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Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 22-08-2013
The euro rose against the dollar as strong data on manufacturing activity in China, the U.S. and the euro area have led to a demand for risky assets.
Business activity in the euro area in August showed the fastest growth rate of more than two years, signaling that the euro zone's economic recovery is gaining momentum. Any data presented on Thursday Markit. The composite index of business activity, based on a survey of purchasing managers, rose in August to 51.7 against 50.5 in July, and it was the tallest of its value in 26 months. According to Markit, increased activity was observed both the industrial sector and the service sector.
Manufacturing activity in the U.S. in August rose to its highest level in five months, as rising employment and new orders accelerated. According to the data, a preliminary purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the manufacturing sector in the U.S. August rose to 53.9 against the final value of the July 53.7. This is the highest level since March.
The index of business activity in the industry was established at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas highest since June 2011, levels, and housing cost index showed growth in line with expectations at 0.7%. According to the index of leading indicators was recorded 0.6% increase in the average forecast of +0.5% m / m A few disappointing weekly statistics on the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits, which showed the growth rate up to 336 thousand with expectations of 322 thousand
Australian dollar retreated from a two-week low after the release of positive statistics from the PRC. In August, the index of production in China rose after falling to its lowest level in 11 months, that is, there are signs that the second largest economy in the world can become stronger after two quarters of decline. Preliminary index of purchasing managers in the manufacturing of HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics was 50.1 against 47.7 in July.
EUR/USD $1.3225, $1.3250, $1.3300, $1.3320, $1.3370, $1.3385, $1.3395, $1.3420, $1.3425, $1.3430
USD/JPY Y97.00, Y97.20, Y97.75, Y98.50, Y99.00
GBP/USD $1.5525, $1.5600, $1.5650, $1.5660, $1.5685, $1.5725
GBP/CAD C$1.6300
USD/CHF Chf0.9400, Chf0.9490
EUR/CHF Chf1.2275, Chf1.2400
AUD/USD $0.8900, $0.9000, $0.9100, $0.9125, $0.9150, , $0.9180, $0.9205
USD/CAD C$1.0380, C$1.0400
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3500, $1.3475/85, $1.3450, $1.3410/20, $1.3380/400
Bids $1.3300, $1.3285/80, $1.3250
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5780/85, $1.5750/55, $1.5720/25, $1.5685/700, $1.5665/70
Bids $1.5560, $1.5555/50, $1.5505/00, $1.5495/90
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9150, $0.9120, $0.9090/00, $0.9075/80, $0.9045/50
Bids $0.8975/65, $0.8935/30, $0.8920, $0.8900, $0.8880/75
EUR/JPY
Offers Y132.50, Y131.95/00, Y131.80
Bids Y130.80/60, Y130.20/15, Y130.00, Y129.85/80, Y129.50
USD/JPY
Offers Y99.90/00, Y99.50, Y99.20, Y98.95/00, Y98.75/80
Bids Y98.35/30, Y98.10/00, Y97.85/80, Y97.50, Y97.20/10, Y97.00
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8640/45, stg0.8620/30, stg0.8600/10, stg0.8575/85
Bids stg0.8510/00, stg0.8485/75
EUR/USD $1.3225, $1.3250, $1.3300, $1.3320, $1.3370, $1.3385, $1.3395, $1.3420, $1.3425, $1.3430
USD/JPY Y97.00, Y97.20, Y97.75, Y98.50, Y99.00
GBP/USD $1.5525, $1.5600, $1.5650, $1.5660, $1.5685, $1.5725
GBP/CAD C$1.6300
USD/CHF Chf0.9400, Chf0.9490
EUR/CHF Chf1.2275, Chf1.2400
AUD/USD $0.8900, $0.9000, $0.9100, $0.9125, $0.9150, , $0.9180, $0.9205
USD/CAD C$1.0380, C$1.0400
00:00 Australia Conference Board Australia Leading Index June 0.0% -0.2%
01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 47.7 48.3 50.1
The dollar advanced versus most of its major counterparts before housing and employment data that may signal continued recovery in the U.S., boosting the case for a reduction in central bank stimulus. The U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency will probably say today its house price index climbed 0.6 percent in June after a 0.7 percent advance the previous month, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index touched the highest in more than two weeks after minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting showed most committee members were “broadly comfortable” with Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s plan to start reducing bond buying this year. The FOMC will probably reduce its monthly purchases of $85 billion in bonds at its Sept. 17-18 meeting, according to 65 percent economists in an Aug. 9-13 Bloomberg survey. The median estimate is a cut to $75 billion each month.
The euro strengthened against the yen before data that may show a pickup in European manufacturing and services. An index of activity in manufacturing and services in the euro area probably rose to 50.9 in August from 50.5 a month earlier, according to a poll before data today from London-based Markit Economics.
Australia’s dollar rebounded from a two-week low after an index of manufacturing in China, the South Pacific nation’s biggest trading partner, rose to 50.1 this month from 47.7 in July, according to preliminary data published today by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.3330
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell below $ 1.5600
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y98.30
Thursday is a busy day for data releases on both sides of the Atlantic, dominated by the release of the flash PMI data. The main European data gets underway from 0658GMT, when the French August flash manufacturing and services PMI data will be released. Both numbers are seen higher than the July reading, with manufacturing at 50.2 and services at 49.2. German PMI numbers will cross the wires at 0728GMT. Economists are looking form August flash manufacturing to come in at 51.1 and services at 51.7. The consolidated eurozone PMI data will be released at 0758GMT. August flash manufacturing is seen coming in at 50.7, services at 50.2 and Composite at 50.9.
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3358 -0,44%
GBP/USD $1,5656 -0,04%
USD/CHF Chf0,9221 +0,53%
USD/JPY Y97,67 +0,37%
EUR/JPY Y130,50 -0,05%
GBP/JPY Y152,94 +0,36%
AUD/USD $0,8975 -1,03%
NZD/USD $0,7851 -1,39%
USD/CAD C$1,0478 +0,80%
00:00 Australia Conference Board Australia Leading Index June 0.0% -0.2%
01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 47.7 48.3 50.1
06:00 Switzerland Trade Balance July 2.73 2.91
07:00 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 49.7 50.4
07:00 France Services PMI (Preliminary) August 48.6 49.3
07:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 50.7 51.1
07:30 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) August 51.3 51.7
08:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 50.3 50.9
08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) August 49.8 50.2
12:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m June +1.9% -0.3%
12:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m June +1.2% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims August 320 322
12:30 U.S. Jackson Hole Symposium
13:00 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 53.7 54.1
13:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, m/m June +0.7% +0.6%
13:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, y/y June +7.3%
14:00 U.S. Leading Indicators July 0.0% +0.5%
18:00 U.S. FOMC Member Richard Fisher Speaks
19:15 U.S. Treasury Sec Lew Speaks
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