Forex-novosti i prognoze od 18-05-2012

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18.05.2012

18:31

European stocks close:

European stocks fell for a fifth day, posting their biggest weekly selloff since September, amid signs of slowing growth in China and continued concern that Greece will have to leave the euro area.

Almost $4 trillion has been wiped from global equity markets in May amid mounting concern Greece will have to leave the euro currency union. The country’s credit rating was reduced one level by Fitch Ratings late yesterday amid concern it will not muster the political support needed to remain a member of the 17-nation euro area.

Moody’s lowered the debt ratings of 16 Spanish banks after the close of U.S. trading yesterday, citing mounting loan losses, the country’s recession, restricted access to funds and the reduced ability of the government to support lenders as its own creditworthiness diminishes.

National benchmark indexes retreated in 14 of the 17 western-European market that opened today. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 slid 1.3 percent, while Germany’s DAX slid 0.6 percent. France’s CAC 40 slipped 0.1 percent.

Rio Tinto, the world’s third-biggest mining company, retreated 2.4 percent to 2,788 pence. Vedanta Resources Plc lost 2.7 percent to 958.5 pence and Xstrata Plc dropped 4.3 percent to 914.7 pence.

Volkswagen dropped 2 percent to 128.20 euros, Porsche SE slid 2.4 percent to 39.93 euros and Bayerische Motoren Werke AG lost 2.3 percent to 61.31 euros. Volvo AB sank 4.6 percent to 78.45 kronor.

LSE jumped 2.9 percent to 992 pence after Europe’s oldest independent bourse posted profit for the six months to the end of March that surged to 405.9 million pounds ($641 million), boosted by money earned from deposits at its Italian central counterparty.

17:53

American focus: euro rebounded from a four-month low against the dollar

The euro touched a four-month low against the dollar as German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said financial-market turmoil may last another two years, adding to concern Europe’s crisis is worsening. The 17-nation currency reversed its losses as a technical indicator signaled its recent decline came too fast. The euro was headed for a fourth weekly decline versus the yen before a meeting of Group of Eight nations’ leaders beginning today.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel and fellow European leaders will face pressure from their G-8 counterparts to do more to quell the turmoil after speculation Greece will exit the euro wiped almost $4 trillion from global stock markets this month.

Fitch lowered Greece’s ranking to CCC from B-, saying the strong showing of “anti-austerity” parties in elections on May 6 and subsequent failure to form a government underscored the lack of public and political support for the country’s bailout from the European Union and International Monetary Fund.

Moody’s yesterday lowered the credit ratings of Spain’s biggest banks including Banco Santander SA (SAN) and Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA, citing economic weakness and the government’s mounting budget strain.

The yen has risen versus all of its 16 major counterparts this week as a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia yesterday showed its general economic index unexpectedly fell to the lowest since September. Japan’s Finance Minister Jun Azumi said today he is watching currency moves with great interest and more caution. Azumi said Japan will take appropriate steps if needed in the foreign-exchange market.

16:53

U.S. stocks swing between gains, losses

U.S. stocks fell, sending benchmark gauges down a sixth day, as Facebook Inc.’s debut failed to inspire optimism after its record initial public offering.

Stocks rose earlier today after Facebook’s record IPO made the social network more costly than almost every company in the S&P 500. Nasdaq had said it would start quoting Facebook at 10:45 a.m. New York time and begin trading of Facebook at about 11 a.m. It then delayed the open by five minutes before sending the notice that there was a problem. The shares started trading at 11:30 a.m.
Facebook sold 421.2 million shares at $38 each to raise $16 billion. That values the Menlo Park, California-based company at $104.2 billion, or 107 times trailing 12-month earnings, more than every S&P 500 member except Amazon.com Inc. and Equity Residential.

16:24

Oil dropped to a six-month low in New York

Oil dropped to a six-month low in New York on concern that Greece will have to leave the euro, deepening Europe’s debt crunch and curbing fuel demand.

Futures fell as much as 1 percent after German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said that financial market turmoil caused by the euro-zone crisis may last two more years. Prices are heading for the third straight weekly decline as U.S. consumer confidence dipped and American crude supplies climbed to the highest level since 1990.

Crude oil for June delivery fell to $91.60 a barrel, the lowest level since Nov.3 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices have retreated 4.3 percent so far this week.

Brent oil for July settlement slipped 37 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $107.12 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark dropped to $106.40, the lowest level since Dec. 21.

15:58

European stocks closed in minus: FTSE 100 5,267.62 -70.76 -1.33%, CAC 40 3,008 -3.99 -0.13%, DAX 6,271.22 -37.74 -0.60%

15:40

Gold rose

Gold prices rose on a background of a small restoration of the euro, which boosted demand for precious metals, closing short positions could lead to further price increases.

Euro has recovered from a minimum of four months against the dollar, reached in earlytrading Friday, a little softened downward pressure on gold, however, confidence in the currency remains weak.

Since the beginning of the crisis the ratio of gold to an increased risk of rejection was pretty shaky. Last year, gold rose to record levels, partly because investors bought the precious metal as a safe asset, but after the U.S. dollar and government bonds also regained its position, gold prices slipped after the euro.

However, the fall in gold prices to new lows in January attracted investors.

The cost of the June gold futures on the COMEX today rose to a high of $ 1597.5 per ounce.

15:29

Seeing fresh highs for the day now as stops are punched out above $1.2735

Though pair still hampered by the reported supply ahead of $1.2750.

14:55

U.S. stocks rose: Dow 12,482 +40 +0.32%, Nasdaq 2,825 +12 +0.41%, S&P 500 1,311 +6 +0.50%

14:33

BOE confirms Posen to leave MPC on Aug 31.

14:29

Tech on S&P futures

Resistance 3:1330 (May 17 high)

Resistance 2:1324 (resistance line from May 15)

Resistance 1:1310 (session high)

Current price: 1304,75

Support 1:1293 (session low)

Support 2:1277 (area of 61,8 % FIBO 1197-1420 and МА (200) for D1)

Support 3:1242 (Dec 28-29 lows)

13:48

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

EUR/USD $1.2670, $1.2700, $1.2900, $1.2615-1.3615

USD/JPY Y79.00, Y79.75, Y80.00

EUR/GBP stg0.8000

AUD/USD $0.9900

USD/CAD C$1.0100

13:46

US Stocks open: Dow 12,438.10 -4.39 -0.04%, Nasdaq 2,808.16 -5.53 -0.20%, S&P 1,307.03 +2.17 +0.17%

13:30

Before the bell: S&P futures +0.44%, Nasdaq futures +0.25%

U.S. stock futures advanced as better-than-estimated corporate profits tempered concern about a worsening of Europe’s debt crisis.

Facebook Inc. (FB) is set to start trading today after a record initial public offering that made the social network more costly than almost every company in the S&P 500.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei 8,611.31 -265.28 -2.99%

Hang Seng 18,951.85 -249.08 -1.30%

Shanghai Composite 2,344.52 -34.37 -1.44%

Closed 725.54 -21.62 -2.89%

FTSE 5,294.78 -43.60 -0.82%

CAC 3,008.05 -3.94 -0.13%

DAX 6,307.45 -1.51 -0.02%

Crude oil $92.24 (-0.35%).

Gold $1587.70 (+0.82%).