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10.01.2013
17:27
Oil rose to the highest level in three months

Oil rose to the highest level in three months as exports from China accelerated in December and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said “a gradual recovery should start” in the region this year.

Prices advanced as much as 1.7 percent after China’s customs agency said overseas sales in the world’s second-largest fuel-consuming country jumped 14.1 percent last month from a year earlier.

Chinese December exports exceeded the 5 percent median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of 40 economists. Exports for all of 2012 rose 7.9 percent, according to the Beijing-based General Administration of Customs. The country’s December trade surplus almost doubled from a year earlier to $31.6 billion.

China imported 271 million metric tons of crude last year, 6.8 percent more than in 2011, the customs agency reported. It ranks behind only the U.S. in term of oil consumption.

Oil also gained as the euro surged against the dollar on Draghi’s remarks. The euro rose as much as 1.2 percent against the dollar on Draghi’s remarks and as Spain sold more than the maximum target at its first debt auction of the year. A stronger common currency and weaker dollar boost oil’s appeal as an investment alternative.

 Oil also gained as Saudi Arabia reduced production in December to a 19-month low, according to a Gulf official with knowledge of the kingdom’s energy policy. Saudi Arabia cut production by 4.9 percent to 9.025 million barrels a day in December, said the official, who asked not to be identified because the information is confidential.

Crude oil for February delivery gained to $94.70, the highest intraday level since Sept. 19.

Brent oil for February settlement increased 44 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $112.20 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Volume was 75 percent above the 100-day average. Brent’s premium to New York futures narrowed to $18.24 a barrel from $18.66 yesterday.

16:36
Gold rose on Draghi’s comments


The price of gold rose sharply, repeating the dynamics of the euro / dollar, after the results of the ECB meeting. ECB rate was not reduced and was left at the level of 0.75% in spite of the fears that arose last month after Draghi said at a press conference that lowering rates "has been discussed."

This time, few economists expected lower rates, Bloomberg consensus forecast shows that only 5 out of 55 economists expected a rate cut today. Market rally began after ECB President Mario Draghi began to speak at the press conference, saying that the decision on the rate at this time was unanimous.

Draghi has shown some inclination to a loose monetary policy, stating that "the risks surrounding the prospects for the euro area is still bearish." He also added that inflation this year will fall below 2% from the 2.2% observed in late 2012.

Answering journalists' questions, Draghi said it was too early to think about folding super soft monetary policy because the economy is still too weak.

February futures price of gold on COMEX today rose to 1678.80 dollars an ounce, and then decreased to the level of 1678.80 dollars per ounce.

06:28
Commodities. Daily history for Jan 9’2013:

Change % Change Last


Gold 1,658 -4 -0.25%

Oil 93.19 +0.04 +0.04%

06:06
Schedule for today, Thursday, Jan 10’2013:

00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November -7.6% +3.1%


00:30 Australia Building Permits, y/y November +14.5% +11.6% +13.2%

02:00 China Trade Balance, bln December 19.6 20.1

05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index November 92.8 93.1

05:00 Japan Coincident Index November 90.7

07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m November -0.7% +0.2%

07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y November -3.6% -4.0%

07:45 France CPI, m/m December -0.2% +0.4%

07:45 France CPI, y/y December +1.4% +1.3%

12:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility - 375 375

12:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision - 0.50% 0.50%

12:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement -

12:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision - 0.75% 0.75%

13:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference -

13:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) November +15.0% +2.4%

13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index November +0.2% +0.2%

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 372 361

15:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories November +0.6% +0.2%

18:10 U.S. FOMC Member Esther George Speaks -

19:00 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks -

23:50 Japan Current Account Total, bln November 376.9 -30.1

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