Forex-novosti i prognoze od 20-06-2012

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20.06.2012

19:02

Dow 12,778 -59 -0.46%, Nasdaq 2,921 -8 -0.29%, S&P 500 1,351 -7 -0.53%

18:53

U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke: "Extension of Operation Twist will put downward pressure on rates"

FOMC is ready for further action if necessary
In general, FOMC revised growth forecasts downward

18:30

European stocks close:

European stocks advanced, sending the Stoxx Europe 600 Index to its highest level in more than a month, amid speculation the Federal Reserve will expand Operation Twist to help sustain economic growth.

Euro-area leaders at the Group of 20 summit in Mexico yesterday pledged to take “all necessary policy measures” to defend the currency union as world leaders endorsed a road map for tighter integration to cut borrowing costs and prevent further damage to the global economy. Attention now shifts to a summit of European Union leaders in Brussels on June 28-29.

National benchmark indexes rallied in all 18 western- European markets except in Switzerland and Ireland. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index added 0.6 percent and Germany’s DAX increased 0.5 percent. France’s CAC 40 increased 0.3 percent.

Aer Lingus paced advancing shares after Ryanair, Europe’s biggest discount airline, offered to buy its Irish rival for 694 million euros ($883 million). Aer Lingus surged 15 percent to 1.09 euros in Dublin, the most since September 2009, as Ryanair, which already holds a 29.8 percent stake, said it intends to make an all-cash offer of 1.30 euros per share.

H&M gained 4.8 percent to 241.50 kronor after Europe’s second-largest clothing retailer reported a 23 percent increase in second-quarter profit to 5.22 billion kronor ($751 million) as U.S. and Asian sales rose. The average of 14 analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg called for 4.86 billion kronor.

Kesa Electricals Plc dropped 5 percent to 52.5 pence after the owner of the Darty electronics chain reported a 42 percent slump in full-year adjusted pretax profit to 59 million euros. The company cut its dividend and said Mothercare Plc’s Alan Parker will replace David Newlands as chairman. The shares had climbed 19 percent over the previous four days.

18:12

The Fed lowered its forecast for economic growth in 2012, expects growth in unemployment, lower inflation

The Fed expects the U.S. GDP growth over the longer term will be from 2.3% to 2.5%
The Fed expects the unemployment rate will be 8.0% -8.2% in 2012, 7.5% -8.0% in 2013, 7.0% -7.7% in 2014
The Fed expects that in the longer term, unemployment will be 5.2% -6.0%
The Fed expects that inflation will be 1.2% -1.7% in 2012, 1.5% -2.0% in 2013, 1.6% -2.0% in 2014
16 out of 19 members of the Operations Committee on the open market expects rates to be lower amount, or 0.25% to end 2012
16 out of 19 members of the committee expects that the long-term target interest rate will be 4.0% or higher
13 of 19 committee members expect the Fed rates will not rise until 2014 or 2015
11 of 19 committee members expect the rate will be lower, or 0.75% before the end of 2014
13 of 19 committee members expect the rate will be lower, or 0.25% to end 2013

18:03

American focus: euro fluctuated

Euro fluctuates against the dollar after the announcement of the results of a two-day meeting of the Committee to work on the open market, the U.S. Federal Reserve. Today the Fed decided to keep rates within the range of 0-0.25%, but the operation was extended twist - an operation aimed at lowering long-term interest rates by selling short-term bonds. Launched in September 2011, Operation Twist was to end in late June, but the FOMC today announced its extension until the end of the year (or approximately $ 267 billion). Many experts expect more such solutions, rather than introducing QE3. The Fed reiterated that it "is ready to take further action if it is necessary to continue to support the growth of the economy and the labor market in the context of price stability."

After the initial growth of the dollar again came under downward pressure against the backdrop of recovery of stock markets. Currency also declined against its major competitors. Volatility also contributed to the strengthening of the statement by German Chancellor Angela Merkel that the question of bond purchases Stabilization Fund may be discussed. These words helped the euro to update daily lows against the dollar.

The yen resumed its decline against the euro and the dollar after a brief recovery at the Fed decision. The yen fell sharply on Wednesday on reports that Japanese lawmakers are close to reaching an agreement on tax measures aimed at lowering the national currency.

17:35

U.S. stocks swung between gains and losses

U.S. stocks swung between gains and losses as investors weighed European discussions to step up efforts to fight the debt crisis and the Federal Reserve’s plans to extend its program known as Operation Twist.

Stocks recovered as German Chancellor Angela Merkel said bond purchases by the European bailout fund are a possibility, while European Union President Herman Van Rompuy’s blueprint for the euro was said to discuss jointly issued short-term bills, a debt-redemption fund and common banking supervision, according to two officials familiar with the work on the project.

The Fed will expand its program to replace short-term bonds with longer-term debt by $267 billion through the end of the year in a bid to reduce unemployment and protect the expansion. The original Operation Twist was set to expire this month.

Policy makers left unchanged their view that economic conditions will probably warrant keeping interest rates “exceptionally low” at least through late 2014. The policy- making committee has kept the main interest rate in a range of zero to 0.25 percent since December 2008.