Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 01-05-2014

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01.05.2014
23:50
Japan: Monetary Base, y/y, April +48.5% (forecast +55.3%)
23:30
Japan: Unemployment Rate, March 3.6% (forecast 3.6%)
23:30
Japan: Household spending Y/Y, March +7.2% (forecast +1.7%)
23:20
Currencies. Daily history for May 01'2014:
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3867 +0,01%

GBP/USD $1,6887 +0,09%

USD/CHF Chf0,8791 -0,10%

USD/JPY Y102,32 +0,10%

EUR/JPY Y141,88 +0,11%

GBP/JPY Y172,77 +0,19%

AUD/USD $0,9265 -0,21%

NZD/USD $0,8628 +0,15%

USD/CAD C$1,0960 0,00%

23:00
Schedule for today, Friday, May 02’2014:
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 China Bank holiday

01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m March +4.6%

01:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m March -5.0%

01:30 Australia Building Permits, y/y March +23.2%

01:30 Australia Producer price index, q/q Quarter I +0.2% +0.6%

01:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter I +1.9% +2.1%

07:30 Switzerland Manufacturing PMI April 54.4 55.1

07:48 France Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 52.1 50.9

07:53 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 53.7 54.2

07:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 53.0 53.3

08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction April 62.5 62.2

09:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate March 11.9% 11.9%

12:30 U.S. Average workweek April 34.5 34.5

12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings April 0.0% +0.2%

12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls April 192 211

12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate April 6.7% 6.6%

14:00 U.S. Factory Orders March +1.6% +1.3%


14:01
U.S.: Construction Spending, m/m, March +0.2% (forecast +0.8%)
14:00
U.S.: ISM Manufacturing, April 54.9 (forecast 54.3)
13:45
U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, April 55.4 (forecast 55.8)
13:30
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3800, $1.3815, 1.3835, $1.3850

USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.70, Y101.80, Y101.90, Y102.20/25, Y102.50, Y103.00, Y103.05

AUD/USD $0.9265, $0.9290, $0.9375

GBP/USD $1.6870

USD/CAD Cad1.0975, Cad1.1025, Cad1.1045

EUR/CHF Chf1.2200, Chf1.2250

EUR/JPY Y140.00, Y142.00

NZD/USD $0.8575

AUD/NZD NZ$1.0700, NZ$1.0800, NZ$1.0850

12:31
U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m, March +0.2% (forecast +0.1%)
12:31
U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y, March +1.2%
12:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, April 344 (forecast 317)
12:30
U.S.: Personal Income, m/m, March +0.5% (forecast +0.4%)
12:30
U.S.: Personal spending , March +0.9% (forecast +0.7%)
12:01
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.4000, $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3900/05

Bids $1.3850/40, $1.3810/00, $1.3775, $1.3735


GBP/USD

Offers $1.7030, $1.7000, $1.6970, $1.6900

Bids $1.6860/50, $1.6830, $1.6805/00, $1.6760


AUD/USD

Offers $0.9395/00, $0.9350,  $0.9315/20

Bids $0.9270/60, $0.9220, $0.9200, $0.9155/50, $0.9100


EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.90/00, Y142.80, Y142.50, Y142.10

Bids Y141.60/50, Y141.10/00, Y140.40/50, Y139.95/00


USD/JPY

Offers Y103.40, Y102.95/00, Y102.70/80, Y102.40

Bids Y101.85/80, Y101.50, Y101.30, Y101.00


EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8330, stg0.8300/10, stg0.8280, stg0.8235/40

Bids stg0.8195/85, stg0.8150, stg0.8100

09:20
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3800, $1.3815, 1.3835, $1.3850

USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.70, Y101.80, Y101.90, Y102.20/25, Y102.50, Y103.00, Y103.05

AUD/USD $0.9265, $0.9290, $0.9375

GBP/USD $1.6870

USD/CAD Cad1.0975, Cad1.1025, Cad1.1045

EUR/CHF Chf1.2200, Chf1.2250

EUR/JPY Y140.00, Y142.00

NZD/USD $0.8575

AUD/NZD NZ$1.0700, NZ$1.0800, NZ$1.0850

08:31
United Kingdom: Net Lending to Individuals, bln, April 2.9 (forecast 2.3)
08:30
United Kingdom: Mortgage Approvals, March 67.1 (forecast 73.0)
08:30
United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing , April 57.3 (forecast 55.5)
05:09
Options levels on thursday, May 1 , 2014:

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3939 (2655)

$1.3915 (2312)

$1.3888 (1146)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3872

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3849 (154)

$1.3831 (361)

$1.3805 (1129)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 27023  contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (3202);

- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 33130 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3600 (4079);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.23 versus 1.24 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 30.

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.7100 (1365)

$1.7001 (1139)

$1.6904 (2340)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6876

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6798 (1174)

$1.6699 (956)

$1.6600 (1087)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is  17610 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6900 (2340);

- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 19716 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6200 (1869);

- Theratio of PUT/CALLwas 1.12 versus 1.18 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 30.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:30
Australia: Import Price Index, q/q, Quarter I +3.2% (forecast +1.9%)
01:30
Australia: Export Price Index, q/q, Quarter I +3.6% (forecast +1.5%)
01:00
China: Manufacturing PMI , April 50.4 (forecast 50.5)

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