Nobuyuki Nakahara , said that the Bank of Japan should consider holding several successive rounds of easing , like the U.S. Federal Reserve , if it fails to achieve the inflation target of 2%. Recall that at the moment Nakahara is one of the closest advisers of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe .

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3864

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6842 , but then fell to $ 1.6805

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y102.19

At 12:30 GMT will be released in Canada CPI and core CPI from the Bank of Canada in March . At 14:00 GMT the United States will present the Fed manufacturing index for April - Philadelphia . At 23:50 GMT , Japan will release the index of activity in the service sector in February.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3970, $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3905, $1.3860

Bids $1.3780/90, $1.3735, $1.3700, $1.3670/80

GBP/USD

Offers $1.7000. $1.6970, $1.6900, $1.6840/50

Bids $1.6730/40, $1.6700, $1.6650/60, $1.6640, $1.6600

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9500, $0.9480, $0.9435/40, $0.9425, $0.9390/00

Bids $0.9330/35, $0.9310/00, $0.9250, $0.9200/05

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.50, Y142.15/20, Y142.00, Y141,90, Y141.75/80

Bids Y140.40, Y140.25/20, Y140.00/05

USD/JPY

Offers Y104.00/10, Y103.40, Y103.00, Y102.50

Bids Y101.70, Y101.20/30, Y101.00, Y100.75, Y100.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8330/35, stg0.8300/10, stg0.8280, stg0.8260/65

Bids stg0.8200, stg0.8180/90, stg0.8160, stg0.8100

USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.20, Y101.25, Y101.35, Y101.40, Y101.50, Y101.60, Y101.70, Y102.00, Y102.30, Y102.45, Y102.50, Y102.80, Y103.25, Y103.50

EUR/USD $1.3760, $1.3765, $1.3800, $1.3850-65

USD/CHF Chf0.8785, Chf0.9000

AUD/USD $0.9250, $0.9450

AUD/NZD NZ$1.0850

USD/CAD C$1.0900, C$1.0920, C$1.0975, C$1.0980, C$1.0985, C$1.1000, C$1.1010, C$1.1025, C$1.1050, C$1.1055, C$1.1060

00:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) March -3.5% -2.8%

01:30 Australia NAB Quarterly Business Confidence Quarter I 8 6

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) March +0.1% -0.3%

The dollar fell against most of its 16 major peers after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said the central bank has a “continuing commitment” to support the economic recovery. “The larger the shortfall of employment or inflation from their respective objectives, and the slower the projected progress toward those objectives, the longer the current target range for the federal funds rate is likely to be maintained,” Yellen told the Economic Club of New York yesterday. The employment shortfall “remains significant, and in our baseline outlook, it will take more than two years to close,” she said.

The pound rose to the highest in more than four years after data yesterday showed the U.K unemployment rate fell to the lowest since 2009, adding to signs the economy is gaining traction. The jobless rate, as measured by International Labour Organization methods, dropped to 6.9 percent in the three months through February from 7.2 percent in the quarter through January, the Office for National Statistics said yesterday. The median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of economists was a decline to 7.1 percent.

The yen strengthened, snapping a four-day decline versus its U.S. peer before Japan’s Cabinet Office releases its monthly economic report.

Financial markets in the U.S., U.K., Germany, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia and New Zealand are among those that will be closed for a holiday tomorrow.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.3840

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose $ 1.6835

USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair fell to Y101.85

A light UK data calendar as we head into the Easter weekend. US data starts at 1230GMT with the weekly Jobless Claims where claims are expected rise to 315,000 after falling to the lowest level in almost seven years in the previous week. At 1400GMT, the Philadelphia Fed index is expected to rise to a reading of 10.0 in April after rebounding in March. This is followed by the weekly EIA Natural Gas Storage data at 1430GMT. However, late US data still sees the 2030GMT release of M2 Money Supply. European data starts at 0600GMT with Germany PPI as well as the EMU ACEA car registrations data for March. EMU Current Account data is due at 0800GMT, while at 1100GMT, ECB Executive Board member Yves Mersch is due to speak, in Tirana, Albania.