Tin tức thì trường

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

06:00 France Bank holiday

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q Quarter II +0.8% +0.8%

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y Quarter II +3.1% +3.1%

12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) June +1.6% +0.5%

12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m July +0.4% +0.1%

12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y July +1.9% +1.8%

12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m July +0.2% +0.2%

12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y July +1.8% +1.6%

12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index August 25.6 20.3

13:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows June 19.4 27.3

13:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows June 35.5

13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) July +0.2% +0.3%

13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization July 79.1% 79.2%

13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index August 81.3 82.7

The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies after the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending August 9 rose by 21,000 to 311,000 from 290,000 in the previous week. The previous week's figure was revised down from 289,000.

Analysts had expected the number of initial jobless claims to increase by 17,000 to 307,000.

The U.S. import price index declined 0.2% in July, in line with expectations, after a 0.1% increase in June.

The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the weaker-than-expected economic data from the Eurozone. Eurozone's harmonized consumer price index declined 0.7% in July, missing expectations for a 0.6% decrease, after a 0.1% rise in June.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's harmonized consumer price index rose 0.4% in July, in line with expectations, after a 0.4% increase in June.

Eurozone's preliminary gross domestic product was flat in the second quarter, missing expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.2% gain in the first quarter.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's preliminary gross domestic product climbed 0.7% in the second quarter, in line with expectations, after a 0.9% rise in the first quarter.

German preliminary GDP decreased 0.2% in the second quarter, missing forecasts of a 0.1% decline, after a 0.8% rise in the first quarter.

French preliminary GDP remained flat in the second quarter, missing forecasts of a 0.1% gain.

The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in the UK.

The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland's producer price index was flat in July, in line with expectations, after 0.0% in June.

On a yearly basis, Switzerland's producer price index fell 0.8% in July, after a 0.8% decline in June.

The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the Canadian new housing price index. The index climbed 0.2% in June, in line with expectations, after a 0.1% gain in May.

The New Zealand dollar traded higher against the U.S dollar after the weaker-than-expected number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. Retail sales in New Zealand climbed 1.2% in the second quarter, exceeding expectations for a 1.0% rise, after a 0.8% gain in the first quarter. The first quarter's figure was revised up from a 0.7% increase.

Core retail sales, excluding automobiles and gas stations, jumped 1.2% in the second quarter, beating expectations for a 1.1% gain, after 1.0% in the first quarter. The first quarter's figure was revised up from a 0.8% increase.

The increase of retail sales in New Zealand was driven by automobile sales and parts retailing industry.

The Business NZ Performance of Manufacturing Index declined to 53.0 in July from 53.4 in June. June's figure was revised up from 53.3.

The Australian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar due to the weaker-than-expected number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. The Melbourne Institute released its consumer inflation expectations for Australia. The consumer inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in July from 3.8% in June.

The Japanese yen declined against the U.S. dollar after the disappointing core machinery orders from Japan, but later recovered its losses as the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose. Core machinery orders in Japan rose 8.8% in June, missing expectations for a 15.5% gain, after a 19.5% decline in May.

On a yearly basis, core machinery orders in Japan decreased 3.0% in June, after a 14.3% fall in May.

Statistics New Zealand released retail sales data on Thursday. Retail sales in New Zealand climbed 1.2% in the second quarter, exceeding expectations for a 1.0% rise, after a 0.8% gain in the first quarter. The first quarter's figure was revised up from a 0.7% increase.

Core retail sales, excluding automobiles and gas stations, jumped 1.2% in the second quarter, beating expectations for a 1.1% gain, after 1.0% in the first quarter. The first quarter's figure was revised up from a 0.8% increase.

The increase of retail sales in New Zealand was driven by automobile sales and parts retailing industry. Automobile sales and parts retailing industry were up 3.6%, while food and beverage services were up 2.7%.

The industry with the largest was fuel retailing, down 3.3%.

EUR/USD $1.3350-60(E440mn), $1.3400(E967mn)

USD/JPY Y101.45-50($1.0bn), Y101.65-75($500mn), Y101.95($620mn), Y102.00($1.1bn), Y102.05($250mn)

GBP/USD $1.6635(stg179mn), $1.6850(stg286mn)

EUR/GBP stg0.8045(E195mn)

EUR/CHF Chf1.2150(E458mn)

AUD/USD $0.9275(A$687mn), $0.9320(A$330mn), $0.9333(A$229mn)

NZD/USD $0.8550(NZ$271mn)

USD/CAD C$1.0880($410mn), C$1.0920-25($532mn), C$1.0990

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation August +3.8% +3.1%

05:30 France GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter II 0.0% +0.1% 0.0%

05:30 France GDP, Y/Y (Preliminary) Quarter II +0.7% +0.1%

06:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter II +0.8% -0.1% -0.2%

06:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter II +2.5% +1.2%

06:45 France Non-Farm Payrolls (Preliminary) Quarter II -0.1% -0.1% +0.1%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m July 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y July -0.8% -0.8%

08:00 Eurozone ECB Monthly Report August

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI July +0.1% -0.6% -0.7%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) July +0.4% +0.4% +0.4%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y July +0.8% +0.8% +0.8%

09:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter II +0.2% +0.1% 0.0%

09:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter II +0.9% +0.7% +0.7%

The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies ahead of the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. is expected to rise by 18,000 to 307,000.

The U.S. import price index is expected to decline 0.2% in July, after a 0.1% increase in June.

The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the weaker-than-expected economic data from the Eurozone. Eurozone's harmonized consumer price index declined 0.7% in July, missing expectations for a 0.6% decrease, after a 0.1% rise in June.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's harmonized consumer price index rose 0.4% in July, in line with expectations, after a 0.4% increase in June.

Eurozone's preliminary gross domestic product was flat in the second quarter, missing expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.2% gain in the first quarter.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's preliminary gross domestic product climbed 0.7% in the second quarter, in line with expectations, after a 0.9% rise in the first quarter.

German preliminary GDP decreased 0.2% in the second quarter, missing forecasts of a 0.1% decline, after a 0.8% rise in the first quarter.

French preliminary GDP remained flat in the second quarter, missing forecasts of a 0.1% gain.

The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in the UK.

The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland's producer price index was flat in July, in line with expectations, after 0.0% in June.

On a yearly basis, Switzerland's producer price index fell 0.8% in July, after a 0.8% decline in June.

The Canadian dollar rose against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian new housing price index. The index is expected to climb 0.2% in June, after a 0.1% gain in May.

EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.3396

GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

USD/JPY: the currency pair decreased to Y102.31

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index June +0.1% +0.2%

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims August 289 307

12:30 U.S. Import Price Index July +0.1% -0.2%

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3475/85, $1.3445-50

Bids $1.3335-30

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6800/10, $1.6700

Bids $1.6650, $1.6620, $1.6600

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9400, $0.9380, $0.9350

Bids $0.9285/80, $0.9240, $0.9220/00

EUR/JPY

Offers Y138.20, Y138.00, Y137.50, Y137.20/25

Bids Y136.50, Y136.25/20, Y136.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y103.50, Y103.00, Y102.80/85, Y102.65/70

Bids Y102.25/20, Y102.00, Y101.80, Y101.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8100, stg0.8030-50

Bids stg0.8000, stg0.7985/80

EUR/USD $1.3350-60(E440mn), $1.3400(E967mn)

USD/JPY Y101.45-50($1.0bn), Y101.65-75($500mn), Y101.95($620mn), Y102.00($1.1bn), Y102.05($250mn)

GBP/USD $1.6635(stg179mn), $1.6850(stg286mn)

EUR/GBP stg0.8045(E195mn)

EUR/CHF Chf1.2150(E458mn)

AUD/USD $0.9275(A$687mn), $0.9320(A$330mn), $0.9333(A$229mn)

NZD/USD $0.8550(NZ$271mn)

USD/CAD C$1.0880($410mn), C$1.0920-25($532mn), C$1.0990

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation August +3.8% +3.1%

05:30 France GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter II 0.0% +0.1% 0.0%

05:30 France GDP, Y/Y (Preliminary) Quarter II +0.7% +0.1%

06:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter II +0.8% -0.1% -0.2%

06:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter II +2.5% +1.2%

06:45 France Non-Farm Payrolls (Preliminary) Quarter II -0.1% -0.1% +0.1%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m July 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y July -0.8% -0.8%

08:00 Eurozone ECB Monthly Report August

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. Yesterday's disappointing U.S. retail sales weighed on the greenback. Retail sales were flat in July, missing expectations for a 0.2%rise, after a 0.2% increase in June.

Retail sales, excluding automobile sales, climbed 0.1% in July, missing expectations for a 0.4% rise, after a 0.4% gain in June.

The New Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S dollar after the better-than-expected retail sales in New Zealand. Retail sales in New Zealand climbed 1.2% in the second quarter, exceeding expectations for a 1.0% rise, after a 0.8% gain in the first quarter. The first quarter's figure was revised up from a 0.7% increase.

Core retail sales, excluding automobiles and gas stations, jumped 1.2% in the second quarter, beating expectations for a 1.1% gain, after 1.0% in the first quarter. The first quarter's figure was revised up from a 0.8% increase.

The increase of retail sales in New Zealand was driven by automobile sales and parts retailing industry.

The Business NZ Performance of Manufacturing Index declined to 53.0 in July from 53.4 in June. June's figure was revised up from 53.3.

The Australian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the consumer inflation expectations from Australia. The Melbourne Institute released its consumer inflation expectations for Australia. The consumer inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in July from 3.8% in June.

The Japanese yen declined against the U.S. dollar after the disappointing core machinery orders from Japan. Core machinery orders in Japan rose 8.8% in June, missing expectations for a 15.5% gain, after a 19.5% decline in May.

On a yearly basis, core machinery orders in Japan decreased 3.0% in June, after a 14.3% fall in May.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

USD/JPY: the currency pair increased to Y102.65

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI July +0.1% -0.6%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) July +0.4% +0.4%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y July +0.8% +0.8%

09:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter II +0.2% +0.1%

09:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter II +0.9% +0.7%

12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index June +0.1% +0.2%

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims August 289 307

12:30 U.S. Import Price Index July +0.1% -0.2%

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3450 (5436)

$1.3408 (691)

$1.3386 (39)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3365

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3339 (1839)

$1.3294 (4029)

$1.3262 (4625)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 5 is 53883 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (5436);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 5 is 57027 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3100 (6052);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.06 versus 1.07 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 13

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.7000 (3035)

$1.6901 (2209)

$1.6803 (1285)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6680

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6595 (1834)

$1.6498 (1883)

$1.6399 (702)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 5 is 26529 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7000 (3035);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 5 is 28977 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6800 (4000);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.09 versus 1.19 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 13

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.