Tin tức thì trường

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1976 +0,48%

GBP/USD $1,2928 +0,41%

USD/CHF Chf0,9519 -0,48%

USD/JPY Y108,79 -0,48%

EUR/JPY Y130,30 -0,01%

GBP/JPY Y140,66 -0,06%

AUD/USD $0,7936 +0,07%

NZD/USD $0,7243 +0,06%

USD/CAD C$1,2528 +0,39%

06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y August 2.9%

06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index August 0.3%

06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey September 10.8 10.8

06:45 France GDP, q/q (Revised) Quarter II 0.5% 0.5%

12:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, y/y July 3.3%

12:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, m/m July -1%

13:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y June 5.7% 5.7%

14:00 U.S. Consumer confidence August 121.1 120

22:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m July -1.0%

23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y July 2.1% 1%

EUR/USD: $1.1600(E954 млн), $1.1650(E343 млн), $1.1740(E468 млн), $1.1800(E411 млн), $1.1850(E528 млн), $1.1900(E444 млн), $1.1925(E337 млн)

USD/JPY: Y109.50($305 млн), Y110.00($451 млн), Y110.70-75($623 млн)

AUD/USD: $0.8050(A$599 млн)

• Average GDP growth at 2.2 pct in 2017-2020 vs 1.6 pct in pvs fcast

• Sees urals crude averaging $44.20/bbl in 2017-2020 vs $42.60/bbl in pvs fcast

The international trade deficit was $65.1 billion in July, up $1.1 billion from $64.0 billion in June. Exports of goods for July were $127.1 billion, $1.6 billion less than June exports. Imports of goods for July were $192.2 billion, $0.5 billion less than June imports.

Wholesale inventories for July, adjusted for seasonal variations but not for price changes, were estimated at an end-of-month level of $601.2 billion, up 0.4 percent (±0.4 percent)* from June 2017, and were up 3.1 percent (±0.7 percent) from July 2016. The May 2017 to June 2017 percentage change was revised from up 0.7 percent (±0.4 percent) to up 0.6 percent (±0.4 percent).

• Sees no immediate risks for russian banking system

The annual growth rate of the broad monetary aggregate M3 decreased to 4.5% in July 2017, from 5.0% in June, averaging 4.8% in the three months up to July. The components of M3 showed the following developments. The annual growth rate of the narrower aggregate, including currency in circulation and overnight deposits (M1), decreased to 9.1% in July, from 9.7% in June.

The annual growth rate of short-term deposits other than overnight deposits (M2-M1) was more negative at -3.2% in July, from -3.0% in June. The annual growth rate of marketable instruments (M3-M2) was more negative at -2.8% in July, from -0.6% in June. Within M3, the annual growth rate of deposits placed by households decreased to 4.5% in July, from 4.9% in June, while the annual growth rate of deposits placed by non-financial corporations decreased to 6.8%.

• Central banks around globe could work towards better communication and exchange of information to improve trust

• Patience is needed due to labor market slack and slow productivity growth

• To announce support to stay in EU single market, customs union during transitional period after Brexit

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2038 (4752)

$1.2004 (2488)

$1.1974 (4774)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1920

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1854 (168)

$1.1818 (962)

$1.1760 (3100)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 129368 contracts (according to data from August, 25) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5122);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3064 (1649)

$1.3024 (3344)

$1.2959 (1554)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2877

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2800 (2503)

$1.2767 (2352)

$1.2729 (1847)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 8 is 36651 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3344);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 31864 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2850 (2503);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.87 versus 0.88 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 25

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.