Sterling and loonie to resist dollar storm, euro points to the downside – Standard Chartered

FXStreet reports that economists at Standard Chartered said that GBP/USD could see further gains whilst EUR/USD could remain under downward pressure.

“The Fed confirmed it expects a hot economy and prefers a “chilled” monetary policy, even as longer-term yields rise. In the near-term, this cocktail is likely to temporarily support the USD.”

“EURUSD will likely drift below 1.18 as vaccination execution delays keep ECB very dovish. A USD rally is also likely to lead the low-yielding CHF and JPY to rally towards 0.94 and 110, respectively. However, #USD strength is unlikely to dominate entirely over a 1-3 month horizon.”

“We expect USD/CAD to continue to slide towards 1.22 and GBPUSD to push towards 1.42 as US economic expansion and vaccinations allow respective central banks to move towards policy normalisation.”

“On a longer 6-12m horizon, though, we continue to expect the USD to weaken. Rising inflation is likely to follow today’s rising yields, resulting in an eventual fall in real (net of-inflation) yields, especially relative to other major currencies. This would be bearish for the USD medium-term.”