Growth in US oil output to remain elusive – ANZ

FXStreet reports that strategists at ANZ bank think output is likely to sit below pre-pandemic levels this year, which should make OPEC more comfortable about easing restrictions when it meets in early March.

“Extreme cold weather has shocked the eastern and central states of the US. The consequent spike in demand for power and the freezing over of power infrastructure have caused blackouts across Texas, in particular. After freeze offs, it usually takes a couple days of above freezing temperatures to return to production after which damage to valves, compressors and pipes will need repair. So, even as temperatures rise, operators will be dealing with intermittent power outages that will slow the recovery. US shale oil output could take up to a week to return to normal.”

“Despite the expectation of gains in oil prices as economic growth recovers, government stimulus continues and vaccines slow the pandemic, we don’t expect US oil companies to start chasing volume growth just yet. In fact, we expect US output to remain below pre-pandemic levels and end this year at 12mb/d.”