The euro fell to an 11-year low against the yen and the weakest level in 15 months versus the dollar on concern Europe’s debt crisis is worsening and as reports showed the U.S. labor market is strengthening. The 17-nation currency weakened against most major peers after France’s borrowing costs rose at a bond sale today as credit-rating companies threaten to cut the nation’s top AAA ranking.
The dollar extended gains versus the euro after ADP Employer Services reported U.S. companies added 325,000 workers in December, beating the highest projection in a Bloomberg News survey and following a revised 204,000 gain the prior month. The median estimate was for a gain of 178,000. A government report tomorrow will show U.S. nonfarm payrolls swelled by 150,000 positions last month, compared with 120,000 in November, according to another Bloomberg survey.
The Australian dollar fell against its U.S. counterpart after a report showed the nation’s trade surplus (AUITGSB) unexpectedly narrowed in November as shipments abroad of resources slowed.
Canada’s dollar slid to a one-week low versus its U.S. counterpart as crude oil fell and rising bond yields in France, Spain and Italy signaled renewed concern some euro-area nations may struggle to fund themselves.
The Canadian currency fell as much as 1 percent as North American equities dropped, making higher-yielding assets less attractive to investors. The nation’s employers added 20,000 jobs in December after net losses in the previous two months, according to economists before tomorrow’s jobs report.
European stocks (SXXP) declined for a second day as concern that the region’s banks will have to raise capital overshadowed a report showing that U.S. companies added more workers to their payrolls than economists had predicted.
UniCredit SpA, which announced a rights offer at a 43 percent discount yesterday, slumped to a 19-year low. Societe Generale SA dropped 5.4 percent after announcing it will cut corporate- and investment-banking staff. In the U.S., private employers added 325,000 workers to payrolls in December, according to a report from Roseland, New Jersey-based ADP Employer Services. That was the biggest increase in records going back to 2001. The median projection in the survey called for an advance of 178,000.FTSE 5,624 -44.07 -0.78%, CAC 3,150 -43.29 -1.36%, DAX 6,100 -11.86 -0.19%
Societe Generale, France’s second-largest lender, retreated 5.4 percent to 16.08 euros after saying it will cut about 1,580 jobs at its corporate and investment bank, about 10 percent of the unit’s total staff.Gold futures fell from a two-week high as the dollar’s rally curbed demand for the metal as an alternative asset.
The euro slumped against the greenback after Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos warned that his country may face economic collapse as soon as March, and France’s debt costs climbed. Gold’s correlation with the 17-nation currency is the highest since March 2010, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Gold futures for February delivery declined 0.3 percent to $1,607.70 an ounce at 10:19 a.m. on the Comex in New York. Earlier, the price reached $1,626.80, the highest for a most- active contract since Dec. 21, partly because of physical demand in Asia.
The metal climbed 4.7 percent in the previous three sessions. In the fourth quarter, futures dropped 3.4 percent, snapping a rally since the end of 2008.
Oil extended declines after a U.S. government report showed an unexpected increase in inventories.
Supplies (DOESCRUD) rose 2.21 million barrels last week to 329.7 million, the Energy Department said today. Inventories were forecast to decline 1 million barrels, according to the median of 13 analyst estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.
Crude oil for February delivery fell $1.19, or 1.2 percent, to $102.03 a barrel at 11:07 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil traded at $102.69 before the release of the report at 11 a.m. in Washington, a day later than usual because of the New Year’s Day holiday. It reached an intraday low of $101.95 after the report was released.
Inventories of gasoline and distillates also rose. Gasoline inventories rose 2.48 million barrels to 220.2 million, and distillates added 3.22 million to 143.6 million.
Oil also fell as rising borrowing costs in France raised concern that Europe will struggle to contain the debt crisis.
France sold benchmark 10-year bonds at an average yield of 3.29 percent, up from 3.18 percent in a sale on Dec. 1.
EUR/USD $1.2950, $1.3000, $1.3050
USD/JPY Y77.70, Y77.90
EUR/JPY Y99.50
GBP/USD $1.5700, $1.5400
EUR/GBP stg0.8300, stg0.8370
USD/CHF Chf0.9300
EUR/CHF Chf1.2200
AUD/USD $1.0300, $1.0215, $1.0210, $1.0200, $1.0100
AUD/JPY Y78.95
AUD/NZD NZ$1.3125
NZD/USD $0.7870
U.S. stock futures fell as concern about Europe’s debt crisis and lower-than-estimated earnings forecasts at J.C. Penney Co. and Tesoro Corp. overshadowed improving jobs data.
Futures pared losses after ADP Employer Services said payrolls increased by 325,000 last month, topping the median economist forecast for growth of 177,000 jobs.
World markets:
Nikkei 8,489 -71.40 -0.83%
Hang Seng 18,813 +86.10 +0.46%
Shanghai Composite 2,148 -20.94 -0.97%
FTSE 5,657 -11.37 -0.20%
CAC 3,172 -21.78 -0.68%
DAX 6,120 +8.13 +0.13%
Crude oil: $102.98 (-0,23%).
Gold: $1606.00 (-0,42%).
Data:
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November +0.7% +0.1% -0.9%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November -0.4% +0.7% +0.8%
07:45 France Consumer confidence December 79 80 80
09:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services December 52.1 51.6 54.0
09:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey IV quarter
10:00 Eurozone Industrial New Orders s.a., m/m October -6.4% +2.5% +1.8%
10:00 Eurozone Industrial New Orders, y/y October +1.6% +3.3% +1.6%
10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM November +0.1% +0.1% +0.2%
10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) November +5.5% +5.2% +5.3%
The euro fell after French borrowing costs rose at a bond sale today.
The common currency slumped after France sold 7.96 billion euros ($10.3 billion) of debt today in its first auction of the year as credit-rating companies threaten to cut the nation’s top AAA ranking.
France sold 4.02 billion euros of benchmark 10-year bonds at an average yield of 3.29 percent from 3.18 percent in a sale on Dec. 1. The 10-year debt bid-to-cover ratio, or the number of bids received for each unit of debt sold, fell to 1.64 from 3.05.
EUR/USD: the pair has fallen in $1,2820 area.

GBP/USD: the pair has fallen in $1,5500 area.

USD/JPY: the pair was limited Y76,65-Y76,90.
US data starts at 12:30 GMT with Challenger Layoffs, followed at 13:15 GMT by the latest US ADP National Employment Report and then at 13:30 GMT by the weekly initial jobless claims, which are expected to fall 6,000 to 375,000 in the December holiday 31 week after rising by 15,000 in the previous week. The ISM non-manufacturing index is due at 15:00 GMT, which is forecast to rise to a reading of 53.0 in December after falling slightly to 52.0 in November. The Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index is also due at 15:00 GMT. Weekly data from the EIA is also due Thursday, the weekly Natural Gas Stocks data coming at 1530GMT and the weekly Crude Oil Stocks at 16:00 GMT.
Resistance 3: Y78.20/30 (Nov 29 and Dec 23 highs)
Resistance 2: Y77.30 (МА (200) for Н1)
Resistance 1: Y77.00/10 (Jan 3 high, Dec 8 low)
Current price: Y76.85
Support 1:Y76.55 (Nov 18 low)
Support 2:Y76.00 (psychological level)
Support 3:Y75.60 (historical low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9600 (psychological mark)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9550 (Dec 15 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9500 (area of session high)
Current price: Chf0.9492
Support 1: Chf0.9470 (Dec 29 high)
Support 2: Chf0.9450 (Jan 4 high)
Support 3: Chf0.9410 (session low)

Resistance 3 : $1.5680/90 (Dec 27-28 highs)
Resistance 2 : $1.5670 (Jan 3 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.5560 (МА (200) for Н1)
Current price: $1.5518
Support 1 : $1.5515 (session low, 50.0 % FIBO $1,5360-$ 1,5670)
Support 2 : $1.5480/70 (61,8 % FIBO $1,5360-$ 1,5670, Jan 2 low)
Support 3 : $1.5400 (Dec 30 low)

Resistance 2: $ 1.2990/3000 (area МА (200) for Н1)
Resistance 2: $ 1.2940 (area of session high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.2900 (Jan 4 low)
Current price: $1.2836
Support 1 : $1.2830 (session low)
Support 2 : $1.2800 (psychological mark)
Support 3 : $1.2750 (psychological mark)

EUR/USD $1.2950, $1.3000, $1.3050
USD/JPY Y77.70, Y77.90
EUR/JPY Y99.50
GBP/USD $1.5700, $1.5400
EUR/GBP stg0.8300, stg0.8370
USD/CHF Chf0.9300
EUR/CHF Chf1.2200
AUD/USD $1.0300, $1.0215, $1.0210, $1.0200, $1.0100
AUD/JPY Y78.95
AUD/NZD NZ$1.3125
NZD/USD $0.7870
Q4 Corporate credit available past 3m net 11% vs 3.9% Q3
Q4 Corporate credit available next 3m net 8.1% vs 2.4% Q3
Q4 Secured household credit available past 3m 1.9% vs 8.4% Q3
Q4 Secured household credit available next 3m 7.6% vs 6.9% Q3
Larger firms default rates picked up; 1st time in 2 years
Lenders see economy woes hitting credit availability
-- E4.02bln 3.25% 2021 OAT; avg yield 3.29% (3.18%), cover 1.64 (3.05)
-- E690mln 4.25% Oct 2023 OAT; avg yield 3.50%, cover 3.23
-- E1.088bln 4.75% 2035 OAT; avg yield 3.96%, cover 2.02
-- E2.165bln 4.50% 2041 OAT; avg yield 3.97% (3.94%), cover 1.82 (2.26)
Nikkei 225 8,489 -71.40 -0.83%
Hang Seng 18,813 +86.10 +0.46%
S&P/ASX 200 4,143 -45.16 -1.08%
Shanghai Composite 2,148 -20.94 -0.97%
Asian stocks retreated, snapping a two-day rally, after Australia’s services industry shrank and the euro weakened ahead of France’s plans to sells as much as 8 billion euros ($10.4 billion) of debt today. France plans to sell as much as 8 billion euros of debt today in the country’s first test this year of investor appetite for its bonds amid threats of a downgrade of its AAA rating by credit companies. Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker said the European Union is facing a recession of unknown scope.
Asian exporters declined as the euro dropped toward an 11- year low against the yen and fell to a four-month low against the won. A weaker euro cuts the value of European income at Japanese and South Korean companies when repatriated.
Sony Corp., a Japanese electronics maker that gets 21 percent of its sales from Europe, fell 2.2 percent as a weaker euro cut the earnings outlook for exporters.
Canon Inc., a camera maker that depends on Europe for almost a third of its sales, lost 1.2 percent to 3,390 yen.
Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s second-largest maker of mobile phones by sales, sank 2.3 percent to 1.055 million won in Seoul.
Demand seen into Y98.50/45 (Y98.48 - 14 Dec 00 low), stronger behind at Y98.05/00 (Y98.02 - 13 Dec 00 low).
Stops resume below $1.2845. Rate retains a heavy feel, with recovery efforts remaining shallow.
The euro approached an 11-year low against the yen before France sells bonds today on concern the region’s governments and banks will struggle to raise funds. The 17-nation currency slumped against most major peers after Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos warned his country may face economic collapse as soon as March.
France will auction bonds maturing from 2021 to 2041 today after yesterday’s German sale of 10-year bonds attracted weaker demand than the average over the past five years.
France’s credit outlook was lowered by Fitch Ratings on Dec. 16 on the “heightened risk of contingent liabilities” from the escalating euro-region crisis. Standard & Poor’s is reviewing the top ratings of both France and Germany.
Papademos warned that deeper cuts in incomes are the only way Greece can remain in the euro area and receive more financing from international creditors, according to an e-mailed transcript of his statements to union and business leaders yesterday.
The size of the euro area’s European Financial Stability Facility “remains insufficient,” Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti said in an interview with Le Figaro.
EUR/USD: on Asian session the pair fell.
GBP/USD: on Asian session the pair traded in range $1,5590-$1,5620.
USD/JPY: on Asian session the pair traded in range Y76,60-Y76,80.
Thursday at 08:00 GMT Switzerland will publish the amount of foreign exchange reserves in December. At 8:00 in the UK will house price index from HBOS in December. At 09:30 GMT the UK will report on the PMI index for the services sector in December, and the Bank of England will publish a quarterly report on credit terms. At 10:00 GMT the euro area statistics to change the volume of industrial orders for October and the producer price index for November. At 13:15 GMT the U.S. will publish the change in the number employed by ADP in December. At 13:30 GMT the index will be released in Canada in commodity prices for November. Day will continue to block statistics from the U.S. Unemployment (13:30 GMT) and the ISM composite index for non-production sphere in December (15:00 GMT). At 15:00 GMT Canada will publish the Ivey PMI index from the December. End the day at 16:00 GMT U.S. data on stocks of crude oil from the Energy Department.
Yesterday the dollar rose against most traded currencies of the partner against the background of the declining interest in risky assets. Support the dollar had released statistical data showing that in November, orders for U.S. manufactured goods increased the maximum for the last 4 months of growth. As shown by the Department of Commerce, factory orders rose 1.8% against the previous value of the revised -0.2%. Increased demand for aircraft, automobiles and metals offset the decline in orders for computers and electronics.
Euro fell against major currencies against the weak auction results for German government bonds, which resulted in the 4,057 billion euros drawn on 10 years with plans to 5.0 billion euros. The average yield was 1.93% (against 1.98% for a similar previous release), covering 1.3 (against 1.1 for the same previous release). In this case, this is the second auction of 10-year government bonds in Germany, which failed to collect sufficient number of applications. The pressure on the single currency has also had a decrease in the forecast for GDP in Germany by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW).The forecast for GDP growth in Germany in 2012 was reduced to 0.6% from the previous estimate of 1.0%. In 2013, German GDP growth is projected at 2.2%. Failed to support the euro and the published data on the index of business activity in the services sector in France, Germany and the EU as a whole. Indicators came out mixed, some slightly better than expected, some worse.
Data on the index of business activity in the UK service sector, which came out better than expected, to provide temporary support for sterling. However, against the background of the dollar, the pound was not able to update the session high against the dollar and fell. At the same time, the pound rose above 0.8304 Euro to its highest level since January 2011. Provided support for the sterling results exceeded forecasts CIPS report on business activity in the construction sector in Britain. British statistics appear to be more advantageous on news from the eurozone, provoked the fall of the pair EUR / GBP, which has been in the 5th week in a row shows a decline.
EUR / USD on the results of yesterday's session, the pair fell in the region of $ 1.2930, showing a minimum in the region at $ 1.2900.
GBP / USD on the results of yesterday's session, the pair fell below $ 1.5580.
USD / JPY pair fell in the region Y76, 60.
Thursday at 08:00 GMT Switzerland will publish the amount of foreign exchange reserves in December. At 8:00 in the UK will house price index from HBOS in December. At 09:30 GMT the UK will report on the PMI index for the services sector in December, and the Bank of England will publish a quarterly report on credit terms. At 10:00 GMT the euro area statistics to change the volume of industrial orders for October and the producer price index for November. At 13:15 GMT the U.S. will publish the change in the number employed by ADP in December. At 13:30 GMT the index will be released in Canada in commodity prices for November. Day will continue to block statistics from the U.S. Unemployment (13:30 GMT) and the ISM composite index for non-production sphere in December (15:00 GMT). At 15:00 GMT Canada will publish the Ivey PMI index from the December. End the day at 16:00 GMT U.S. data on stocks of crude oil from the Energy Department.
Resistance 3: Y77.70 (Dec 30 high)
Resistance 2: Y77.40 (MA (200) for H1)
Resistance 1: Y77.00 (Jan 3 high)
Current price: Y76.74
Support 1: Y76.55 (Nov 18 low)
Support 2: Y76.00 (psychological level)
Support 3: Y75.60 (historic low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9550 (Dec 15 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9470 (Dec 29 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9450 (Jan 4 high)
Current price: Chf0.9427
Support 1: Chf0.9380 (MA (200) for H1)
Support 2: Chf0.9300 (low of Jan 3 and Dec 22)
Support 3: Chf0.9240 (Dec 21 low)

Asian stocks rose on the first full trading day of the new year after economic reports in the U.S. Germany and India raised optimism global growth will bolster the outlook for earnings in the face of Europe’s debt crisis.
Premier Wen Jiabao said business conditions in China may be “relatively difficult” for the mainland this quarter, citing continued inflation and weakened overseas demand.
Asian exporters advanced after a reports showed German unemployment fell more than forecast last month and U.S. factory output grew in December at the fastest pace in six months. R.L. Polk & Co., a research company based in Michigan, estimated the number of cars and light trucks sold globally will increase 6.7 percent this year.
James Hardie Industries, a supplier of building materials that gets 68 percent of its sales from the U.S., climbed 2.5 percent in Sydney.
Toyota Motor Corp. and Honda Motor Co. led a rally among carmakers on a report that Chinese demand will lift global auto sales this year.
Nissan Motor Co., Japan’s third- largest automaker, rose 1 percent.
Nomura Holdings Inc. jumped 6.9 percent after SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. said Japan’s biggest brokerage probably returned to profit last quarter.
European stocks retreated from a five-month high as UniCredit rights offer boosted concern that banks will need to raise more capital to weather the region’s debt crisis.
Germany got bids for 5.14 billion euros ($6.7 billion) of 10-year bunds at an auction, more than the maximum sales target of 5 billion euros. The debt agency accepted bids for 4.06 billion euros at an average yield of 1.93 percent. Portugal’s borrowing costs fell at a sale of 1 billion euros of three-month bills.
National benchmark indexes fell in all of Europe’s 18 western markets, except Iceland and Switzerland. France’s CAC 40 Index dropped 1.6 percent, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index slipped 0.6 percent and Germany’s DAX Index lost 0.9 percent.
UniCredit tumbled 14 percent, the largest decline since at least 1988, as the bank said it will sell shares at 1.943 euros apiece to raise 7.5 billion euros. The rights offer is a 43 percent discount to yesterday’s closing price, excluding the value of rights.
Vestas sank 19 percent, the lowest price since 2003, after cutting its earnings forecasts and saying it will announce a significant change to its corporate structure on Jan. 12.
Next dropped 3.1 percent after it reported sales that missed analyst estimates as growth in online revenue failed to offset lower store sales during a period that included the peak Christmas holiday season.
Larger rival Marks & Spencer Group Plc sank 2.6 percent. Home Retail Group Plc, the owner of Homebase outlets in the U.K., slumped 3.5 percent.
Qiagen NV the German biotechnology company, increased 3.2 percent as analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised the stock to “overweight” from “neutral.”
U.S. stocks erased an early loss to finish little changed, leaving the Dow Jones Industrial Average at the highest level since July, as improving sales at retailers and carmakers helped offset lower-than-forecast factory orders.
U.S. equities fell earlier today as bookings for factory goods rose 1.8 percent after a revised 0.2 percent drop the prior month, data from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington.
Ford Motor Co. rose 1.5 percent after carmakers reported December sales that beat analysts’ estimates, capping the industry’s best year since 2008.
Home Depot Inc. (HD), Lowe’s Cos. and Starbucks Corp. advanced at least 1.4 percent after the International Council of Shopping Centers increased its estimate for December retail-sales growth.
Yahoo! Inc. lost 3.1 percent after appointing Scott Thompson chief executive officer.
Resistance 3: $ 1.5730 (Dec 22 high)
Resistance 2: 1.5680/90 $ (area of Dec 27-28 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5670 (area of Jan 3-4 high)
Current Price: $ 1.5594
Support 1: $ 1.5560 (MA (200) for H1)
Support 2: $ 1.5470 (Jan 2 low)
Support 3: $ 1.5400 (Dec 30 low)

Resistance 3: $ 1.3120 (Dec 22 high)
Resistance 2: 1.3080/90 $ (area of 26-28 Dec high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.2990 (MA (200) for H1)
Current Price: $ 1.2923
Support 1: $ 1.2900 (low of Dec 30 and Jan 4)
Support 2: $ 1.2860 (29 Dec low)
Support 3: $ 1.2800 (psychological mark)

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2941 -0,83%
GBP/USD $1,5618 -0,18%
USD/CHF Chf0,9416 +1,01%
USD/JPY Y76,71 +0,37%
EUR/JPY Y99,27 -0,86%
GBP/JPY Y119,81 -0,20%
AUD/USD $1,0368 -0,08%
NZD/USD $0,7875 -0,34%
USD/CAD C$1,0125 +0,22%
Change % Change Last
Oil $99.45 +0.09 +0.09%
Gold $1,551.10 -13.00 -0.83%
Change % Change Last
Nikkei 225 8,560 +104.76 +1.24%
Hang Seng 18,727 -150.10 -0.80%
S&P/ASX 200 4,188 +86.68 +2.11%
Shanghai Composite 2,169 -30.03 -1.37%
FTSE 100 5,668 -31.46 -0.55%
CAC 40 3,194 -51.75 -1.59%
DAX 6,112 -55.02 -0.89%
Dow 12,418.95 +21.57 +0.17%
Nasdaq 2,648.36 -0.36 -0.01%
S&P 500 1,277.32 +0.26 +0.02%
10 Year Yield 1.99% +0.03 --
S&P 500 1,249.67 -15.76 -1.25%
10 Year Yield 1.91% -0.10 --
00:30 Australia Trade Balance November 1.60 1.68 1.38
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November +0.7% +0.1%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November -0.4% +0.7%
07:45 France Consumer confidence December 79 80
08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves December 229.3
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December -0.9%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December -1.0%
09:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services December 52.1 51.6
09:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey IV quarter
10:00 Eurozone Industrial New Orders s.a., m/m October -6.4% +2.5%
10:00 Eurozone Industrial New Orders, y/y October +1.6% +3.3%
10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM November +0.1% +0.1%
10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) November +5.5% +5.2%
13:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report December 206 177
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 31/12/2011 381 375
13:30 Canada Raw Material Price Index November -1.2% +0.1%
13:30 Canada Industrial product prices, m/m November -0.1% +0.3%
15:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing December 52.0 53.1
15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 59.9 56.7
16:00 U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change 30/12/2011 +3.9
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