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Forex-novosti i prognoze od 05-06-2012
European stocks extended their advance, snapping a four-day decline, as the U.S. services industry expanded at a faster pace than estimated and investors speculated that policy makers will stimulate economic growth.
Finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of Seven economies agreed to coordinate their response to the euro area’s sovereign-debt crisis on a conference call.
G-7 officials said they will work together to help Greece and Spain place their public finances on a sustainable footing, Japan’s Finance Minister, Jun Azumi, told reporters in Tokyo following the call today.
A gauge of euro-area services and manufacturing output contracted in May. A composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in both industries dropped to 46 from 46.7 in April, London-based Markit Economics said today, compared with an estimate of 45.9 published on June 1.
National benchmark indexes climbed in 13 of the 16 western European markets that opened today. Germany’s DAX fell 0.2 percent, while the Swiss Market Index was little changed. France’s CAC 40 advanced 1.1 percent.
CaixaBank added 2.6 percent to 2.17 euros and Bankinter SA rose 2.3 percent to 2.53 euros. Spain’s Budget Minister, Cristobal Montoro, said that the European Union should provide financial aid to the banks.
Telekom Austria AG surged 4.3 percent to 7.57 euros after News Magazine reported that Carlos Slim, the world’s richest man, has acquired a 4.1 percent stake in the company.
The yen weakened against the dollar for a second day after Japanese Finance Minister Jun Azumi indicated that Group of Seven nations remain supportive of intervention to address extreme currency moves.
After reaching its weakest level against the dollar on March 15, the yen had strengthened as much as 7 percent. Japan’s Azumi said he told finance ministers a strong yen was depressing the nation’s stock market and damaging its economy by making exports more expensive.
The euro fell, ending two days of gains against the greenback, as Spanish Budget Minister Cristobal Montoro said the nation faces difficulties in accessing capital markets. Brazil’s real gained the most in a week as the central bank sold currency swap contracts.
The common currency weakened for the first time in three days against the yen after European retail sales fell more in April than economists forecast and German factory orders declined
Euro-region retail sales declined 1.0% in April, after gaining 0.3% the previous month, the European Union’s statistics office said in Luxembourg. Economists forecast a drop of 0.1%. German factory orders fell 1.9% from March, the Economy Ministry said in Berlin.
Most U.S. stocks advanced, amid the cheapest valuation in six months for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as an unexpected increase in a measure of service industries bolstered confidence in the world’s largest economy.
Equities reversed early losses today as the Institute for Supply Management’s index of non-manufacturing businesses, which covers about 90 percent of the economy, rose to 53.7 last month from April’s 53.5.
Finance ministers and central bank governors from the world’s leading economies agreed to coordinate their response to Europe’s financial crisis on a conference call that dealt with Spain and Greece. Spain called for outside support for the first time to battle the financial crisis as Budget Minister Cristobal Montoro said European institutions should help shore up the nation’s lenders.
JPMorgan (JPM) climbed 3.2 percent to $32. Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), the world’s largest personal- computer maker, rose 2 percent to $21.49. Homebuilder Lennar jumped 3.7 percent to $24.56, after slumping 13 percent in two days. PulteGroup increased 3.4 percent to $7.96.
SanDisk Corp. surged 5.3 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $33.34. The company, which makes memory chips used in mobile devices, was rated outperform in new coverage at Pacific Crest Securities.
Starbucks dropped 3.6 percent to $51.97. The purchase of San Francisco-based Bay Bread and its La Boulange brand will decrease full-year profit by 2 cents a share, the Seattle-based company said in a statement yesterday. The French-themed bakery sells homemade granola, flank steak sandwiches and organic bread, according to its website.
Oil fluctuated as a gauge of American service-industry growth unexpectedly rose in May and as data signaled the European economic outlook is worsening.
Prices swung between gains and losses after the Institute for Supply Management’s index of non-manufacturing businesses advanced to 53.7 in May from April’s 53.5. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg forecast 53.4.
In Europe, a composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in both service and manufacturing industries dropped to 46 from 46.7 in April, Markit said. While above an initial estimate of 45.9, the May reading is the lowest since June 2009. The indicator has remained below 50 -- indicating contraction -- for four months.
Spain called for outside support for the first time to battle the crisis as Budget Minister Cristobal Montoro said European institutions should help shore up the nation’s lenders.
Crude for July delivery traded in range of $83,31 - $84,92 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices have fallen 15 percent this year.
Brent oil for July settlement fell 18 cents to $98.67 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.
Gold is trading with minor changes on the background of discussions of finance ministers and central bankers of the G7 measures for the suppression of the debt crisis in the eurozone, which threatens the entire global economy.
Japanese Finance Minister Jun Azumi said that the G7 finance ministers in a conference call agreed to work together to solve problems in Spain and Greece. Investors also await tomorrow's decision by the European Central Bank Interest Rate.
Today, June gold futures on the COMEX is trading in a range 1612,9-1622,7 dollars/Oz.
Resistance 3:1334 (area of May 29-30 highs)
Resistance 2:1307 (МА (200) for Н1)
Resistance 1:1284 (МА (200) for D1)
Current price: 1281.50
Support 1:1265 (session low, Jun 4 low)
Support 2:1240 (50,0 % FIBO 1070-1420)
Support 3:1200 (area of low of December and 61,8 % FIBO 1070-1420)
prices 49.8 vs 53.
employment 50.8 vs 54.2
new orders 55.5 vs 53.5
EUR/USD $1.2300, $1.2400, $1.2425, $1.2500, $1.2600, $1.2650
USD/JPY Y77.50, Y78.25, Y79.00
EUR/GBP stg0.8100
AUD/USD $0.9700
U.S. stock futures held steady Tuesday as investors pondered an uncertain global-growth outlook and a teleconference of Group of Seven finance ministers and central bankers.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 8,382 +86.37 +1.04%
Hang Seng 18,259.03 +73.44 +0.40%
Shanghai Composite 2,311.92 +3.37 +0.15%
CAC 2,982.17 +27.68 +0.94%
DAX 5,943.65 -34.58 -0.58%
Crude oil $84.12 (+0.17%)
Gold $1618.70 (+0.27%)
Data:
07:50 France Services PMI (finally) May 45.2 45.2 45.1
07:55 Germany Services PMI (finally) May 52.2 52.2 51.8
08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (finally) May 46.9 46.5 46.7
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) April +0.3% -0.1% -1.0%
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) April -0.2% -1.1% -2.5%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) April +2.2% -0.9% -1.9%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) April -1.3% -3.8% -3.8%
The euro fell as Spanish Budget Minister Cristobal Montoro called for European Union funds to be used to shore up the nation’s banks.
The common currency weakened for the first time in three days against the yen after European retail sales fell more in April than economists forecast and German factory orders declined
Euro-region retail sales declined 1.0% in April, after gaining 0.3% the previous month, the European Union’s statistics office said in Luxembourg. Economists forecast a drop of 0.1%. German factory orders fell 1.9% from March, the Economy Ministry said in Berlin.
EUR/USD: the pair showed low in $1,2410 area.
GBP/USD: the pair was limited $1,5320-$ 1,5410.
USD/JPY: the pair was limited of Y78,10-Y78,50.
The Bank of Canada rate announcement is due at 1300GMT, with consensus on unchanged rates/policy. At 1400GMT, the U.S. ISM monthly non-manufacturing index. At 2100GMT, Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher will speak on "The Limits of the Powers of Central Banks" in Scotland, while Chicago Federal Reserve Bank Charles Evans speaks to the NYU Money Marketeers, in New York at 2315GMT, and will answer questions from the audience and the media.
EUR/USD
Offers $1.2550, $1.2490/500, $1.2460/65
Bids $1.2400, $1.2385/80, $1.2360/50, $1.2330/20
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5465, $1.5370
Bids $1.5320, $1.5310/00, $1.5250, $1.5235/30, $1.5200/190
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9900, $0.9850/60, $0.980
Bids $0.9600, $0.9585/80, $0.9550, $0.9500
USD/JPY
Offers Y78.90/00, Y78.80, Y78.50
Bids Y78.10/00, Y77.80, Y77.65/60, Y77.50
EUR/JPY
Offers Y99.00, Y98.65/70, Y98.45/50, Y97.70/80
Bids Y96.50, Y95.90/85, Y95.50, Y95.00, Y94.50
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8200, stg0.8155/60, stg0.8140/45
Bids stg0.8085/80, stg0.8045/40, stg0.8025/15, stg0.8205/00, stg0.7965/60, stg0.7950
Resistance 3: Y79.40 (resistance line from Apr 2)
Resistance 2: Y79.00 (МА (200) for Н1)
Resistance 1: Y78.60 (МА (200) for D1, МА (100) for Н1)
Current price: Y78.24
Support 1: Y78.10 (session low)
Support 2: Y77.60 (Jun 1 low)
Support 3: Y77.30 (Feb 13-14 lows)
Resistance 3: Chf0.9800 (psychological level)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9780 (highs of 2011-2012)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9670/80 (session high, Jun 4 high, МА (100) for Н1)
Current price: Chf0.9658
Support 1: Chf0.9620 (МА (200) for Н1)
Support 2: Chf0.9575 (session low)
Support 3: Chf0.9530 (area of May 24-28 lows)
Resistance 3 : $1.5530 (May 31 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.5440 (Jun 1 high, МА (100) for Н1)
Resistance 1 : $1.5410 (session high)
Current price: $1.5350
Support 1 : $1.5320 (session low)
Support 2 : $1.5260 (Jun 1 low)
Support 3 : $1.5230 (low of 2012)
Resistance 3 : $1.2620 (May 24 and 28 highs)
Resistance 2 : $1.2540 (session high)
Resistance 1 : $1.2480 (МА (200) for Н1)
Current price: $1.2436
Support 1 : $1.2410 (session low, МА (100) for Н1)
Support 2 : $1.2290 (Jun 1 low)
Support 3 : $1.2150 (area of June’2010 lows)
EUR/USD $1.2300, $1.2400, $1.2425, $1.2500, $1.2600, $1.2650
USD/JPY Y77.50, Y78.25, Y79.00
EUR/GBP stg0.8100
AUD/USD $0.9700
Asian stocks rose amid speculation global policy makers will join the Reserve Bank of Australia in taking steps to stimulate economic growth and after a four-day drop left the regional gauge at the cheapest level this year.
Nikkei 225 8,382 +86.37 +1.04%
S&P/ASX 200 4,043.7 +58.67 +1.47%
Shanghai Composite 2,313.22 +4.67 +0.20%
Commonwealth Bank of Australia, the nation’s biggest lender by market value, advanced 1.9 percent as the central bank cut interest rates.
Canon Inc., a Japanese camera maker whose shares fell yesterday to the lowest level since April 2009, gained 3.4 percent on a stock buyback plan.
Qantas Airways Ltd. tumbled 19 percent in Sydney to a record low after forecasting full-year profit may plunge as much as 91 percent.
00:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday -
01:30 Australia Current Account, bln Quarter I -8.4 -14.1 -14.9
04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate - 3.75% 3.75% 3.50%
04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement
The euro rose for a third day before finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of Seven nations hold a call today to discuss Europe’s debt crisis. Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said officials from the G-7 and the Group of 20 have been holding discussions on the European crisis ahead of a summit of G-20 leaders later this month. Markets have been bracing for further deterioration in Spain’s finance sector and a possible Greek departure from the euro as Europe’s leaders continued to wrangle over how to support the currency bloc. President Barack Obama meanwhile laid the blame for sluggish U.S. employment at the feet of euro-area leaders, saying they haven’t done enough to resolve the crisis, now in its third year.
The yen and dollar fell against most major counterparts as Asian stocks rallied, sapping demand for lower-yielding assets. The dollar maintained a gain against the yen after Japan’s Finance Minister Jun Azumi pledged on June 1 to take “decisive action” on his nation’s currency should “excessive moves” persist. Azumi declined to comment on whether Japan has intervened in the foreign-exchange market at a press conference yesterday.
Australia’s dollar advanced after the Reserve Bank cut benchmark borrowing costs by a quarter percentage point, less than the biggest reduction forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. RBA Governor Glenn Stevens and his board lowered the overnight cash rate target by a quarter percentage point to 3.5 percent, the lowest since 2009, the central bank said in a statement in Sydney today. Thirteen of 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predicted the move, while four forecast a half- point reduction and 10 expected borrowing costs to remain unchanged.
EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair gain, updated a week’s high.
GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in a range $1.5375-$1.5405.
USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair holds in range Y78.25-Y78.40.
UK markets remain closed Tuesday, which will likely help dampen trading volumes in Europe. However, there is a raft of European data, starting with the release of PMI service sector data. At 0715 GMT, Spanish data is released, followed by Italy at 0745GMT, France at 0750GMT, Germany at 0755GMT and EMU final service PMI data at 0800GMT. At 0900GMT, the EMU April retail trade data is released, followed at 1000GMT, German April manufacturing orders data is released. The US calendar starts at 1255GMT, the Johnson-Redbook weekly store sales numbers hit the screens. The Bank of Canada rate announcement is due at 1300GMT, with consensus on unchanged rates/policy. At 1400GMT, the U.S. ISM monthly non-manufacturing index. At 2100GMT, Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher will speak on "The Limits of the Powers of Central Banks" in Scotland, while Chicago Federal Reserve Bank Charles Evans speaks to the NYU Money Marketeers, in New York at 2315GMT, and will answer questions from the audience and the media.
Yesterday the euro rose for a second day versus the dollar as traders said the shared currency’s decline may have been too quick after European leaders agreed to discuss closer banking cooperation in the euro bloc. European Commission President Jose Barroso and German Chancellor Angela Merkel agreed to discuss proposals on banking coordination when they meet in Berlin.
The commission, the European Union’s executive, last week called for a “banking union” that would integrate supervision of lenders more tightly and create a pool of EU funds to clean up banks with cross-border exposure. The Brussels-based commission also proposed that the euro’s permanent bailout fund inject cash to banks instead of channeling the money through national governments.
The dollar strengthened against the yen as Treasury yields rose for the first time in four days, from record lows. The dollar snapped a three-day drop against the yen after Japanese Finance Minister Jun Azumi pledged on June 1 to take “decisive action” on his nation’s currency should “excessive moves” persist. Azumi declined to comment on whether Japan has intervened in the currency market at a news conference.
EUR/USD: yesterday the pair gain to $1.2500.
GBP/USD: yesterday the pair traded in a range $1.5340-$1.5400.
USD/JPY: yesterday the pair traded in range Y78.00-Y78.40.
UK markets remain closed Tuesday, which will likely help dampen trading volumes in Europe. However, there is a raft of European data, starting with the release of PMI service sector data. At 0715 GMT, Spanish data is released, followed by Italy at 0745GMT, France at 0750GMT, Germany at 0755GMT and EMU final service PMI data at 0800GMT. At 0900GMT, the EMU April retail trade data is released, followed at 1000GMT, German April manufacturing orders data is released. The US calendar starts at 1255GMT, the Johnson-Redbook weekly store sales numbers hit the screens. The Bank of Canada rate announcement is due at 1300GMT, with consensus on unchanged rates/policy. At 1400GMT, the U.S. ISM monthly non-manufacturing index. At 2100GMT, Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher will speak on "The Limits of the Powers of Central Banks" in Scotland, while Chicago Federal Reserve Bank Charles Evans speaks to the NYU Money Marketeers, in New York at 2315GMT, and will answer questions from the audience and the media.
Asian stocks fell, with every major benchmark gauge in the region retreating, as economic data in the U.S. and China stoked concern about global growth. Japan’s Topix Index closed at the lowest level since 1983.
Nikkei 225 8,295.63 -144.62 -1.71%
S&P/ASX 200 3,985 -78.88 -1.94%
Shanghai Composite 2,308.55 -64.89 -2.73%
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index joined the Topix in falling more than 20 percent from this year’s high, a drop that would see the measure close in a so-called bear market.
Sony Corp., a Japanese exporter of consumer electronics that gets about a fifth of its sales in the U.S., fell to levels not seen since 1980, when the Walkman was introduced in the U.S.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s biggest mining company, and Cnooc Ltd., China’s largest offshore oil producer, lost at least 2 percent as a gauge of commodities fell to an eight-month low.
European stocks declined for a fourth day as reports showed that orders to U.S. factories unexpectedly fell in April and China’s services-industry growth weakened in May.
Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said European leaders should reinforce efforts to protect euro-area lenders, increasing pressure on German Chancellor Angela Merkel to back new ideas to resolve the debt crisis.
French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici will travel to Brussels today to meet with European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn and EU Financial Services Commissioner Michel Barnier. Moscovici has said that aid for troubled banks should come through the European Stability Mechanism rather than through governments.
National benchmark indexes dropped in nine the 15 western European markets that were open today. Germany’s DAX fell 1.2 percent, while France’s CAC 40 added 0.1 percent
Volkswagen and Daimler dropped 3.2 percent to 119.75 euros and 1.9 percent to 34.85 euros, respectively, as a gauge of European carmakers was the worst performer of the 19 industry groups in the Stoxx 600.
Aker Solutions declined 3 percent to 75.05 kroner, its lowest since Jan. 31.
Spanish and Italian banks paced gains, as a gauge of European lenders posted the best performance on the Stoxx 600. UniCredit and Intesa Sanpaolo each rallied 4.5 percent to 2.61 euros and 5.8 percent to 1.06 euros, respectively. Banco Santander SA jumped 4.9 percent to 4.53 euros. Banco BPI SA rallied for the fifth day, its longest stretch of gains since July 2011.
U.S. stocks reversed losses as the cheapest price-to-earnings valuation for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index in six months overshadowed a drop in factory orders.
Earlier losses in U.S. stocks today extended the S&P 500’s drop from its peak to more than 10 percent as government data showed factory orders fell 0.6 percent in April, pointing to a deceleration in manufacturing. China’s non-manufacturing industries expanded at the slowest pace in more than a year.
Chesapeake Energy rallied 6 percent to $16.52. Four of the company’s eight non-executive directors will be replaced with nominees of the largest shareholders, Southeastern Asset Management Inc. and Icahn. Icahn triggered the overhaul by acquiring a 7.6 percent stake last month to rein in what he saw as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Aubrey McClendon’s risk- taking and overspending that led to a $22 billion cash crunch and eroded the share price.
Caterpillar (CAT), the largest maker of construction and mining equipment, dropped 2.6 percent to $83.26. JPMorgan (JPM) fell 2.9 percent to $31.
Facebook slumped 3 percent to $26.90 and went as low as $26.44, after tumbling 13 percent last week. The world’s biggest social network dropped after Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. initiated coverage with an underperform rating and a $25 share- price estimate.
Resistance 3: Y79.15 (May 31 high)
Resistance 2: Y78.90 (high of the European session on May 31)
Resistance 1: Y78.70 (Jun 1 high)
The current price: Y78.31
Support 1: Y78.00 (Jun 4 low)
Support 2: Y77.65 (Jun 1 low)
Support 3: Y77.35 (Feb 14 low)
Resistance 3: Chf0.9770 (Jun 1 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9695 (Jun 4 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9625/40 (high of the American session on Jun 4, Jun 1 low)
The current price: Chf0.9592
Support 1: Chf0.9560 (May 29 low)
Support 2: Chf0.9525/35 (May 24-28 lows)
Support 3: Chf0.9465 (May 23 low)
Resistance 3 : $1.5615 (high of the American session on May 30)
Resistance 2 : $1.5525 (May 31 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.5440 (Jun 1 high)
The current price: $1.5396
Support 1 : $1.5340 (Jun 4 low)
Support 2 : $1.5265 (Jun 1 low)
Support 3 : $1.5200 (psychological level)
Resistance 3 : $1.2620/25 (area of May 24-28 highs)
Resistance 2 : $1.2575 (May 29 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.2540 (session high)
The current price: $1.2524
Support 1 : $1.2455/70 (Jun 1 high, low of the American session on Jun 4)
Support 2 : $1.2385 (Jun 4 low)
Support 3 : $1.2285 (Jun 1 low)
Change % Change Last
Gold 1,620 -3 -0.16%
Oil 84.11 +0.88 +1.06%
Change % Change Last
Nikkei 225 8,295.63 -144.62 -1.71%
S&P/ASX 200 3,985 -78.88 -1.94%
Shanghai Composite 2,308.55 -64.89 -2.73%
FTSE 100 ClosedCAC 40 2,954.54 +4.07 +0.14%
DAX 5,974.68 -75.61 -1.25%
Dow 12,101 -17 -0.14%
Nasdaq 2,760 +13 +0.46%
S&P 500 1,278 +0 +0.01%
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2493 +0,49%
GBP/USD $1,5381 +0,14%
USD/CHF Chf0,9612 -0,49%
USD/JPY Y78,33 +0,42%
EUR/JPY Y97,87 +0,90%
GBP/JPY Y120,48 +0,55%
AUD/USD $0,9717 +0,22%
NZD/USD $0,7556 +0,16%
USD/CAD C$1,0394 -0,14%
00:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday -
01:30 Australia Current Account, bln Quarter I -8.4 -14.1
04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate - 3.75% 3.75%
04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement -
07:50 France Services PMI (finally) May 45.2 45.2
07:55 Germany Services PMI (finally) May 52.2 52.2
08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (finally) May 46.9 46.5
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) April +0.3% -0.1%
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) April -0.2% -1.1%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) April +2.2% -0.9%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) April -1.3% -3.8%
11:00 U.S. FOMC Member Richard Fisher Speaks -
12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) April +4.7% +2.3%
13:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate - 1.00% 1.00%
13:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement -
14:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing May 53.5 53.7
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