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The price of oil has grown considerably today , rising at the same time to $ 95 (WTI) and $ 106 (Brent), which was associated with an unexpectedly large drop in gasoline inventories in the United States, and the concerns about reduced supplies from Libya.
Note that the data of the Department of Energy on changes in stocks in the U.S. for the week October 27 - November 2 showed that:
- Oil stocks rose 1.577 million barrels to 385.448 million barrels ;
- Gasoline inventories decreased by 3,755 million barrels . to 210.036 million barrels . ;
- Distillate stocks fell 4.899 million barrels . to 117.817 million barrels .
- Refining capacity utilization rate of 86.8 % versus 87.3 % a week earlier .
We also add that according to preliminary data analysis organization , " American Petroleum Institute " (API), which came out yesterday, commercial crude oil inventories in the United States on the basis of the reporting week ending November 1 , increased by 871 thousand barrels per day . , While the industry experts forecast a week before the rise in oil inventories at 2.4-2.6 million barrels.
According to analysts , the overall picture is still negative for oil , given the low level of demand, especially in Europe.
Meanwhile , we note that the increase in oil prices today are also due to the active technical purchases of oil futures , which on the eve of significantly dropped in price , providing favorable conditions for opening long positions.
In addition, the rise in the cost of oil to maintain a positive macroeconomic data from the euro zone . The composite index of business activity in the region , in the final assessment in October fell to 51.9 points from 52.2 points in September , when the figure stood at the highest in more than two years level. However, the data were better than analysts' forecasts , which believed that the rate will remain at the level of the initial assessment of 51.5 points.
The cost of the December futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to $ 94.95 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
December futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture rose $ 0.37 to $ 106.01 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.
Gold prices rose slightly today , breaking with the longest string of declines in nearly six months, as the dollar fell to strengthen expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will expand its monetary stimulus . Note that , according to John Williams , president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco , the economic growth in the U.S. in recent months, did not meet expectations. In this regard , he noted that the situation in the labor market are unlikely to improve without incentives.
It should be noted that the timing of a possible narrowing of the monthly bond purchases by the Fed was the main factor that influenced the price of gold. Precious metal has lost a fifth of its value so far on fears that the Fed will reduce the volume of stimulation.
Recent mixed economic data cast doubt on the real strength of the U.S. economy, leading some economists were made with the assumption that the Fed will change its policy before the end of the year.
Add that trading volumes were low in the past few sessions , and , most likely, and will remain so in the coming days , as investors are awaiting data on employment in the non-agricultural sector of the economy, which may give more clues about the state of the economy and future incentives by the Fed .
Also, market participants are waiting for the ECB 's interest rate. Improvement in macroeconomic indicators in the U.S. and the UK in sharp contrast with the data from the euro zone , where in the last week have been reported record- high unemployment and negative inflation . It is expected that the ECB will leave rates unchanged , but the dynamics of gold will also depend on the value of the dollar relative to the single European currency.
Demand for physical gold has not grown much as traders are waiting for the determined price direction . Customers in Asia are hoping to wait for a lower price.
The cost of the December gold futures on COMEX today rose to $ 1316.90 per ounce.
GOLD 1,310.10 -4.60 -0.35%
OIL (WTI) 93.40 -1.22 -1.29%
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