Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 15-04-2014

00:00 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota                 

00:30 Australia Leading Index February -0.1%         

02:00 China Retail Sales y/y March +11.8% +11.9%     

02:00 China Fixed Asset Investment March +17.9% +18.1%     

02:00 China Industrial Production y/y March +8.6% +9.1%     

02:00 China GDP y/y Quarter I +7.7% +7.4%     

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) February -2.3% -2.3%     

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) February +6.9% +6.9%     

06:15 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks                 

08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y February +1.3% +1.7%     

08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y February +1.4% +1.8%     

08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count March -34.6 -30.2     

08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate March 3.5%         

08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate February 7.2% 7.2%     

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI March +0.3% +1.0%     

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) March +0.7% +0.5%     

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y March +1.0% +0.8%     

09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) April 19.0         

12:00 U.S. FOMC Member Jeremy Stein Speaks                 

12:30 Canada Foreign Securities Purchases February 1.09 4.57     

12:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln March 1.018 1.000     

12:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln March 0.907 0.970     

13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) March +0.6% +0.5%     

13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization     March 78.8% 78.4%     

14:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate 1.00% 1.00%     

14:00 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report                 

14:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement                 

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories April +4.0         

15:15 Canada BOC Press Conference                 

16:15 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks                 

17:25 U.S. FOMC Member Richard Fisher Speaks                 

The euro rose against the dollar after U.S. data on consumer price inflation . A key measure of inflation rose ">Report from the Labor Department showed that the March consumer price index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.2 % compared with 0.1 % the previous month . Many experts predicted an increase in this index is only 0.1 %.

Core CPI , which excludes food and energy , also rose 0.2 % after increasing 0.1 % in February. Expected to grow by 0.1%. Compared to last year consumer price inflation accelerated in March to 1.5% from 1.1 % in February, although it remained below the 2 per cent target Fed .

The data also showed that the drop in energy prices helped to keep inflation pressures subdued in March. Gasoline prices decreased by 1.7 %, which is likely a result of the burst of domestic production of oil and increasing demand . Food prices , on the other hand, rose by 0.4 %, as the drought in some areas of the U.S. and Brazil raised the cost of agricultural products.

The euro exchange rate against the dollar earlier fell against the background of weak data on Germany. Note that confidence among German investors fell again in April , extending this streak to four consecutive months , highlighting risks to recovery in Europe's largest economy . This was stated in the report of the Centre for European Economic Research ZEW.

According to the data , the April index of sentiment in the business environment , which is designed to assess the development of the economic situation in the next six months , declined to 43.2 from 46.6 in March. Economists had forecast a decline to 46.3 . Recall that in December 2013 reached a seven-year maximum sensor - at the level of 62 points . Current situation index rose to 59.5 , its highest level since July 2011 , compared with 51.3 in March. Economists predicted the figure at 51.5 .

The data also showed that the index of economic sentiment in the euro zone fell to 61.2 from 61.5 in March, while the current conditions index rose 6.2 points to -30.5 .

Pound responded decline and then a sharp rise against the dollar on inflation data in Britain. As it became known , at the end of March the British inflation fell to its lowest level in more than four years , retreating further from the target goal of the Bank of England. It became known from the report , which was submitted to the Office for National Statistics.

According to the data , consumer prices rose in March by 1.6 percent per annum , and confirmed the experts' forecasts , but were close to the lowest level since October 2009 . Recall that in February, prices rose 1.7 percent in February. In the ONS said that the greatest pressure on the annual rate of consumer price inflation was the reduction in fuel prices, clothing and furniture . In addition, it was announced that the base rate of inflation , which excludes prices of energy , food, alcohol and tobacco increased by 1.6 percent ( four-year minimum). The data also showed that inflation in selling prices increased by 0.5 percent ( the lowest since October 2009 ), which was slightly higher than economists' forecasts - at the level of 0.3 percent.

USD/JPY Y100.50, Y100.95, Y101.00, Y102.00, Y102.25, Y102.40, Y102.75, Y103.50, Y103.75

EUR/USD $1.3750, $1.3800, $1.3855, $1.3900, $1.3960

GBP/USD $1.6500, $1.6665/75, $1.6950

AUD/USD $0.9210, $0.9250, $0.9400

USD/CAD Cad1.0945/55, Cad1.0970/75, Cad1.1015, Cad1.1025, Cad1.1115

USD/CHF Chf0.8800, Chf0.9000, Chf0.9050

AUD/JPY Y95.00, Y96.00

EUR/JPY Y141.60, Y142.00/10, Y142.75

GBP/JPY Y168.50

Data

01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m March -0.4% +0.3% 0.0%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y March -0.8% -0.9% -0.7%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m March +0.6% +0.3% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y March +2.7% +2.5% +2.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) March -0.4% -0.1% -0.6%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) March -5.7% -6.1% -6.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) March 0.0% +0.1% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) March +0.5% +0.3% +0.5%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m March +0.5% +0.2% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y March +1.7% +1.6% +1.6%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y March +1.7% +1.6% +1.6%

09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment April 61.5 60.7 61.2

09:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. February +15.0

09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment April 46.6 46.3 43.2

Euro fell against the dollar amid weak data on Germany. Note that confidence among German investors fell again in April , extending this streak to four consecutive months , highlighting risks to recovery in Europe's largest economy . This was stated in the report of the Centre for European Economic Research ZEW.

According to the data , the April index of sentiment in the business environment , which is designed to assess the development of the economic situation in the next six months , declined to 43.2 from 46.6 in March. Economists had forecast a decline to 46.3 . Recall that in December 2013 reached a seven-year maximum sensor - at the level of 62 points . Current situation index rose to 59.5 , its highest level since July 2011 , compared with 51.3 in March. Economists predicted the figure at 51.5 .

The data also showed that the index of economic sentiment in the euro zone fell to 61.2 from 61.5 in March, while the current conditions index rose 6.2 points to -30.5 .

Pound rebounded from lows against the dollar , reaching levels with today's opening session , which was associated with the release of data on Britain. As it became known , at the end of March the British inflation fell to its lowest level in more than four years , retreating further from the target goal of the Bank of England. It became known from the report , which was submitted to the Office for National Statistics.

According to the data , consumer prices rose in March by 1.6 percent per annum , and confirmed the experts' forecasts , but were close to the lowest level since October 2009 . Recall that in February, prices rose 1.7 percent in February. In the ONS said that the greatest pressure on the annual rate of consumer price inflation was the reduction in fuel prices, clothing and furniture . In addition, it was announced that the base rate of inflation , which excludes prices of energy , food, alcohol and tobacco increased by 1.6 percent ( four-year minimum). The data also showed that inflation in selling prices increased by 0.5 percent ( the lowest since October 2009 ), which was slightly higher than economists' forecasts - at the level of 0.3 percent.

EUR / USD: during the European session after dropped to $ 1.3788

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.6685 , but then recovered to $ 1.6720

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair traded in the range Y102.00-Y101.70

At 12:30 GMT , Canada announces the change of volume production shipments in February , while the U.S. will release the consumer price index for March and Empire Manufacturing manufacturing index for April. At 13:00 GMT the United States , there are data on the net volume of purchases of long-term U.S. securities by foreign investors and the total net volume of purchases of U.S. securities by foreign investors in February. At 14:00 GMT the United States will present housing market index from the NAHB for April. At 20:30 GMT the United States will declare to the change in stocks of crude oil , according to the API for April. At 22:45 GMT New Zealand's consumer price index will be released in the 1st quarter .

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3970, $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3905, $1.3850/60

Bids $1.3780/90, $1.3735, $1.3700, $1.3672

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6840/50, $1.6820/25, $1.6785, $1.6750

Bids $1.6660/50, $1.6640, $1.6600, $1.6550

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9500, $0.9480, $0.9435/40, $0.9425

Bids $0.9350/60, $0.9335, $0.9310/00, $0.9250

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.15/20, Y142.00, Y141.60, Y141.35, Y141.00

Bids Y140.40, Y140.25/20, Y140.00/05

USD/JPY

Offers Y103.00, Y102.50, Y102.20/25, Y102.15

Bids Y101.20/30, Y101.00, Y100.75, Y100.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8390, stg0.8330/35, stg0.8300/10

Bids stg0.8230, stg0.8200, stg0.8190-80

USD/JPY Y100.50, Y100.95, Y101.00, Y102.00, Y102.25, Y102.40, Y102.75, Y103.50, Y103.75

EUR/USD $1.3750, $1.3800, $1.3855, $1.3900, $1.3960

GBP/USD $1.6500, $1.6665/75, $1.6950

AUD/USD $0.9210, $0.9250, $0.9400

USD/CAD Cad1.0945/55, Cad1.0970/75, Cad1.1015, Cad1.1025, Cad1.1115

USD/CHF Chf0.8800, Chf0.9000, Chf0.9050

AUD/JPY Y95.00, Y96.00

EUR/JPY Y141.60, Y142.00/10, Y142.75

GBP/JPY Y168.50

Asian stocks swung from gains to losses as Chinese equities tumbled after a report showed new credit fell, underscoring risks of a deepening slowdown in the world’s second-biggest economy.

Nikkei 225 13,996.81 +86.65 +0.62%

S&P/ASX 200 5,388.2 +29.25 +0.55%

Shanghai Composite 2,101.6 -29.94 -1.40%

Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng Index headed for its biggest drop in almost a month after central bank data showed aggregate financing in China slid 19 percent in March from a year earlier and money supply grew at the slowest pace since 2001.

Asics Corp. added 3.6 percent in Tokyo after Nomura Holdings Inc. advised buying shares of the sportswear maker.

CapitaMalls Asia Ltd. soared a record 21 percent in Singapore after CapitaLand Ltd., Southeast Asia’s biggest developer, offered to buy the rest of its mall unit for about S$3.06 billion ($2.4 billion).

01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

The dollar held an advance versus most of its major peers before a manufacturing gauge that’s forecast to show improvement for a second month. The New York Fed’s gauge of manufacturing in the state probably rose to 8 in April, from 5.61 the previous month, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

The greenback gained the most in three weeks against the euro yesterday after data showed U.S. retail sales rose in March by the most since September 2012. U.S. retail sales climbed 1.1 percent last month, following a 0.7 percent gain in February that was revised upward, the Commerce Department reported yesterday. The jump exceeded the median projection of a 0.9 percent increase in a Bloomberg survey. Sales excluding receipts at gas stations were the strongest in four years.

The ZEW survey of German investor confidence today may slide to the lowest since August, economists predict. In Germany, the ZEW Center for European Economic Research’s index of investor and analyst expectations, which aims to predict economic developments six months in advance, probably fell to 45 in April, from a seven-month low of 46.6 in March.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks at a financial conference today.

Australia’s dollar fell from near a five-month high after the Reserve Bank’s minutes of this month’s meeting reiterated interest rates are on hold.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3810-20

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.6610

USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y101.80-00

Germany releases ZEW data at 0900GMT, with the median forecasts coming in at 51.5 for current conditions and 45.0 in the expectations measure. US data for Tuesday starts at 1130GMT with the NFIB Optimism Index, while the weekly ICSC-Goldman Store Sales data is due at 1145GMT. However, the main data starts at 1230GMT, when CPI is expected to rise 0.7% in March. Analysts expect energy prices to fall after rising falling in February, while food prices are seen higher. AAA reported that unadjusted prices were up sharply in mid-March from a month earlier. The core CPI is expected to rise 0.1%. The NY Fed Empire Index is due at the same time and is expected to rise to 10.0 in April after rising to 5.61 in March. At 1255GMT, the weekly Redbook Average is due, while at 1300GMT, the latest Treasury International Capital System data is released. US data continues at 1400GMT with the April NAHB Index, which has continued to show that while demand is building for housing, the market continues to be held back by a shortage of supply.