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19.04.2013
13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.2900, $1.2925, $1.3015, $1.3030, $1.3050, $1.3060, $1.3100, $1.3170

USD/JPY Y98.00, Y98.75, Y98.80, Y99.50, Y100.10

EUR/JPY Y129.50

GBP/USD $1.5250, $1.5300, $1.5400

EUR/GBP stg0.8595

USD/CHF Chf0.9390

AUD/USD $1.0250, $1.0350, $1.0355, $1.0450

USD/CAD C$1.0250, C$1.0400
12:31
Canada: Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, m/m, March +0.2% (forecast +0.2%)
12:31
Canada: Consumer price index, y/y, March +1.0% (forecast +1.0%)
12:31
Canada: Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y, March +1.4% (forecast +1.4%)
12:30
Canada: Wholesale Sales, m/m, February 0.0% (forecast +0.5%)
12:30
Canada: Consumer Price Index m / m, March +0.2% (forecast +0.2%)
12:15
European session: the British Pound has increased significantly

Data

02:00 China Leading Index March +1.3% 0.0%

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m February -1.4% -0.6% +0.6%

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) March -0.1% +0.2% -0.2%

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) March +1.2% +0.7% +0.4%

08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln February 13.8 13.9 16.3

10:00 Eurozone ECB Announces 3-Year LTRO Repayment


The pound strengthened against the dollar and the euro after the next governor of the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney is not signaled that the central bank will expand stimulus measures, which usually contribute to the depreciation of the currency. Note that Carney - the current head of the Bank of Canada, which will replace Mervyn King on July 1. Recall that at its last meeting, the Bank of England kept the size of the program to purchase assets, or so-called quantitative easing at 375 billion pounds ($ 576 billion) on April 4. Politicians also left its key interest rate at a record low of 0.5%. Meanwhile, note that the last representative of the Bank of England's Martin Weil said that the reduction in the rate of inflation in the UK can determine the further promotion of the central bank. He added that the favorable signals from wages and commodity prices point to the "greater room for maneuver" for the Bank of England. Weil acknowledged that the risks remain that the economy could shrink in Q1, which could lead to a new recession. Then it could become the third decline in the UK for 5 years.

The euro exchange rate was slightly higher against the dollar after the data, which were presented by the European Central Bank, have shown that up to February the euro area balance of payments surplus has increased markedly, being thus higher than analysts' forecasts, which was largely due to a significant drop in deficit in current transfers. According to the report, the seasonally adjusted balance of payments surplus rose to the level of EUR 16,3 billion, compared with € 13.8 billion in the previous month. Note that according to the average forecasts of experts, the surplus would rise to the level of 14.5 billion euros. In addition, the data showed that the surplus in trade in goods rose to EUR 12,2 billion, compared with EUR 12 billion in January. Meanwhile, it was learned that the surplus in services fell to 8 billion euros from 8.2 billion euros. The European Central Bank also said that revenues were down to the level of 5.9 billion euros from 6.2 billion euros a month earlier, while the deficit in current transfers decreased to EUR 9,8 billion to EUR 12.6 billion . The data also showed that without seasonal adjustments account surplus rose in February to the level of 12.1 billion euros, compared with a deficit of 5.6 billion euros in January.

The yen fell against the dollar after Finance Minister Taro Aso managed to avoid criticism by the G20 in Washington, because Japan devalued its own currency to a four-year low. Today continue meeting of finance ministers and central bankers G-20. Moreover, its approval of the actions of the Bank of Japan expressed the European Commissioner for Economic and Monetary Affairs Olli Rehn and IMF chief Christine Lagarde. "If we consider the problem of recession and deflation in Japan, it is possible to understand the actions of the Central Bank, aimed at a record easing in monetary policy and the weakening of the yen," - said Rehn. Additional pressure on the yen has that next week, on April 26, a regular meeting of the Bank of Japan. Investors expect that the regulator will continue to expand the course of incentive programs that have helped to lower the yen against the U.S. dollar by 19% over the past six months.


EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3111

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.5367, but later fell to $ 1.5332

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y99.35


At 12:30 GMT Canada will present the consumer price index and core consumer price index from the Bank of Canada in March, and will announce the change in the volume of wholesale trade for February.


12:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3195/200, $1.3170/80, $1.3150/55, $1.3120/25, $1.3090/10

Bids $1.3045/40, $1.3020, $1.3000, $1.2990, $1.2970, $1.2950/40


GBP/USD

Offers $1.5450/60, $1.5420/25, $1.5410/15, $1.5400, $1.5370/80

Bids $1.5310/00, $1.5270, $1.5255/50, $1.5200


AUD/USD

Offers $1.0420, $1.0395/00, $1.0380

Ордера на покупку $1.0310/00, $1.0285/80, $1.0260/50, $1.0240/30, $1.0220


EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8630/40, stg0.8610/15, stg0.8600, stg0.8550

Bids stg0.8500, stg0.8485/80, stg0.8460/50


EUR/JPY

Offers Y131.00, Y130.50, Y130.35/40, Y130.00

Bids Y129.00, Y128.55/50, Y128.00, Y127.80


USD/JPY

Offers Y100.25, Y100.00, Y99.70, Y99.50

Bids Y98.55/50, Y98.20, Y98.00, Y97.60/50


09:28
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.2900, $1.2925, $1.3015, $1.3030, $1.3050, $1.3060, $1.3100, $1.3170

USD/JPY Y98.00, Y98.75, Y98.80, Y99.50, Y100.10

EUR/JPY Y129.50

GBP/USD $1.5250, $1.5300, $1.5400

EUR/GBP stg0.8595

USD/CHF Chf0.9390

AUD/USD $1.0250, $1.0350, $1.0355, $1.0450

USD/CAD C$1.0250, C$1.0400

08:01
Eurozone: Current account, adjusted, bln , February 16.3 (forecast 13.9)
06:25
Asian session: The yen dropped for a fifth day

02:00 China Leading Index March +1.3% 0.0%

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m February -1.4% -0.6% +0.6%


The yen dropped against the dollar after Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso said policies that have driven the currency to a four-year low escaped criticism at the Group of 20 meeting in Washington. G-20 finance ministers and central bankers complete two days of talks today. A draft statement prepared for the end of the meeting suggested members will withhold direct criticism of Japan’s stimulus while affirming a commitment to avoid weakening their currencies to gain a trade advantage.

The yen weakened versus all of its 16 most-traded counterparts before the Bank of Japan meets next week amid expectations Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will push ahead with expanding stimulus that helped weaken the yen 19 percent against the dollar in six months. The BOJ meets on April 26 after pledging this month to double the monetary base in two years through expanded purchases of government bonds in a bid to end 15 years of deflation.

Demand for the dollar was tempered after manufacturing in the Philadelphia region expanded in April at a slower pace than projected as fewer orders prompted managers to cut back on hiring and inventories. The data follow a report on April 15 showing growth also cooled at factories in the New York Fed region. The Fed is buying $85 billion of bonds each month until it sees significant improvement in the jobs market. A Labor Department report on April 5 showed employment growth unexpectedly slowed last month to 88,000 workers.


EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.3075

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.5295.

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y98.65.


The calendar gets underway at 0600GMT, with the release of the German March PPI numbers, followed at 0700GMT with the Spanish February industrial orders numbers. Further data is due at 0800GMT, with the release of the ECB's February current account data and the Italian February industrial orders. As noted, the G20 finance ministers meet again in Washington. Ahead of that, at 1130GMT, ECB Governing Council Member Jens Weidmann and German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble hold a press conference in Washington.


06:01
Germany: Producer Price Index (MoM), March -0.2% (forecast +0.2%)
06:01
Germany: Producer Price Index (YoY), March +0.4% (forecast +0.7%)
05:21
Currencies. Daily history for Apr 18'2013:

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3048 +0,11%

GBP/USD $1,5279 +0,26%

USD/CHF Chf0,9326 0,00%

USD/JPY Y98,22 -0,03%

EUR/JPY Y128,16 +0,06%

GBP/JPY Y150,05 +0,21%

AUD/USD $1,0303 -0,04%

NZD/USD $0,8410 -0,42%

USD/CAD C$1,0257 -0,03%
05:06
Schedule for today, Friday, Apr 19’2013:

02:00 China Leading Index March +1.3%

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m February -1.4% -0.6%

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) March -0.1% +0.2%

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) March +1.2% +0.7%

08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln February 14.8 13.9

10:00 Eurozone ECB Announces 3-Year LTRO Repayment

12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m February +0.3% +0.5%

12:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m March +1.2% +0.2%

12:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y March +1.2% +1.0%

12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, m/m March +0.8% +0.2%

12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y March +1.4% +1.4%

14:00 IMF IMF Meetings April

15:00 G20 G20 Meetings April

16:00 U.S. FOMC Member Jeremy Stein Speaks
04:32
Japan: All Industry Activity Index, m/m, February +0.6% (forecast -0.6%)

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