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09.05.2014

15:49

Foreign exchange market. American session: the U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies, increasing demand for the safe-haven U.S. currency

The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies. The U.S. currency was supported by concerns over tensions in Ukraine and the increasing demand for the safe-haven U.S. currency. Pro-Russia separatists in eastern Ukraine ignored a public call by Russian President Vladimir Putin to postpone a referendum.

The U.S. wholesale inventories increased 1.1% in March, from a 0.5% gain in February. Analysts had forecasted that the U.S. wholesale inventories would remain unchanged.

JOLTs job openings in the U.S. decreased 111,000 in March to 4,014,000 after increasing 251,000 to 4,125,000 in February.

The euro plunged to 1-month lows against the U.S. dollar. The euro weakened due to the yesterday’s ECB President Mario Draghi comments that the ECB could ease monetary policy in June to tackle low inflation.

German trade surplus trade decreased to €14.8 billion in March, from €15.8 billion in February. February’s figure was revised up from a surplus of €15.7 billion. Analysts had expected a rise to €16.6 billion.

The British pound dropped against the U.S. dollar after the release of the good economic data and as investors locked in profits after a strong rally. The U.K. manufacturing production climbed 0.5% in March (February: +1.0%). Analysts had expected a 0.3% rise. The U.K trade deficit declined to £8.48 billion in March, from £8.75 billion in February. February’s figure was revised down from £9.09 billion. Analysts had forecasted an increase of the deficit to £9.00 billion. The strong economic data strengthens the speculation that the Bank of England will hike interest rates in the first half of the next year.

NIESR increased the GDP forecast for U.K. to 1.0%, from a 0.9% rise in the previous month. The research organisation said it expected GDP to reach its first quarter 2008 level within a short time.

The Canadian dollar dropped against the U.S. dollar due to weak labour data from Canada. The unemployment rate remained unchanged by 6.9% in April. The number of employed people decreased by 28,900 in April, from a 42,900 rise in March. Analysts had expected a 12,800 increase.

The New Zealand dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar due to the weak Chinese inflation and the increasing demand for the safe-haven U.S. currency. China's consumer price index (CPI) increased 1.8% year-on-year in April, the lowest inflation rate in 18 months. Analysts had expected a 2.1% gain. China’s producer price index (PPI) declined 2.0% year-on-year in April. Analysts had forecasted a decline of 1.8%. No economic data was published in New Zealand.

The Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The Reserve Bank of Australia said in its statement that the current accommodative monetary policy is appropriate for some time. The RBA increased its growth forecast for the current quarter from 2.75% to 3%, and lowered its inflation outlook to a 2.75% increase year-on-year, from 3.00% in its February statement.

The Japanese yen traded little changed against the U.S. dollar. Japan's leading economic index declined to 106.5 in March, from 108.7 in February. February's figure was revised down from 113.5.

Japan's coincident index was up to 114.0 in March, from 112.9 in February. February's figure was revised down from 113.0.

14:01

U.S.: JOLTs Job Openings, April 4010 (forecast 4210)

14:00

U.S.: Wholesale Inventories, March +1.1% (forecast +0.5%)

14:00

United Kingdom: NIESR GDP Estimate, April +1.0%

13:45

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3780, $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3810-20, $1.3825, $1.3835, $1.3845, $1.3870-80, $1.3900, $1.3950

USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.50, Y102.40, Y102.75, Y103.00

AUD/USD $0.9250, $0.9275, $0.9300, $0.9350-60

USD/CAD C$1.0860, C$1.0895, C$1.0900, C$1.0920, C$1.0950

13:00

The Canadian dollar dropped against the U.S. dollar due to weak labour data from Canada

The Canadian dollar dropped against the U.S. dollar due to weak labour data from Canada. The unemployment rate remained unchanged by 6.9% in April. The number of employed people decreased by 28,900 in April, from a 42,900 rise in March. Analysts had expected a 12,800 increase.

12:30

Canada: Employment , April -28.9 (forecast 14.9)

12:30

Canada: Unemployment rate, April 6.9% (forecast 6.9%)

12:18

Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro plunged to 1-week lows against the U.S. dollar, concerns over tensions in Ukraine

Economic calendar (GMT0):

01:30 Australia RBA Monetary Policy Statement

01:30 China PPI y/y April -2.3% -1.8% -2.0%

01:30 China CPI y/y April +2.4% +2.1% +1.8%

05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index March 108.7 106.5

05:00 Japan Coincident Index March 112.9 114.0

06:00 Germany Current Account March 13.9 19.5

06:00 Germany Trade Balance March 15.8 16.9 14.8

08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) March +0.9% -0.1% -0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) March +2.7% +2.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) March +1.0% +0.3% +0.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) March +3.8% +3.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods March -9.7 -9.0 -8.5

The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies. The U.S. currency was supported by the better-than-expected number of initial jobless claims, published on Thursday, and concerns over tensions in Ukraine. Pro-Russia separatists in eastern Ukraine ignored a public call by Russian President Vladimir Putin to postpone a referendum. Investors favour the safe-haven currency.

The euro plunged to 1-week lows against the U.S. dollar. The euro weakened due to the yesterday’s ECB President Mario Draghi comments that the ECB could ease monetary policy in June to tackle low inflation.

EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.3773

GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.6846

USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 Canada Employment April 42.9 14.9

12:30 Canada Unemployment rate April 6.9% 6.9%

14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate April +0.9%

14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings April 4173 4210

22:00 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota

12:00

Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3995/000, $1.3950/60, $1.3930/35, $1.3890-900, $1.3870/75, $1.3860, $1.3825/30

Bids $1.3800/790, $1.3775, $1.3705/00

GBP/USD

Offers $1.7010-20, $1.7000, $1.6950

Bids $1.6900, $1.6885/75, $1.6850

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9450, $0.9400, $0.9375/80

Bids $0.9305/00, $0.9255/50, $0.9220, $0.9200

EUR/JPY

Offers Y141.50, Y141.00

Bids Y140.25/20, Y140.00, Y139.50, Y139.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y102.50, Y102.00

Bids Y101.35/30, Y101.20, Y101.00

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8220-30, stg0.8190/200

Bids stg0.8150, stg0.8120, stg0.8100

10:53

The U.S. dollar hits the low of May 02, 2014 against the euro

The U.S. dollar hits the low of May 02, 2014 against the euro. Market participants have concerns over tensions in Ukraine. Pro-Russia separatists in eastern Ukraine ignored a public call by Russian President Vladimir Putin to postpone a referendum. Investors favor the safe-haven currency.

09:19

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3780, $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3810-20, $1.3825, $1.3835, $1.3845, $1.3870-80, $1.3900, $1.3950

USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.50, Y102.40, Y102.75, Y103.00

AUD/USD $0.9250, $0.9275, $0.9300, $0.9350-60

USD/CAD C$1.0860, C$1.0895, C$1.0900, C$1.0920, C$1.0950

09:17

RBA monetary policy statement: the current accommodative monetary policy is appropriate for some time

The Reserve Bank of Australia released its quarterly monetary policy statement:

- The current accommodative monetary policy is appropriate for some time;

- The RBA increased its growth forecast for the current quarter from 2.75% to 3%, and;

- The RBA lowered its near-term inflation outlook to a 2.75% increase year-on-year, from 3.00% in its February statement.

09:07

Foreign exchange market. Asian session: dollar declined against the U.S. dollar due to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy statement and the weak Chinese inflation, but later recovered its losses

Economic calendar (GMT0):

01:30 Australia RBA Monetary Policy Statement

01:30 China PPI y/y April -2.3% -1.8% -2.0%

01:30 China CPI y/y April +2.4% +2.1% +1.8%

05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index March 108.7 106.5

05:00 Japan Coincident Index March 112.9 114.0

06:00 Germany Current Account March 13.9 19.5

06:00 Germany Trade Balance March 15.8 16.9 14.8

08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) March +0.9% -0.1% -0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) March +2.7% +2.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) March +1.0% +0.3% +0.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) March +3.8% +3.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods March -9.7 -9.0 -8.5

The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies. The U.S. currency was supported by the yesterday’s ECB President Mario Draghi comments that the ECB could ease monetary policy in June to tackle low inflation, and the better-than-expected number of initial jobless claims, published on Thursday.

The New Zealand dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar due to the weak Chinese inflation, but later recovered its losses. China's consumer price index (CPI) increased 1.8% year-on-year in April, the lowest inflation rate in 18 months. Analysts had expected a 2.1% gain. China’s producer price index (PPI) declined 2.0% year-on-year in April. Analysts had forecasted a decline of 1.8%. No economic data was published in New Zealand.

The Australian dollar declined against the U.S. dollar due to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy statement and the weak Chinese inflation, but later recovered its losses. The RBA said in its statement that the current accommodative monetary policy is appropriate for some time.

The RBA increased its growth forecast for the current quarter from 2.75% to 3%, and lowered its inflation outlook to a 2.75% increase year-on-year, from 3.00% in its February statement.

The Japanese yen traded little changed against the U.S. dollar. Japan's leading economic index declined to 106.5 in March, from 108.7 in February. February's figure was revised down from 113.5.

Japan's coincident index was up to 114.0 in March, from 112.9 in February. February's figure was revised down from 113.0.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.6915

USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to Y101.75

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 Canada Employment April 42.9 14.9

12:30 Canada Unemployment rate April 6.9% 6.9%

14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate April +0.9%

14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings April 4173 4210

22:00 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota