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30.08.2013
15:41
Oil: an overview of the market situation

Oil prices fell slightly today , demonstrating the fickle course of trading , as concerns about supply disruptions from the Middle East decreased after Britain said it would not join any military action against Syria.

Note that the price of oil is still on the way to the biggest monthly gain in a year: in August, the price of oil rose more than 6 %, as the unrest in Libya reduced the volume of production by about 1 million barrels a day. In addition, there was a decline of production in Iraq , Nigeria and other countries.

The upward trend in prices seemed stalled after the British Parliament rejected a proposal by Prime Minister David Cameron , which would make Britain complicit in the attack on Syria. This decision was a big surprise to many , especially to the U.S., as Britain was to become allies in the fight against Syria. It should be noted that U.S. officials , meanwhile, said they were ready to take action against Syria , even without specific promises of support for the union . Recall that the situation around Syria escalated after the Aug. 21 media quoted a statement reported by the opposition about the alleged use of chemical weapons in the suburbs of Damascus. After that, in the West, where the earlier application called sarin Syrian authorities condition of direct intervention in the conflict, openly talking about a possible military intervention in the Arab republic.

Analysts from Commerzbank claim that if the tension on the market once again weakened , investors will reduce a significant number of previously accumulated long positions. Without a doubt, this is true even in the case of a direct attack , provided that the conflict does not spread to other countries in the region . As a result, oil prices could fall sharply , as has often happened in the past.

The cost of the October futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) fell to $ 108.16 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

October futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture rose to $ 114.85 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

15:20
Gold: an overview of the market situation

The cost of gold futures declined moderately , falling below $ 1,400 an ounce on speculation that a U.S. military strike on Syria is already looking less likely. In addition, the course of trade continue to impact the stronger U.S. data that confirm expectations that the Federal Reserve may reduce the size of the program to purchase assets in the near future .

Note that yesterday , U.S. officials acknowledged that they did not have conclusive evidence that Syrian President Bashar al- Assad personally ordered the use of chemical weapons against civilians in the past week. In addition, we add that the UK Parliament has decided not to participate in any military operation led by the United States against Syria.

As for the data, one of the reports in the U.S. showed that the PMI Managers Association in Chicago with correction for August rose to 53.0 against 52.3 in July. The growth was slightly weaker than economists' expectations of 53.2 . Recall that values ​​above 50 are an indicator of accelerated growth in the economy. All the components in July were in the expansion , with growth compared to the previous month showed the sector procurement prices and new orders , a decrease was observed in the sectors of employment and deliveries.

Investors scrutinize economic data to gauge the strength of the economic recovery and to predict when the Federal Reserve will cut back its program to purchase assets , which now costs $ 85 billion a month. The early termination of stimulation may impair such assets like gold, which received support from the central bank in the past four years.

The cost of the October gold futures on COMEX today dropped to $ 1396.80 per ounce.

05:21
Commodities. Daily history for Aug 29’2013:

Change % Change Last

GOLD 1,407.50  -11.00 -0.78%

OIL (WTI) 108.31  -1.79 -1.63%

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