Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 25-04-2014

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25.04.2014

16:11

Foreign exchange market. American session: the U.S. dollar traded lower due to tensions between Russia and Ukraine

The U.S. dollar traded lower despite the better-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence. The Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 84.1 in April from 82.6 in March. Analysts forecasted 83.2. Services PMI declined to 54.2 in April from 55.3 in March. The projected figure was 56.2. Investors were cautious due to tensions between Russia and Ukraine.

The euro climbed against the U.S. dollar. There was no publication of economic data in the Eurozone.

The British pound was up the U.S. dollar but later lost a part of its gains. The British currency was supported by the better-than-expected retail sales. Retail sales increased 0.1% in March. Analysts forecasted the fall of 0.4%. But the mortgage approvals dropped to 45,900 in March. The projected figure was 48,900. The mortgage approvals in February were revised down to 47,200 from 47,600.

The Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar due to the demand for safe-haven currency. Japan’s inflation data was published today. Tokyo Consumer Price Index rose 1.3% in April. It is the same increase as in the previous month. Tokyo CPI excluding fresh food climbed 2.7% in April from 1.0% in March. The rise of CPI did not meet the expectations. Analysts forecasted the increase of 2.7%.

Stock markets in Australia and New Zealand were closed for the public holiday.

13:55

U.S.: Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, April 84.1 (forecast 83.2)

13:45

U.S.: Services PMI, April 54.2 (forecast 56.2)

13:30

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

USD/JPY 101.00, 101.50, 102.00, 102.15, 102.55-65, 102.70, 103.00, 103.10,

EUR/USD 1.3775 1.3800

GBP/USD 1.6600

AUD/USD 0.9280 0.9300 0.9335

USD/CAD 1.0900 1.0915 1.0930 1.0940 1.0950 1.0965 1.1000 1.1095 1.1100

AUD/JPY 95.00

EUR/GBP 0.8300

12:11

Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro increased against the U.S. dollar but lost its gains

Economic calendar:

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m February +1.0% -0.5% -1.1%

08:00 Switzerland SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) March +1.7% -0.4% +0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) March +3.7% +3.8% +4.2%

08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals March 47.6 48.9 45.9

The euro increased against the U.S. dollar but lost its gains. There are no economic data to be published in the Eurozone.

The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies ahead the publication of Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. Analysts forecasted the increase to 83.2 in April from 82.6 in March.

The British pound was up the U.S. dollar. The British currency was supported by the better-than-expected retail sales. Retail sales increased 0.1% in March. Analysts forecasted the fall of 0.4%. But the mortgage approvals dropped to 45,900 in March. The projected figure was 48,900. The mortgage approvals in February were revised down to 47,200 from 47,600.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

USD/JPY: the currency pair declined to Y101.95

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

13:43 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) April 55.3 56.2

13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally) April 82.6 83.2

12:00

Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3900, $1.3880-85, $1.3860/65

Bids $1.3800, $1.3785/75, $1.3765/60

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6900, $1.6870/80, $1.6840/50

Bids $1.6765-60, $1.6750/45, $1.6680

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9395/00, $0.9350, $0.9305/10

Bids $0.9250, $0.9220, $0.9200, $0.9155/50

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.80, Y142.50, Y142.00

Bids Y141.00, Y140.50

USD/JPY

Offers Y102.95/00, Y102.65/70, Y102.50

Bids Y102.10/00, Y101.85/80, Y101.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8250

Bids stg0.8190-80, stg0.8150

09:19

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

USD/JPY 101.00, 101.50, 102.00, 102.15, 102.55-65, 102.70, 103.00, 103.10,

EUR/USD 1.3775 1.3800

GBP/USD 1.6600

AUD/USD 0.9280 0.9300 0.9335

USD/CAD 1.0900 1.0915 1.0930 1.0940 1.0950 1.0965 1.1000 1.1095 1.1100

AUD/JPY 95.00

EUR/GBP 0.8300

09:18

Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar after Japan’s weaker-than-expected inflation data

Economic calendar (GMT0):

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m February +1.0% -0.5% -1.1%

08:00 Switzerland SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) March +1.7% -0.4% +0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) March +3.7% +3.8% +4.2%

08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals March 47.6 48.9 45.9

The U.S. dollar declined against the most major currencies. Tensions between Russia and Ukraine have a negative influence. Investors are concerned that an escalation of the Ukraine crisis is imminent. They also concerned the USA will be increasingly involved in the Ukraine crisis and that will burden the U.S. economy

Stock markets in Australia and New Zealand were closed for the public holiday. There were no significant price movements.

The Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the inflation data publication. Tokyo Consumer Price Index rose 1.3% in April. It is the same increase as in the previous month. Tokyo CPI excluding fresh food climbed 2.7% in April from 1.0% in March. The rise of CPI did not meet the expectations. Analysts forecasted the increase of 2.7%.

National Consumer Price Index improved from the previous month. The index climbed 1.6% in March (February: 1.5%). National CPI excluding fresh food did not meet the expectations. The index was up 1.3%, expected the rise of 1.4%.

Investors think that the Japan’s inflation will decline later this year. If it actually happens, the Bank of Japan could trigger new easing action. But the Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is convinced Japan’s inflation is on a path to reach the target of 2.0%.

EUR/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.3835

GBP/USD: the currency pair was up to $1.6810

USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y102.50

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

13:43 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) April 55.3 56.2

13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally) April 82.6 83.2