Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD flat-lines below $23.00, remains confined in a multi-day-old range

• Silver attracts some sellers following an intraday uptick to the $23.00 neighbourhood.
• The mixed technical setup warrants some caution before placing fresh directional bets.
• A move beyond the $22.30-40 confluence will set the stage for some meaningful gains.

Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick and attracts some intraday sellers in the vicinity of the $23.00 mark on Friday. The white metal currently trades around the $22.80 region, nearly unchanged for the day, and remains confined in a multi-day-old range through the first half of the European session.

From a technical perspective, the XAG/USD has been showing some resilience below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the May-October slide. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are holding in the positive territory and support prospects for some appreciating move. That said, the recent failure near the $23.70-$23.75 strong horizontal resistance and the lack of any buying interest warrants some caution for bullish traders.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for sustained strength and acceptance above the $23.30-$23.40 confluence, comprising the 50% Fibo. level, the 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), before positioning for a meaningful upside. Some follow-through buying beyond the $23.70-$23.75 region will reaffirm the positive bias and allow the XAG/SUD to reclaim the $24.00 mark, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibo. level.

The subsequent move up, meanwhile, is more likely to confront stiff resistance near a descending trend-line hurdle extending from the May high, currently pegged around the $24.20 region. A convincing breakout through the latter will be seen as a fresh trigger for bulls and pave the way for additional gains.

On the flip side, the $22.50 area, nearing a one-and-half-week low touched on Thursday, now seems to protect the immediate downside for the XAG/USD. Failure to defend the said support levels might prompt some technical selling and expose the $22.30-$22.25 horizontal resistance breakpoint now turned support. The downward trajectory could get extended further towards the $22.00 round-figure mark, representing 23.6% Fibo. level.

Silver daily chart

Technical levels to watch