Tin tức thì trường

Crude oil rose for the first time in three days on concern escalating tensions in Ukraine may disrupt global supplies and U.S. employers boosted payrolls by the most in two years.

The U.S. and the European Union blame Russia for fomenting unrest in Ukraine’s easternmost, largely Russian-speaking regions and have threatened wider sanctions to target Russia’s economy unless Putin helps ease tensions.

The 288,000 gain in U.S. employment was the biggest since January 2012, the Labor Department reported. The unemployment rate dropped to 6.3%, the lowest level since September 2008.

WTI for June delivery advamced 0.50%, to $99.92 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Brent for June settlement rose $1.06, or 0.98%, to $108.71 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.

Gold prices rebounded from session low and rose above ;1300 level as escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine boosted demand for the precious metal as a haven.

Gold fell at the begining of american session after strong U.S. job report and showed lows below $1280 area.

Ukraine sent armored vehicles and artillery to retake Slovyansk, a stronghold for pro-separatist forces, defying President Vladimir Putin’s demand to pull back troops with Russia’s army massed across the border.

Currently gold was up 1.53% at $1,301.70 an ounce. Session low was established at $1,274.80 an ounce

The U.S. dollar jumped against the most major currencies after the release of better-than-expected U.S. labour market data, but later lost all its gains due to concerns on tensions in Ukraine. The U.S. inflation rate dropped to 6.3% in April from 6.7% in March. It is the lowest level in more than 5 years. Analysts forecasted the decrease to 6.6%. 288,000 new nonfarm jobs were created in April, the biggest growth in one month since the start of 2012. March’s figure was revised up to 203,000 from 192,000. The projected figure was an increase of 211,000. Factory Orders fell to 1.1% in March from 1.6% in February (forecast: 1.3%).

The euro recovered its losses against the U.S. dollar. Market participants were disappointed by Spain’s manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI). The index dropped to 52.7 in April from 52.8 in March. Analysts expected an increase to 53.4. But Eurozone’s PMI was higher. The index climbed to 53.4 in April from 53.0 in March (forecast: 53.3). Eurozone’s unemployment decreased slightly in March. The unemployment rate dropped to 11.8% from 11.9% in February (forecast: 11.9%).

The British pound recovered its losses against the U.S. dollar. Investors were disappointed by the worse-than-expected U.K. construction data. The U.K. construction purchasing managers' index decreased to 60.8 in April from 62.5 in March. Analysts forecasted the decrease to 62.2.

The New Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. No economic data was published in New Zealand today.

The Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. Australia’s Producer Price Index (PPI) climbed 0.9% in the first quarter (4. Quarter 2013: 0.2%). Analysts forecasted an increase of 0.5%. HIA New Home Sales were up only 0.2% in March (February: 4.6%).

The Japanese yen dropped against the U.S. dollar, but later recovered its losses. The U.S. dollar was supported by the better-than-expected U.S. personal spending in March, published on Thursday, and U.S. labour market data. The U.S. personal spending climbed 0.9% in March from an increase of 0.5% in February. The projected figure was 0.7%. Due to concerns about the situation in Ukraine, the yen recovered all its losses.

Some economic data was published in Japan today. Household spending increased 7.2% in March (forecast: 1.7%) from the decline of 2.5% in February. Japan's monetary base decreased to +48.5% in April from +54.8% in March. Analysts forecasted an increase to 55.3%. The unemployment rate remained unchanged as expected at 3.6% in March (forecast: 3.6%).

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics published the U.S. labour market data today. The U.S. inflation rate dropped to 6.3% in April from 6.7% in March. It is the lowest level in more than 5 years. Analysts forecasted the decrease to 6.6%.

288,000 new nonfarm jobs were created in April, the biggest growth in one month since the start of 2012. March’s figure was revised up to 203,000 from 192,000. The projected figure was an increase of 211,000.

Hiring was broad-based. These figures showed that the U.S. economy is improving. Despite the better-than-expected figures, some problems remained. The unemployment rates for teenagers (19.1%), black people (11.6%) and Hispanics (7.3%) are high but decreased slightly in April.

EUR/USD $1.3800, $1.3840, $1.3900, $1.3950

USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.75, Y102.50/60, Y103.25

AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9350

AUD/JPY Y96.50

USD/CAD C$1.1020, C$1.1030, C$1.1045, C$1.1075

U.S. stock-index futures were little changed as investors evaluate employment data.

Global markets:

Nikkei 14,457.51 -27.62 -0.19%

Hang Seng 22,260.67 +126.70 +0.57%

FTSE 6,815.31 +6.44 +0.09%

CAC 4,462.41 -24.98 -0.56%

DAX 9,561.26 -41.97 -0.44%

Crude oil $99.80 (+0.37%)

Gold $1277.60 (-0.45%)

The U.S. inflation dropped to 6.3% in April from 6.7% in March (forecast: 6.6%). 288,000 nonfarm jobs were added in April. Market participants expected the creation of 211,000 jobs.

EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.3813

GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.6821

USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to 103.02

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3900/05, $1.3890, $1.3870

Bids $1.3835, $1.3810/00, $1.3775, $1.3735

GBP/USD

Offers $1.7030, $1.7000, $1.6970, $1.6920

Bids $1.6830, $1.6805/00, $1.6760

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9395/00, $0.9350,  $0.9315/20

Bids $0.9250, $0.9220, $0.9200, $0.9155/50, $0.9100

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.90/00, Y142.80, Y142.50

Bids Y141.60/50, Y141.10/00, Y140.40/50, Y139.95/00

USD/JPY

Offers Y103.40, Y102.95/00, Y102.70/80

Bids Y102.10/00, Y101.85/80, Y101.50, Y101.30, Y101.00

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8330, stg0.8300/10, stg0.8280, stg0.8235/40

Bids stg0.8195/85, stg0.8150, stg0.8100

Economic calendar (GMT0):

01:00    Australia                HIA New Home Sales, m/m        March                +4.6%                +0.2%

01:30    Australia                Producer price index, q / q        Quarter I             +0.2%  +0.6%   +0.9%

01:30    Australia                Producer price index, y/y           Quarter I             +1.9%  +2.1%   +2.5%

07:30    Switzerland            Manufacturing PMI                    April                   54.4      55.1       55.8

07:48    France                  Manufacturing PMI (Finally)         April                   52.1      50.9       51.2

07:53    Germany               Manufacturing PMI (Finally)         April                   53.7      54.2       54.1

07:58    Eurozone              Manufacturing PMI (Finally)          April                  53.0      53.3       53.4

08:30    United Kingdom     PMI Construction                       April                  62.5      62.2       60.8

09:00    Eurozone                Unemployment Rate                March               11.9%   11.9%    11.8%

The euro showed no clear direction against the U.S. dollar. Investors are waiting for the publication of U.S. labour market data. But Eurozone’s PMI was higher. Markets were also unimpressed by the release of Eurozone’s economic data. Eurozone’s manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) climbed to 53.4 in April from 53.0 in March (forecast: 53.3). Eurozone’s unemployment decreased slightly in March. The unemployment rate dropped to 11.8% from 11.9% in February (forecast: 11.9%).

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. Market participants are cautious ahead of U.S. nonfarm payrolls release. Analysts expect that the unemployment rate should decrease to 6.6% in April from 6.7% in March and 211,000 jobs should be added in April.

The British pound was down against the U.S. dollar. Investors were disappointed by the worse-than-expected U.K. construction data. The U.K. construction purchasing managers' index decreased to 60.8 in April from 62.5 in March. Analysts forecasted the decrease to 62.2.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to 1.6854

USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to Y102.57

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30    U.S.                  Average workweek           April      34.5      34.5     

12:30    U.S.                  Average hourly earnings   April      0.0%     +0.2% 

12:30    U.S.                  Nonfarm Payrolls             April      192        211       

12:30    U.S.                  Unemployment Rate       April      6.7%     6.6%    

14:00    U.S.                  Factory Orders               March   +1.6%  +1.3%

European stocks traded mixed ahead of the release of U.S. nonfarm payrolls. Analysts expect that the unemployment rate should decrease to 6.6% in April from 6.7% in March and 211,000 jobs should be added in April.

Market participants were disappointed by Spain’s manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI). The index dropped to 52.7 in April from 52.8 in March. Analysts expected an increase to 53.4. But Eurozone’s PMI was higher. The index climbed to 53.4 in April from 53.0 in March (forecast: 53.3). Eurozone’s unemployment decreased slightly in March. The unemployment rate dropped to 11.8% from 11.9% in February (forecast: 11.9%).

Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc shares increased 9.1% after announcing the better-than-expected quarter earnings. Company’ net income tripled in the first quarter of the year.

InterContinental Hotels Group Plc was higher 7.5% after announcing the growth of 6% in the first quarter.

Current figures:

Name                                   Price                                    Change                 Change %

FTSE 100                              6,815.16                              +6.29                     +0.09%

DAX                                      9,590                                    -13.23                     -0.14%

CAC 40                                 4,466.99                              -20.40                     -0.45%

Asian stock markets were exhibiting a mixed trend ahead of the U.S. labour market data release. Analysts expect that the unemployment rate should decrease to 6.6% in April from 6.7% in March and 211,000 jobs should be added in April.

The Shanghai stock market was closed for a public holiday.

Indexes on the close:

Nikkei 225                    14,457.51     -27.62     -0.19%

Hang Seng                   22,260.67     +126.70     +0.57%

Shanghai Composite    closed

Sony shares decreased 1.5% after cutting its earnings guidance for the third time in a year.

EUR/USD $1.3800, $1.3840, $1.3900, $1.3950

USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.75, Y102.50/60, Y103.25

AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9350

AUD/JPY Y96.50

USD/CAD C$1.1020, C$1.1030, C$1.1045, C$1.1075

Economic calendar (GMT0):

01:00    Australia                HIA New Home Sales, m/m        March                +4.6%                +0.2%

01:30    Australia                Producer price index, q / q        Quarter I             +0.2%  +0.6%   +0.9%

01:30    Australia                Producer price index, y/y           Quarter I             +1.9%  +2.1%   +2.5%

07:30    Switzerland            Manufacturing PMI                    April                   54.4      55.1       55.8

07:48    France                  Manufacturing PMI (Finally)         April                   52.1      50.9       51.2

07:53    Germany               Manufacturing PMI (Finally)         April                   53.7      54.2       54.1

07:58    Eurozone              Manufacturing PMI (Finally)          April                  53.0      53.3       53.4

08:30    United Kingdom     PMI Construction                       April                  62.5      62.2       60.8

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the labour market data release in the U.S. Analysts expect that the unemployment rate should decrease to 6.6% in April from 6.7% in March and 211,000 jobs should be added in April.

The New Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. No economic data was published in New Zealand today.

The Australian dollar traded little changed against the U.S. dollar. The Australian currency was supported the better-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI). Australia’s PPI climbed 0.9% in the first quarter (4. Quarter 2013: 0.2%). Analysts forecasted an increase of 0.5%. HIA New Home Sales were up only 0.2% in March (February: 4.6%).

The Japanese yen dropped against the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar was supported by the better-than-expected U.S. personal spending in March, published on Thursday. The U.S. personal spending climbed 0.9% in March from an increase of 0.5% in February. The projected figure was 0.7%.

Some economic data was published in Japan. Market participants remained unimpressed by this data. Household spending increased 7.2% in March (forecast: 1.7%) from the decline of 2.5% in February. Japan's monetary base decreased to +48.5% in April from +54.8% in March. Analysts forecasted an increase to 55.3%. The unemployment rate remained unchanged as expected at 3.6% in March (forecast: 3.6%).

EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.3855

GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

USD/JPY: the currency pair was up to Y102.35

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

09:00    Eurozone          Unemployment Rate       March   11.9%   11.9%   

12:30    U.S.                  Average workweek           April      34.5      34.5      

12:30    U.S.                  Average hourly earnings   April      0.0%     +0.2%  

12:30    U.S.                  Nonfarm Payrolls             April      192        211        

12:30    U.S.                  Unemployment Rate       April      6.7%     6.6%     

14:00    U.S.                  Factory Orders               March   +1.6%  +1.3%

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3933 (2936)

$1.3908 (2267)

$1.3880 (1143)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3861

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3830 (364)

$1.3808 (1113)

$1.3772 (2614)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 27109  contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (3239);

- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 34430 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3600 (4085);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.27 versus 1.23 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 1

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.7200 (1074)

$1.7100 (1375)

$1.7001 (1225)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6884

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6798 (1259)

$1.6699 (926)

$1.6600 (1087)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is  17711 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6900 (2329);

- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 19833 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6200 (1869);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.12 versus 1.12 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 1

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.