Tin tức thì trường

USD/JPY 101.00, 101.50, 102.00, 102.15, 102.55-65, 102.70, 103.00, 103.10,

EUR/USD 1.3775 1.3800

GBP/USD 1.6600

AUD/USD 0.9280 0.9300 0.9335

USD/CAD 1.0900 1.0915 1.0930 1.0940 1.0950 1.0965 1.1000 1.1095 1.1100

AUD/JPY 95.00

EUR/GBP 0.8300

Economic calendar:

04:30    Japan                    All Industry Activity Index, m/m            February             +1.0%  -0.5%    -1.1%

08:00    Switzerland            SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks                                                

08:30    United Kingdom      Retail Sales (MoM)                                March                 +1.7%  -0.4%    +0.1%

08:30    United Kingdom      Retail Sales (YoY)                                 March                 +3.7%  +3.8%   +4.2%

08:30    United Kingdom      BBA Mortgage Approvals                      March                  47.6      48.9       45.9

The euro increased against the U.S. dollar but lost its gains. There are no economic data to be published in the Eurozone.

The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies ahead the publication of Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. Analysts forecasted the increase to 83.2 in April from 82.6 in March.

The British pound was up the U.S. dollar. The British currency was supported by the better-than-expected retail sales. Retail sales increased 0.1% in March. Analysts forecasted the fall of 0.4%. But the mortgage approvals dropped to 45,900 in March. The projected figure was 48,900. The mortgage approvals in February were revised down to 47,200 from 47,600.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

USD/JPY: the currency pair declined to Y101.95

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

13:43    U.S.                       Services PMI (Preliminary)                                                     April      55.3      56.2     

13:55    U.S.                       Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally)           April      82.6      83.2

EUR/USD

Offers  $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3900, $1.3880-85, $1.3860/65

Bids $1.3800, $1.3785/75, $1.3765/60

GBP/USD

Offers  $1.6900, $1.6870/80, $1.6840/50

Bids  $1.6765-60, $1.6750/45, $1.6680

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9395/00, $0.9350,  $0.9305/10

Bids $0.9250, $0.9220, $0.9200, $0.9155/50

EUR/JPY

Offers  Y142.80, Y142.50, Y142.00

Bids  Y141.00, Y140.50

USD/JPY

Offers  Y102.95/00, Y102.65/70, Y102.50

Bids Y102.10/00, Y101.85/80, Y101.50

EUR/GBP

Offers  stg0.8250

Bids stg0.8190-80, stg0.8150

USD/JPY 101.00, 101.50, 102.00, 102.15, 102.55-65, 102.70, 103.00, 103.10,

EUR/USD 1.3775 1.3800

GBP/USD 1.6600

AUD/USD 0.9280 0.9300 0.9335

USD/CAD 1.0900 1.0915 1.0930 1.0940 1.0950 1.0965 1.1000 1.1095 1.1100

AUD/JPY 95.00

EUR/GBP 0.8300

Economic calendar (GMT0):

04:30    Japan                    All Industry Activity Index, m/m            February             +1.0%  -0.5%    -1.1%

08:00    Switzerland            SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks                                                 

08:30    United Kingdom      Retail Sales (MoM)                                March                 +1.7%  -0.4%    +0.1%

08:30    United Kingdom      Retail Sales (YoY)                                 March                 +3.7%  +3.8%   +4.2%

08:30    United Kingdom      BBA Mortgage Approvals                      March                  47.6      48.9       45.9

The U.S. dollar declined against the most major currencies. Tensions between Russia and Ukraine have a negative influence. Investors are concerned that an escalation of the Ukraine crisis is imminent. They also concerned the USA will be increasingly involved in the Ukraine crisis and that will burden the U.S. economy

Stock markets in Australia and New Zealand were closed for the public holiday. There were no significant price movements.

The Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the inflation data publication. Tokyo Consumer Price Index rose 1.3% in April. It is the same increase as in the previous month. Tokyo CPI excluding fresh food climbed 2.7% in April from 1.0% in March. The rise of CPI did not meet the expectations. Analysts forecasted the increase of 2.7%.

National Consumer Price Index improved from the previous month. The index climbed 1.6% in March (February: 1.5%). National CPI excluding fresh food did not meet the expectations. The index was up 1.3%, expected the rise of 1.4%.

Investors think that the Japan’s inflation will decline later this year. If it actually happens, the Bank of Japan could trigger new easing action. But the Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is convinced Japan’s inflation is on a path to reach the target of 2.0%.

EUR/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.3835

GBP/USD: the currency pair was up to $1.6810

USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y102.50

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

13:43    U.S.                       Services PMI (Preliminary)                                                     April      55.3      56.2      

13:55    U.S.                       Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally)           April      82.6      83.2

Tokyo Consumer Price Index rose 1.3% in April. It is the same increase as in the previous month. Tokyo CPI excluding fresh food climbed 2.7% in April from 1.0% in March. The rise of CPI did not meet the expectations. Analysts forecasted the increase of 2.7%.

National Consumer Price Index improved from the previous month. The index climbed 1.6% in March (February: 1.5%). National CPI excluding fresh food did not meet the expectations. The index was up 1.3%, expected the rise of 1.4%.

Investors think that the Japan’s inflation will decline later this year. If it actually happens, the Bank of Japan could trigger new easing action. But the Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is convinced Japan’s inflation is on a path to reach the target of 2.0%.

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3900 (2152)

$1.3876 (1543)

$1.3858 (1152)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3831

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3813 (63)

$1.3792 (337)

$1.3773 (1494)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 25859  contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (2753);

- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 32524 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3600 (3815);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.26 versus 1.24 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 24.

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.7100 (1264)

$1.7001 (1268)

$1.6902 (1612)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6805

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6697 (780)

$1.6599 (1327)

$1.6500 (1228)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 16866 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6800 (1701);

- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 19357 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6200 (1870);

- Theratio of PUT/CALLwas 1.15 versus 1.15 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 24.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.