The U.S.
dollar jumped against the most major currencies after the release of better-than-expected
U.S. labour market data, but later lost all its gains due to concerns on
tensions in Ukraine. The U.S. inflation rate dropped to 6.3% in April from 6.7%
in March. It is the lowest level in more than 5 years. Analysts forecasted the
decrease to 6.6%. 288,000 new nonfarm jobs were created in April, the biggest
growth in one month since the start of 2012. March’s figure was revised up to
203,000 from 192,000. The projected figure was an increase of 211,000. Factory
Orders fell to 1.1% in March from 1.6% in February (forecast: 1.3%).
The euro recovered
its losses against the U.S. dollar. Market participants were disappointed by
Spain’s manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI). The index dropped to
52.7 in April from 52.8 in March. Analysts expected an increase to 53.4. But
Eurozone’s PMI was higher. The index climbed to 53.4 in April from 53.0 in
March (forecast: 53.3). Eurozone’s unemployment decreased slightly in March.
The unemployment rate dropped to 11.8% from 11.9% in February (forecast:
11.9%).
The British
pound recovered its losses against the U.S. dollar. Investors were disappointed
by the worse-than-expected U.K. construction data. The U.K. construction
purchasing managers' index decreased to 60.8 in April from 62.5 in March.
Analysts forecasted the decrease to 62.2.
The New
Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. No economic data was
published in New Zealand today.
The
Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. Australia’s Producer
Price Index (PPI) climbed 0.9% in the first quarter (4. Quarter 2013: 0.2%).
Analysts forecasted an increase of 0.5%. HIA New Home Sales were up only 0.2%
in March (February: 4.6%).
The
Japanese yen dropped against the U.S. dollar, but later recovered its losses.
The U.S. dollar was supported by the better-than-expected U.S. personal
spending in March, published on Thursday, and U.S. labour market data. The U.S.
personal spending climbed 0.9% in March from an increase of 0.5% in February.
The projected figure was 0.7%. Due to concerns about the situation in Ukraine,
the yen recovered all its losses.
Some economic data was published in Japan today.
Household spending increased 7.2% in March (forecast: 1.7%) from the decline of
2.5% in February. Japan's monetary base decreased to +48.5% in April from
+54.8% in March. Analysts forecasted an increase to 55.3%. The unemployment
rate remained unchanged as expected at 3.6% in March (forecast: 3.6%).
The U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics published the U.S. labour market data today. The U.S.
inflation rate dropped to 6.3% in April from 6.7% in March. It is the lowest
level in more than 5 years. Analysts forecasted the decrease to 6.6%.
288,000 new
nonfarm jobs were created in April, the biggest growth in one month since the
start of 2012. March’s figure was revised up to 203,000 from 192,000. The
projected figure was an increase of 211,000.
Hiring was
broad-based. These figures showed that the U.S. economy is improving. Despite the
better-than-expected figures, some problems remained. The unemployment rates
for teenagers (19.1%), black people (11.6%) and Hispanics (7.3%) are high but decreased
slightly in April.
EUR/USD $1.3800, $1.3840, $1.3900, $1.3950
USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.75, Y102.50/60, Y103.25
AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9350
AUD/JPY Y96.50
USD/CAD C$1.1020, C$1.1030, C$1.1045, C$1.1075
The U.S.
inflation dropped to 6.3% in April from 6.7% in March (forecast: 6.6%). 288,000
nonfarm jobs were added in April. Market participants expected the creation of
211,000 jobs.
EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.3813
GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.6821
USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to 103.02
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3900/05, $1.3890, $1.3870
Bids $1.3835, $1.3810/00, $1.3775, $1.3735
GBP/USD
Offers $1.7030, $1.7000, $1.6970, $1.6920
Bids $1.6830, $1.6805/00, $1.6760
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9395/00, $0.9350, $0.9315/20
Bids $0.9250, $0.9220, $0.9200, $0.9155/50, $0.9100
EUR/JPY
Offers Y142.90/00, Y142.80, Y142.50
Bids Y141.60/50, Y141.10/00, Y140.40/50, Y139.95/00
USD/JPY
Offers Y103.40, Y102.95/00, Y102.70/80
Bids Y102.10/00, Y101.85/80, Y101.50, Y101.30, Y101.00
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8330, stg0.8300/10, stg0.8280, stg0.8235/40
Bids stg0.8195/85, stg0.8150, stg0.8100
Economic
calendar (GMT0):
01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m March +4.6% +0.2%
01:30 Australia Producer price index, q /
q Quarter I +0.2% +0.6%
+0.9%
01:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter I +1.9% +2.1%
+2.5%
07:30 Switzerland Manufacturing PMI April 54.4 55.1
55.8
07:48 France Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 52.1 50.9
51.2
07:53 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 53.7 54.2
54.1
07:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 53.0 53.3
53.4
08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction April 62.5 62.2
60.8
09:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate March 11.9% 11.9% 11.8%
The euro showed
no clear direction against the U.S. dollar. Investors are waiting for the
publication of U.S. labour market data. But Eurozone’s PMI was higher. Markets
were also unimpressed by the release of Eurozone’s economic data. Eurozone’s manufacturing
purchasing managers' index (PMI) climbed to 53.4 in April from 53.0 in March
(forecast: 53.3). Eurozone’s unemployment decreased slightly in March. The
unemployment rate dropped to 11.8% from 11.9% in February (forecast: 11.9%).
The U.S.
dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. Market participants are cautious
ahead of U.S. nonfarm payrolls release. Analysts expect that the unemployment
rate should decrease to 6.6% in April from 6.7% in March and 211,000 jobs
should be added in April.
The British pound was down against the U.S. dollar. Investors were disappointed by the worse-than-expected U.K. construction data. The U.K. construction purchasing managers' index decreased to 60.8 in April from 62.5 in March. Analysts forecasted the decrease to 62.2.
EUR/USD:
the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to 1.6854
USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to Y102.57
The most
important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 U.S. Average workweek April 34.5
34.5
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings April
0.0% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls April 192
211
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate April 6.7%
6.6%
14:00
U.S. Factory
Orders March +1.6%
+1.3%
EUR/USD $1.3800, $1.3840, $1.3900, $1.3950
USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.75, Y102.50/60, Y103.25
AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9350
AUD/JPY Y96.50
USD/CAD C$1.1020, C$1.1030, C$1.1045, C$1.1075
Economic
calendar (GMT0):
01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m March +4.6% +0.2%
01:30 Australia Producer price index, q / q Quarter I +0.2% +0.6% +0.9%
01:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter I +1.9% +2.1% +2.5%
07:30 Switzerland Manufacturing PMI April 54.4 55.1 55.8
07:48 France Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 52.1 50.9 51.2
07:53 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 53.7 54.2 54.1
07:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Finally) April 53.0 53.3 53.4
08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction April 62.5 62.2 60.8
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the labour market data release in the U.S. Analysts expect that the unemployment rate should decrease to 6.6% in April from 6.7% in March and 211,000 jobs should be added in April.
The New
Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. No economic data was
published in New Zealand today.
The
Australian dollar traded little changed against the U.S. dollar. The Australian
currency was supported the better-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI). Australia’s
PPI climbed 0.9% in the first quarter (4. Quarter 2013: 0.2%). Analysts
forecasted an increase of 0.5%. HIA New Home Sales were up only 0.2% in March
(February: 4.6%).
The
Japanese yen dropped against the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar was supported by
the better-than-expected U.S. personal spending in March, published on
Thursday. The U.S. personal spending climbed 0.9% in March from an increase of
0.5% in February. The projected figure was 0.7%.
Some
economic data was published in Japan. Market participants remained unimpressed
by this data. Household spending increased 7.2% in March (forecast: 1.7%) from
the decline of 2.5% in February. Japan's monetary base decreased to +48.5% in
April from +54.8% in March. Analysts forecasted an increase to 55.3%. The unemployment
rate remained unchanged as expected at 3.6% in March (forecast: 3.6%).
EUR/USD:
the currency pair declined to $1.3855
GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY: the currency pair was up to Y102.35
The most
important news that are expected (GMT0):
09:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate March 11.9% 11.9%
12:30 U.S. Average workweek April 34.5 34.5
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings April 0.0% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls April 192 211
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate April 6.7% 6.6%
14:00 U.S. Factory Orders March +1.6% +1.3%
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3933 (2936)
$1.3908 (2267)
$1.3880 (1143)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3861
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3830 (364)
$1.3808 (1113)
$1.3772 (2614)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 27109 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (3239);
- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 34430 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3600 (4085);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.27 versus 1.23 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 1

GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.7200 (1074)
$1.7100 (1375)
$1.7001 (1225)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6884
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6798 (1259)
$1.6699 (926)
$1.6600 (1087)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 17711 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6900 (2329);
- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 19833 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6200 (1869);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.12 versus 1.12 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 1

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
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