Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 14-04-2014

01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m March -0.4% +0.3%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y March -0.8% -0.9%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m March +0.6% +0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y March +2.7% +2.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) March -0.4% -0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) March -5.7% -6.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) March 0.0% +0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) March +0.5% +0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m March +0.5% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y March +1.7% +1.6%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y March +1.7% +1.6%

09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment April 61.5 60.7

09:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. February

09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment April 46.6 46.3

12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) February +1.5% +1.1%

12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index April 5.61 8.2

12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m March +0.1% +0.1%

12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y March +1.1% +1.2%

12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m March +0.1% +0.1%

12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y March +1.6% +1.6%

12:45 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks

13:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows February 83.0

13:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows February 7.3 14.6

14:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index April 47 50

19:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Plosser Speaks

20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories April +7.1

22:45 New Zealand CPI, q/q Quarter I +0.1% +0.5%

The euro fell against the dollar after better-than- expected data on U.S. retail sales . Data from the Ministry of Commerce showed that consumer spending in the U.S. has improved markedly in March , which is an early sign of the acceleration of economic growth in the spring of this year.

According to the report , the seasonally adjusted March retail sales rose by 1.1 % - to $ 433.9 billion last increase was the highest since September 2012 , and the total volume exceeded levels seen in November. I also add that many experts predicted increased sales by 0.8%. The February figure sales was revised upward to 0.7 % from 0.3 %. Excluding autos, sales rose 0.7 % in March , compared with forecasts of 0.5 %.

Retail sales , the economy as a whole, improved over much of the past year and reached a peak in November. Sales began to weaken in December and January , but now seems to start to recover. Note that in March, retail spending rose by a substantial 3.8% compared to the same period last year. Consumer spending accounts for more than two -thirds of the U.S. economy. Thus, expectations of stronger economic growth this year, largely helped increase spending buyers. Economists expect gross domestic product will grow by 3.0 % in the second quarter, compared with the predicted 1.5 % during the first three months of the year .

Earlier decline in the euro helped doves comments of the ECB. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said that a further increase in the exchange rate will cause a further easing of monetary policy by the ECB. "Strengthening the exchange rate requires further monetary stimulus . This is an important aspect for our price stability " - Draghi said at a press conference during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund . In addition , he stressed that in recent weeks, the euro has a strong upward pressure on inflation , and said that the course is an increasingly important factor in assessing price trends by the ECB .

Little influenced by the data for the euro area . In Statistical Office , Eurostat reported that industrial production in the euro area rose by 0.2 percent compared with the same value in January ( revised from -0.2 percent). Experts predicted that this figure will increase by 0.3 percent. Compared with the same period last year , the volume of industrial production increased by 1.7 percent in February , and confirmed the expectations of analysts . Meanwhile, adding that growth in January was revised up to 1.6 percent from 2.1 percent.

Pound fell against the dollar , reaching minimum values ​​for nearly a week . Impact on the dynamics of data on Britain. As it became known , house prices in Britain have risen markedly in April , reaching a new record at this level for the second month , which was due to lack of supply of objects for sale and availability of mortgage credit. Experts point out that this combination will be for some time to provide upward pressure on prices. This was stated in the report of the real estate agency Rightmove. According to the index house prices rose in April by 2.6% , against the background of what the average price increased by 6,632 pounds - up to 262,594 pounds. This is 7.3 percent higher than in April 2013. We also add that the annual price growth was the highest since October 2007 . Recall that in March, prices rose 1.6 % on a monthly basis and by 6.8 % per annum. Studies have also shown that the average price of real estate in London reached a new record of 572,348 pounds, 19,818 pounds higher than in March.

USD/JPY Y100.50, Y101.00, Y101.75, Y102.00, Y102.25, Y102.40, Y102.75, Y103.10, Y103.20, Y103.50

EUR/USD $1.3810, $1.3840, $1.3850, $1.3990

GBP/USD $1.6700

AUD/USD $0.9245, $0.9380

USD/CAD Cad1.1000, Cad1.1015, Cad1.1045/50, Cad1.1150

EUR/GBP stg.0.8300

NZD/USD NZ$0.8700

Data

09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) February 0.0% +0.3% +0.2%

09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) February +1.6% +1.7% +1.7%

The euro fell against the dollar , helped by dovish comments from the ECB. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said that a further increase in the exchange rate will cause a further easing of monetary policy by the ECB. "Strengthening the exchange rate requires further monetary stimulus . This is an important aspect for our price stability " - Draghi said at a press conference during the meetings of the International Monetary Fund . In addition , he stressed that in recent weeks, the euro has a strong upward pressure on inflation , and said that the course is an increasingly important factor in assessing price trends by the ECB .

Little influenced by the data for the euro area . In Statistical Office , Eurostat reported that industrial production in the euro area rose by 0.2 percent compared with the same value in January ( revised from -0.2 percent). Experts predicted that this figure will increase by 0.3 percent. Compared with the same period last year , the volume of industrial production increased by 1.7 percent in February , and confirmed the expectations of analysts . Meanwhile, adding that growth in January was revised up to 1.6 percent from 2.1 percent.

The dollar also strengthened in anticipation of today's publication of a report on retail sales in the United States . According to the median forecast of economists rate last month may rise polutoraletnemu maximum and grow , according to the Ministry of Commerce, by 0.9 % against 0.3% growth in February.

Pound fell slightly against the dollar , reaching minimum values ​​for nearly a week . Impact on the dynamics of data on Britain. As it became known , house prices in Britain have risen markedly in April , reaching a new record at this level for the second month , which was due to lack of supply of objects for sale and availability of mortgage credit. Experts point out that this combination will be for some time to provide upward pressure on prices. This was stated in the report of the real estate agency Rightmove. According to the index house prices rose in April by 2.6% , against the background of what the average price increased by 6,632 pounds - up to 262,594 pounds. This is 7.3 percent higher than in April 2013. We also add that the annual price growth was the highest since October 2007 . Recall that in March, prices rose 1.6 % on a monthly basis and by 6.8 % per annum. Studies have also shown that the average price of real estate in London reached a new record of 572,348 pounds, 19,818 pounds higher than in March.

EUR / USD: during the European session after significant fluctuations fell to $ 1.3815

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.6706

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair dropped to Y101.40, but then rose to Y101.80

At 12:30 GMT the United States to declare changes in retail sales for March, and 14:00 GMT - the change of volume of stocks in commercial warehouses for February. At 23:01 GMT UK release BRC Retail Sales Monitor for March.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.4000, $1.3970, $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3905

Bids $1.3835, $1.3815-00, $1.3780/90, $1.3735

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6880, $1.6840/50, $1.6820/25, $1.6785

Bids $1.6780, $1.6730/25, $1.6710/00, $1.6685/80, $1.6660/50

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9500, $0.9480, $0.9435/40, $0.9425

Bids $0.9350/60, $0.9335, $0.9310/00, $0.9250

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.50, Y142.15/20, Y142.00, Y141.60

Bids Y140.40, Y140.25/20, Y140.00/05

USD/JPY

Offers Y103.00, Y102.50, Y102.20/25, Y102.00

Bids Y101.20/30, Y101.00, Y100.75, Y100.50,

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8390, stg0.8330/35, stg0.8300/10

Bids stg0.8230, stg0.8200, stg0.8190-80

USD/JPY Y100.50, Y101.00, Y101.75, Y102.00, Y102.25, Y102.40, Y102.75, Y103.10, Y103.20, Y103.50

EUR/USD $1.3810, $1.3840, $1.3850, $1.3990

GBP/USD $1.6700

AUD/USD $0.9245, $0.9380

USD/CAD Cad1.1000, Cad1.1015, Cad1.1045/50, Cad1.1150

EUR/GBP stg.0.8300

NZD/USD NZ$0.8700

The euro weakened versus most of its 16 major peers after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said its strength “requires further monetary stimulus.” “I’ve always said that the exchange rate is not a policy target, but it’s important for price stability and growth,” Draghi said in Washington on April 12. “And now, what has happened over the last few months, it’s become more and more important for price stability.”

The shared currency snapped a gain versus the greenback from last week that was the most in six months as Draghi’s rhetoric about the euro’s rise was echoed by other European policy makers in weekend meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, boosting speculation they will consider adding to measures to support growth and spur inflation. 

The dollar strengthened against most peers before a report that may show retail sales climbed last month by the most in 1 1/2 years. In the U.S., retail sales accelerated in March to the highest pace since September 2012, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News poll before today’s Commerce Department data. Purchases probably rose 0.9 percent from February, when they advanced 0.3 percent, the survey shows. Consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of the U.S. economy.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks at two events this week, starting with the opening remarks via videoconference to the 2014 Financial Markets Conference in Stone Mountain, Georgia tomorrow. She will attend the Economic Club of New York on April 16.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.3840 

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6615-30 

USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y101.40-60

A new week kicks off in the Asia-Pacific this morning with barely any major economic data releases scheduled ahead. It's also a short week in many of the region's trading centers due to the Good Friday holiday. There is one key event due today, which is the Monetary Authority of Singapore's semi-annual policy review statement due at 0800 local time (0000 GMT). That coincides with the release of Q1 advance GDP data from the MTI. Most economists expect the MAS to keep its policy stance unchanged, allowing a small depreciation of the Singapore dollar to continue.